Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Valspar Championship

PGA ·154 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Viktor Hovland	-11	70	67	69	67	273.0
—	Justin Thomas	-10	73	70	65	66	274.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	-9	67	69	70	69	275.0
—	Bud Cauley	-8	71	70	69	66	276.0
—	Billy Horschel	-8	69	71	69	67	276.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	-8	71	66	71	68	276.0
—	Davis Riley	-7	69	70	69	69	277.0
—	Séamus Power	-6	70	72	70	66	278.0
—	Lucas Glover	-6	70	71	69	68	278.0
—	Corey Conners	-6	71	69	69	69	278.0
—	Shane Lowry	-6	71	67	70	70	278.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-5	70	68	75	66	279.0
—	Eric Cole	-5	74	69	69	67	279.0
—	Kevin Yu	-5	72	68	68	71	279.0
—	Ricky Castillo	-5	67	72	68	72	279.0
—	Matt McCarty	-4	73	70	68	69	280.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-4	72	70	69	69	280.0
—	Sam Ryder	-4	71	70	70	69	280.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-4	71	70	69	70	280.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-4	70	67	72	71	280.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-4	68	72	66	74	280.0
—	Thomas Detry	-3	71	71	72	67	281.0
—	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	-3	69	72	72	68	281.0
—	Victor Perez	-3	69	70	73	69	281.0
—	Joe Highsmith	-3	73	67	69	72	281.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-3	71	68	70	72	281.0
—	Jeremy Paul	-3	69	69	70	73	281.0
—	Michael Kim	-2	73	71	70	68	282.0
—	Steven Fisk	-2	76	68	70	68	282.0
—	Mac Meissner	-2	70	70	74	68	282.0
—	Sepp Straka	-2	70	70	74	68	282.0
—	Matti Schmid	-2	72	72	68	70	282.0
—	Patrick Fishburn	-2	73	71	66	72	282.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-2	74	69	67	72	282.0
—	J.T. Poston	-2	71	69	70	72	282.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	-1	71	73	70	69	283.0
—	Tom Kim	-1	74	66	74	69	283.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-1	75	69	69	70	283.0
—	Sami Välimäki	-1	67	75	70	71	283.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-1	67	75	69	72	283.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-1	69	72	70	72	283.0
—	Luke Clanton	E	74	69	70	71	284.0
—	Chandler Phillips	E	73	69	70	72	284.0
—	Noah Goodwin	E	71	71	69	73	284.0
—	Kaito Onishi	E	70	72	69	73	284.0
—	Andrew Novak	E	69	72	68	75	284.0
—	Ryan Fox	+1	68	74	74	69	285.0
—	Neal Shipley	+1	76	68	71	70	285.0
—	Danny Willett	+1	71	72	71	71	285.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+1	72	70	71	72	285.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+1	71	69	73	72	285.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+1	70	71	71	73	285.0
—	Gary Woodland	+1	72	69	71	73	285.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+2	67	73	74	72	286.0
—	Max McGreevy	+2	72	69	72	73	286.0
—	Harry Hall	+2	69	70	74	73	286.0
—	Adam Scott	+3	74	70	73	70	287.0
—	C.T. Pan	+3	71	71	75	70	287.0
—	David Lipsky	+3	70	71	75	71	287.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+3	73	71	70	73	287.0
—	Doug Ghim	+3	71	71	72	73	287.0
—	Ryan Gerard	+3	70	73	69	75	287.0
—	Kevin Velo	+3	68	70	72	77	287.0
—	Zach Johnson	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Ben Griffin	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Cam Davis	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Matteo Manassero	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Taylor Moore	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Webb Simpson	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Svensson	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Kieron Van Wyk	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Ben Martin	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Will Gordon	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Sam Burns	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Brice Garnett	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Vince Whaley	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Wallace	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+3	34	—	—	—	34.0
—	Jesper Svensson	+4	71	73	73	71	288.0
—	Nate Lashley	+4	69	74	74	71	288.0
—	John Pak	+4	71	72	72	73	288.0
—	Sam Stevens	+4	69	71	75	73	288.0
—	Luke List	+4	69	74	70	75	288.0
