Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brendan Allen
Sean Strickland
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
27-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
32-7
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Allen: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Strickland: 94 sig / 1 TD
Brendan Allen
Sean Strickland
43
Sig strikes landed
54
98
Sig strikes attempted
117
58
Total strikes landed
55
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
191s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Brendan Allen
"All In"
27-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—