Wednesday, August 20, 2025

TOUR Championship

PGA ·30 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-18	64	63	67	68	262.0
—	Russell Henley	-15	61	66	69	69	265.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-15	64	66	64	71	265.0
—	Corey Conners	-14	70	67	67	62	266.0
—	Cameron Young	-14	67	62	71	66	266.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-14	63	69	66	68	266.0
—	Justin Thomas	-13	64	69	69	65	267.0
—	Sam Burns	-13	67	66	68	66	267.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-13	70	64	63	70	267.0
—	Chris Gotterup	-12	70	63	69	66	268.0
—	Ben Griffin	-12	66	67	68	67	268.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-11	68	71	67	63	269.0
—	Brian Harman	-10	67	71	69	63	270.0
—	Harris English	-10	68	66	69	67	270.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-10	66	67	69	68	270.0
—	Shane Lowry	-10	70	63	68	69	270.0
—	Harry Hall	-9	70	65	70	66	271.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-9	64	66	72	69	271.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-8	64	70	70	68	272.0
—	Nick Taylor	-8	67	67	68	70	272.0
—	Justin Rose	-7	69	70	69	65	273.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-7	66	68	71	68	273.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-6	71	64	69	70	274.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-6	66	67	71	70	274.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-4	68	71	71	66	276.0
—	Andrew Novak	-4	70	68	68	70	276.0
—	Sungjae Im	E	68	67	77	68	280.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	E	67	67	75	71	280.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+3	69	69	76	69	283.0
—	Sepp Straka	+7	74	65	77	71	287.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Sungjae Im	64.54	8%	1%	70.00	—
2	Sepp Straka	67.83	12%	1%	71.75	—
3	Harry Hall	68.11	19%	2%	67.75	—
4	Scottie Scheffler	68.22	28%	3%	66.50	—
5	Andrew Novak	68.56	12%	1%	69.00	—
6	Rory McIlroy	68.66	22%	2%	68.50	—
7	Viktor Hovland	68.71	14%	1%	67.25	—
8	Russell Henley	68.72	16%	1%	66.25	—
9	Justin Thomas	68.78	23%	1%	66.75	—
10	Maverick McNealy	68.79	10%	1%	68.50	—
11	Sam Burns	68.84	18%	1%	66.75	—
12	Shane Lowry	68.85	21%	1%	67.50	—
13	Collin Morikawa	68.88	10%	1%	68.00	—
14	Hideki Matsuyama	68.96	14%	1%	70.75	—
15	Jacob Bridgeman	68.96	13%	1%	70.00	—
16	Patrick Cantlay	68.98	21%	1%	66.25	—
17	Akshay Bhatia	69.00	14%	1%	67.50	—
18	Justin Rose	69.00	10%	1%	68.25	—
19	J.J. Spaun	69.03	10%	1%	69.00	—
20	Ben Griffin	69.06	22%	2%	67.00	—
21	Cameron Young	69.11	20%	2%	66.50	—
22	Brian Harman	69.12	7%	1%	67.50	—
23	Chris Gotterup	69.12	26%	4%	67.00	—
24	Corey Conners	69.14	11%	1%	66.50	—
25	Harris English	69.15	19%	1%	67.50	—
26	Keegan Bradley	69.15	16%	1%	66.75	—
27	Tommy Fleetwood	69.16	18%	1%	65.50	—
28	Robert MacIntyre	69.16	22%	3%	67.75	—
29	Ludvig Åberg	69.21	18%	3%	68.25	—
30	Nick Taylor	69.22	7%	1%	68.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.