Back to DWCS 4.7
Main Featherweight

Dinis Paiva Jr. vs Kyle Driscoll

DWCS 4.7 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Dinis Paiva Jr.
Kyle Driscoll
37% 63%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Paiva Jr.: 39 sig / 0 TD · Driscoll: 41 sig / 2 TD
Dinis Paiva Jr.
Kyle Driscoll
33
Sig strikes landed
39
69
Sig strikes attempted
79
46
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
137s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dinis Paiva Jr.

"Sweetbread"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
Blue corner

Kyle Driscoll

"KD"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26