—	Thomas Rosenmueller	+4	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Paul Peterson	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Danny Walker	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Peter Malnati	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Rico Hoey	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Greg Koch	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Nick Hardy	+4	68	78	—	—	146.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+4	35	—	—	—	35.0
—	Will Chandler	+5	72	72	70	75	289.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Taylor Dickson	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Nick Gabrelcik	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Quade Cummins	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Justin Lower	+5	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Mason Andersen	+6	72	72	77	69	290.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+6	74	68	77	71	290.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+6	73	71	73	73	290.0
—	Beau Hossler	+6	72	69	76	73	290.0
—	Braden Thornberry	+6	72	71	73	74	290.0
—	Rafael Campos	+6	74	69	72	75	290.0
—	Harry Higgs	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	William Mouw	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Tway	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	David Skinns	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	K.H. Lee	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Alex Smalley	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Aldrich Potgieter	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Tim Widing	+6	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Antoine Rozner	+7	70	74	75	72	291.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+7	80	69	—	—	149.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+7	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Blades Brown	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Alejandro Tosti	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Karl Vilips	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Chan Kim	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Ben Silverman	+7	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Kris Ventura	+8	74	67	76	75	292.0
—	Brian Campbell	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Niklas Nørgaard	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Roy	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Trevor Cone	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Jackson Suber	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Cameron Young	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Cristobal Del Solar	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Luke Donald	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Jake Knapp	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+10	72	70	78	74	294.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	+10	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Frankie Capan III	+10	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Ben Kohles	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Matthew Riedel	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Chad Ramey	+10	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Adam Schenk	+12	80	74	—	—	154.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+12	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Andre Chi	+13	81	74	—	—	155.0
—	Philip Knowles	+14	79	77	—	—	156.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Rikuya Hoshino	67.39	3%	0%	72.50	—
2	Kaito Onishi	67.83	3%	0%	71.00	—
3	Matthieu Pavon	67.90	7%	0%	71.25	—
4	John Pak	67.90	4%	0%	72.00	—
5	K.H. Lee	68.07	12%	0%	74.00	—
6	Thriston Lawrence	68.16	5%	0%	76.00	—
7	Taylor Dickson	68.22	3%	0%	73.50	—
8	Will Zalatoris	68.43	17%	1%	71.25	—
9	Jake Knapp	68.49	18%	1%	75.50	—
10	Camilo Villegas	68.56	9%	1%	72.50	—
11	Takumi Kanaya	68.62	6%	0%	74.50	—
12	Justin Thomas	68.64	29%	2%	68.50	—
13	Matt McCarty	68.64	4%	0%	70.00	—
14	Sam Burns	68.65	21%	1%	72.50	—
15	Adam Scott	68.71	31%	4%	71.75	—
16	Davis Riley	68.78	4%	1%	69.25	—
17	Nicolai Højgaard	68.81	11%	1%	73.00	—
18	Tom Kim	68.83	12%	3%	70.75	—
19	Viktor Hovland	68.91	19%	2%	68.25	—
20	Chandler Phillips	68.95	8%	1%	71.00	—
21	Justin Lower	69.00	14%	1%	73.50	—
22	Philip Knowles	69.01	4%	0%	78.00	—
23	Shane Lowry	69.07	24%	1%	69.50	—
24	Taylor Moore	69.09	16%	1%	72.50	—
25	Sahith Theegala	69.10	18%	1%	70.75	—
26	Xander Schauffele	69.10	24%	1%	69.75	—
27	Adam Hadwin	69.12	7%	0%	73.50	—
28	Billy Horschel	69.12	12%	0%	69.00	—
29	Frankie Capan III	69.13	5%	1%	76.00	—
30	Lucas Glover	69.15	10%	1%	69.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.