Back to UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Alejandro Perez vs Johnny Eduardo

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Johnny Eduardo
69% 31%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
32
Age
Δ 11y
43
23-10-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
28-14
L2
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Perez: 23 sig / 1 TD · Eduardo: 31 sig / 1 TD
Alejandro Perez
Johnny Eduardo
36
Sig strikes landed
38
80
Sig strikes attempted
87
44
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
75s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Alejandro Perez

"Turbo"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
L UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
L2

Johnny Eduardo

28-14
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—