Wednesday, August 13, 2025

BMW Championship

PGA ·49 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-15	66	65	67	67	265.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-13	62	64	68	73	267.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-11	70	64	69	66	269.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-10	65	69	69	67	270.0
—	Sam Burns	-10	68	67	67	68	270.0
—	Harry Hall	-8	68	67	67	70	272.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-7	67	70	67	69	273.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-7	67	68	69	69	273.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-7	68	64	68	73	273.0
—	Michael Kim	-6	68	66	70	70	274.0
—	Cameron Young	-5	74	66	65	70	275.0
—	Ben Griffin	-3	67	72	69	69	277.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-3	70	66	71	70	277.0
—	Harris English	-3	70	68	67	72	277.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-2	70	68	71	69	278.0
—	Russell Henley	-2	69	68	68	73	278.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-1	72	70	70	67	279.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-1	70	71	70	68	279.0
—	Si Woo Kim	E	71	69	73	67	280.0
—	Brian Harman	E	73	68	69	70	280.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	E	72	68	69	71	280.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	E	74	66	68	72	280.0
—	Shane Lowry	+1	70	69	75	67	281.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+1	70	69	72	70	281.0
—	Jason Day	+1	68	71	69	73	281.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+2	75	69	66	72	282.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+2	69	64	76	73	282.0
—	Daniel Berger	+2	71	69	72	—	212.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+3	74	70	73	66	283.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+3	70	69	76	68	283.0
—	J.T. Poston	+4	72	71	71	70	284.0
—	Justin Rose	+4	71	70	71	72	284.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+4	72	67	72	73	284.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+6	73	70	75	68	286.0
—	Bud Cauley	+6	69	73	75	69	286.0
—	Tom Hoge	+6	72	71	72	71	286.0
—	Justin Thomas	+6	74	70	68	74	286.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+6	70	74	67	75	286.0
—	Nick Taylor	+6	72	68	71	75	286.0
—	Corey Conners	+7	70	71	66	80	287.0
—	Sungjae Im	+10	71	75	77	67	290.0
—	Lucas Glover	+10	75	73	69	73	290.0
—	Sam Stevens	+11	71	77	71	72	291.0
—	Ryan Fox	+12	74	73	76	69	292.0
—	Ryan Gerard	+14	75	76	72	71	294.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+15	74	72	77	72	295.0
—	Thomas Detry	+17	73	74	75	75	297.0
—	Brian Campbell	+18	77	71	75	75	298.0
—	Andrew Novak	+20	72	76	77	75	300.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Sungjae Im	63.10	9%	1%	72.50	—
2	Harry Hall	68.17	25%	5%	68.00	—
3	Tom Hoge	68.22	4%	0%	71.50	—
4	Scottie Scheffler	68.28	37%	9%	66.25	—
5	Andrew Novak	68.55	13%	1%	75.00	—
6	Michael Kim	68.77	9%	0%	68.50	—
7	Matt Fitzpatrick	68.80	14%	2%	69.75	—
8	Robert MacIntyre	68.81	24%	3%	66.75	—
9	Xander Schauffele	68.83	13%	1%	70.75	—
10	Patrick Cantlay	68.84	17%	1%	71.00	—
11	Sam Burns	68.84	17%	0%	67.50	—
12	Viktor Hovland	68.88	11%	1%	68.25	—
13	Jacob Bridgeman	68.90	10%	2%	70.00	—
14	Brian Harman	68.95	11%	0%	70.00	—
15	Russell Henley	68.99	12%	0%	69.50	—
16	Rory McIlroy	69.00	14%	1%	69.25	—
17	Bud Cauley	69.00	12%	2%	71.50	—
18	Ben Griffin	69.06	24%	1%	69.25	—
19	Sam Stevens	69.07	16%	1%	72.75	—
20	Hideki Matsuyama	69.09	9%	1%	70.50	—
21	Rickie Fowler	69.10	12%	1%	68.25	—
22	Brian Campbell	69.10	7%	0%	74.50	—
23	Corey Conners	69.11	8%	2%	71.75	—
24	Chris Gotterup	69.12	29%	5%	71.50	—
25	Ryan Fox	69.13	14%	2%	73.00	—
26	Jhonattan Vegas	69.15	16%	3%	73.75	—
27	J.J. Spaun	69.16	10%	1%	70.25	—
28	Ryan Gerard	69.16	10%	0%	73.50	—
29	Justin Rose	69.17	18%	1%	71.00	—
30	Shane Lowry	69.17	15%	2%	70.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.