Wednesday, January 29, 2025

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

PGA ·80 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Rory McIlroy	-21	66	70	65	66	267.0
—	Shane Lowry	-19	66	70	65	68	269.0
—	Lucas Glover	-18	66	69	68	67	270.0
—	Justin Rose	-18	65	69	68	68	270.0
—	Russell Henley	-17	64	69	71	67	271.0
—	Cam Davis	-17	65	68	69	69	271.0
—	Tom Kim	-16	69	65	68	70	272.0
—	Sepp Straka	-16	65	65	70	72	272.0
—	Billy Horschel	-15	72	65	70	66	273.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-15	67	70	69	67	273.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-15	67	70	69	67	273.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-13	67	71	70	67	275.0
—	Andrew Novak	-12	69	65	75	67	276.0
—	Jason Day	-12	70	69	68	69	276.0
—	Tony Finau	-12	67	67	73	69	276.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-12	67	67	71	71	276.0
—	Tom Hoge	-11	68	70	71	68	277.0
—	Séamus Power	-11	69	71	68	69	277.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-11	69	71	68	69	277.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-11	69	67	71	70	277.0
—	Sam Stevens	-11	67	70	69	71	277.0
—	Adam Scott	-10	74	71	69	64	278.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-10	71	69	72	66	278.0
—	Taylor Moore	-10	73	68	70	67	278.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-10	70	66	75	67	278.0
—	Gary Woodland	-10	68	72	70	68	278.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-10	69	69	72	68	278.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-10	71	70	67	70	278.0
—	Eric Cole	-10	66	69	73	70	278.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-10	65	70	73	70	278.0
—	Sam Burns	-10	68	69	70	71	278.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	-10	65	71	70	72	278.0
—	Sungjae Im	-9	68	72	70	69	279.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-9	71	69	70	69	279.0
—	Nick Taylor	-9	68	69	72	70	279.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-9	66	70	73	70	279.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-9	70	68	70	71	279.0
—	Jake Knapp	-9	65	72	70	72	279.0
—	Lee Hodges	-9	66	69	71	73	279.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-8	68	72	73	67	280.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-8	68	69	76	67	280.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-8	67	77	68	68	280.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-8	68	71	73	68	280.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-8	68	72	70	70	280.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-8	70	67	73	70	280.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-8	68	70	71	71	280.0
—	Aaron Rai	-8	69	68	72	71	280.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-7	70	74	68	69	281.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-7	73	67	72	69	281.0
—	Thomas Detry	-7	69	70	72	70	281.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-7	70	69	71	71	281.0
—	Justin Thomas	-7	66	70	74	71	281.0
—	Max Homa	-6	71	72	70	69	282.0
—	Brian Harman	-6	71	72	69	70	282.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-6	67	72	72	71	282.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-6	68	69	72	73	282.0
—	J.T. Poston	-6	69	70	69	74	282.0
—	Harry Hall	-5	71	71	70	71	283.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-5	71	70	70	72	283.0
—	Davis Thompson	-5	69	70	71	73	283.0
—	Nick Dunlap	-5	69	68	72	74	283.0
—	Justin Lower	-4	69	72	74	69	284.0
—	Chris Kirk	-4	69	69	72	74	284.0
—	Kevin Yu	-3	71	72	72	70	285.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-2	72	69	76	69	286.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-2	72	73	71	70	286.0
—	Corey Conners	-2	70	69	76	71	286.0
—	Doug Ghim	-1	73	70	75	69	287.0
—	Jordan Spieth	E	70	72	79	67	288.0
—	Beau Hossler	E	72	70	78	68	288.0
—	Ben Griffin	E	69	70	73	76	288.0
—	Cameron Young	+1	73	73	74	69	289.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+2	68	73	78	71	290.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+2	74	73	71	72	290.0
—	Harris English	+2	68	76	74	72	290.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+2	69	75	74	72	290.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+5	69	75	76	73	293.0
—	Max Greyserman	+5	70	72	79	—	221.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	+5	77	—	—	—	77.0
—	Brendon Todd	+10	75	73	80	70	298.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Scottie Scheffler	68.35	76%	5%	68.25	—
2	Shane Lowry	68.51	20%	1%	67.25	—
3	Ludvig Åberg	68.59	26%	5%	38.50	—
4	Aaron Rai	68.66	25%	2%	70.00	—
5	Sahith Theegala	68.74	24%	2%	70.50	—
6	Austin Eckroat	68.78	18%	1%	69.00	—
7	Brian Harman	68.79	15%	1%	70.50	—
8	Wyndham Clark	68.84	14%	1%	72.50	—
9	Justin Thomas	68.87	26%	1%	70.25	—
10	Justin Rose	68.88	17%	1%	67.50	—
11	Davis Thompson	68.88	13%	1%	70.75	—
12	Tom Hoge	68.89	8%	1%	69.25	—
13	Doug Ghim	68.90	16%	1%	71.75	—
14	Jason Day	68.91	23%	1%	69.00	—
15	Mark Hubbard	68.92	8%	0%	72.50	—
16	Beau Hossler	68.92	14%	1%	72.00	—
17	Billy Horschel	68.94	14%	1%	68.25	—
18	Nick Taylor	68.96	15%	1%	69.75	—
19	Thomas Detry	68.98	16%	2%	70.25	—
20	Maverick McNealy	68.99	14%	1%	70.00	—
21	Patrick Cantlay	69.07	27%	3%	69.75	—
22	Collin Morikawa	69.09	34%	2%	69.25	—
23	Keegan Bradley	69.10	20%	1%	71.50	—
24	Taylor Moore	69.11	14%	3%	69.50	—
25	Chris Kirk	69.16	12%	1%	71.00	—
26	Jake Knapp	69.16	6%	0%	69.75	—
27	Gary Woodland	69.17	10%	1%	69.50	—
28	Matthieu Pavon	69.18	20%	3%	72.50	—
29	Taylor Pendrith	69.18	15%	1%	68.25	—
30	J.T. Poston	69.19	11%	2%	70.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.