Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Masters Tournament

PGA ·95 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Rory McIlroy	-11	72	66	66	73	280.0
—	Justin Rose	-11	65	71	75	66	281.0
—	Patrick Reed	-9	71	70	69	69	279.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-8	68	71	72	69	280.0
—	Sungjae Im	-7	71	70	71	69	281.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-7	69	68	69	75	281.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-6	68	73	69	72	282.0
—	Zach Johnson	-5	72	74	66	71	283.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-5	73	69	70	71	283.0
—	Jason Day	-5	70	70	71	72	283.0
—	Corey Conners	-5	68	70	70	75	283.0
—	Harris English	-4	70	73	73	68	284.0
—	Max Homa	-4	74	70	69	71	284.0
—	Bubba Watson	-3	71	72	74	68	285.0
—	Jon Rahm	-3	75	71	70	69	285.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-3	73	73	69	70	285.0
—	Tom Hoge	-3	72	72	70	71	285.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-3	69	70	75	71	285.0
—	Matt McCarty	-3	71	68	75	71	285.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-3	72	69	72	72	285.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-2	73	68	79	66	286.0
—	Daniel Berger	-2	71	73	73	69	286.0
—	Davis Riley	-2	73	69	75	69	286.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-2	73	69	75	69	286.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-2	74	71	70	71	286.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-2	71	69	73	73	286.0
—	Aaron Rai	-1	70	74	73	70	287.0
—	Michael Kim	-1	71	71	74	71	287.0
—	Denny McCarthy	E	71	75	71	71	288.0
—	Sahith Theegala	E	72	72	73	71	288.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	E	72	74	70	72	288.0
—	Brian Campbell	+1	72	73	76	68	289.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+1	72	73	71	73	289.0
—	Max Greyserman	+1	71	75	69	74	289.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+1	73	67	75	74	289.0
—	Justin Thomas	+2	73	71	76	70	290.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+2	74	72	73	71	290.0
—	Brian Harman	+2	71	71	77	71	290.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+2	74	72	72	72	290.0
—	Nick Taylor	+3	73	71	74	73	291.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+3	71	73	74	73	291.0
—	Russell Henley	+3	79	68	—	—	147.0
—	Chris Kirk	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Bernhard Langer	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+4	70	76	75	71	292.0
—	Danny Willett	+4	75	71	73	73	292.0
—	J.T. Poston	+4	74	72	73	73	292.0
—	Shane Lowry	+4	71	68	72	81	292.0
—	Justin Hastings	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Joe Highsmith	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Rafael Campos	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Mike Weir	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Tony Finau	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Adam Schenk	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Sergio García	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Fred Couples	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+5	76	68	75	74	293.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	73	70	75	75	293.0
—	Davis Thompson	+5	71	73	70	79	293.0
—	Sepp Straka	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Billy Horschel	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Cameron Smith	+5	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+6	71	72	77	74	294.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Yu	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Hiroshi Tai	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+7	74	72	74	75	295.0
—	José María Olazábal	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Cameron Young	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+8	73	70	69	84	296.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+8	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Lucas Glover	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+9	72	74	73	78	297.0
—	Tom Kim	+9	73	73	72	79	297.0
—	Thomas Detry	+9	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Evan Beck	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Cam Davis	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+10	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Laurie Canter	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Josele Ballester	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Noah Kent	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Ángel Cabrera	+11	75	80	—	—	155.0
—	Nick Dunlap	+17	90	71	—	—	161.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Laurie Canter	65.78	6%	0%	51.33	—
2	Matt McCarty	67.55	7%	0%	71.25	—
3	Thriston Lawrence	67.66	5%	0%	51.67	—
4	Rafael Campos	67.70	4%	0%	49.33	—
5	Max Greyserman	67.89	12%	1%	72.25	—
6	Joe Highsmith	68.08	9%	1%	49.33	—
7	Will Zalatoris	68.32	32%	5%	50.67	—
8	Davis Thompson	68.42	10%	1%	73.25	—
9	Kevin Yu	68.42	10%	1%	50.00	—
10	Jhonattan Vegas	68.53	9%	0%	50.00	—
11	Davis Riley	68.62	8%	0%	71.50	—
12	Patton Kizzire	68.73	3%	0%	50.67	—
13	Scottie Scheffler	68.76	30%	5%	70.00	—
14	Maverick McNealy	68.76	12%	1%	72.25	—
15	Ludvig Åberg	68.77	22%	3%	70.50	—
16	Taylor Pendrith	68.84	22%	1%	50.67	—
17	Aaron Rai	68.86	21%	1%	71.75	—
18	Michael Kim	68.94	20%	1%	71.75	—
19	Thomas Detry	68.94	13%	2%	51.00	—
20	Adam Schenk	68.95	2%	0%	49.33	—
21	Nico Echavarria	69.08	10%	1%	74.00	—
22	Rasmus Højgaard	69.12	7%	1%	72.25	—
23	Josele Ballester	69.44	5%	0%	51.33	—
24	Justin Hastings	69.47	6%	0%	49.33	—
25	Brian Campbell	69.59	7%	1%	72.25	—
26	Nicolai Højgaard	70.23	5%	0%	50.00	—
27	Collin Morikawa	70.46	46%	20%	71.25	—
28	Matt Fitzpatrick	70.66	7%	0%	72.75	—
29	Keegan Bradley	70.67	9%	1%	49.00	—
30	Tom Kim	70.81	8%	0%	74.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.