Wednesday, January 15, 2025

The American Express

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Sepp Straka	-25	65	64	64	70	263.0
—	Justin Thomas	-23	67	64	68	66	265.0
—	Jason Day	-22	64	66	67	69	266.0
—	Justin Lower	-22	63	66	68	69	266.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-20	68	64	66	70	268.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-20	65	63	69	71	268.0
—	Camilo Villegas	-19	72	62	69	66	269.0
—	Ben Griffin	-19	66	69	66	68	269.0
—	Taylor Moore	-19	67	68	66	68	269.0
—	Max Greyserman	-19	69	66	65	69	269.0
—	Alex Smalley	-18	68	69	68	65	270.0
—	Nick Taylor	-17	65	66	73	67	271.0
—	J.T. Poston	-17	62	76	64	69	271.0
—	Frankie Capan III	-17	69	68	64	70	271.0
—	Beau Hossler	-17	66	70	65	70	271.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-17	66	66	69	70	271.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-17	65	64	69	73	271.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-16	68	71	67	66	272.0
—	Kevin Roy	-16	71	66	66	69	272.0
—	Cam Davis	-16	69	67	67	69	272.0
—	Ben Kohles	-15	70	65	72	66	273.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	-15	70	69	66	68	273.0
—	Harry Hall	-15	66	68	69	70	273.0
—	Doug Ghim	-15	68	64	71	70	273.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-15	66	68	68	71	273.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-15	69	62	71	71	273.0
—	Billy Horschel	-15	66	68	67	72	273.0
—	Daniel Berger	-15	68	67	65	73	273.0
—	Sam Burns	-14	68	66	73	67	274.0
—	Tom Hoge	-14	69	69	68	68	274.0
—	Vincent Norrman	-14	68	66	70	70	274.0
—	Carson Young	-14	65	68	70	71	274.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-14	64	66	71	73	274.0
—	Brice Garnett	-13	69	69	69	68	275.0
—	Nick Dunlap	-13	67	69	71	68	275.0
—	Chris Kirk	-13	64	70	73	68	275.0
—	Victor Perez	-13	69	69	68	69	275.0
—	Lee Hodges	-13	66	70	69	70	275.0
—	Quade Cummins	-13	66	67	72	70	275.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-13	71	67	66	71	275.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-13	66	67	69	73	275.0
—	Harry Higgs	-13	65	68	69	73	275.0
—	Harris English	-12	70	68	69	69	276.0
—	Michael Kim	-12	67	73	66	70	276.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	-12	67	70	69	70	276.0
—	Matteo Manassero	-12	68	66	72	70	276.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	-12	67	67	72	70	276.0
—	Ricky Castillo	-12	72	67	65	72	276.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-12	71	66	67	72	276.0
—	Sam Ryder	-12	67	66	71	72	276.0
—	Brian Campbell	-11	70	69	67	71	277.0
—	Ryan Gerard	-11	67	72	67	71	277.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-11	68	70	68	71	277.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-11	68	70	68	71	277.0
—	Davis Thompson	-11	69	69	68	71	277.0
—	Sam Stevens	-11	72	66	67	72	277.0
—	Matthew Riedel	-11	68	66	70	73	277.0
—	Kris Ventura	-10	72	67	68	71	278.0
—	Alejandro Tosti	-10	65	73	69	71	278.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	-10	72	66	68	72	278.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-10	69	67	70	72	278.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-10	70	68	66	74	278.0
—	Rico Hoey	-10	65	63	74	76	278.0
—	Vince Whaley	-9	70	68	69	72	279.0
—	Jeremy Paul	-9	68	69	67	75	279.0
—	Will Gordon	-8	69	69	69	73	280.0
—	Joe Highsmith	-8	75	64	65	76	280.0
—	Chandler Phillips	-8	70	73	65	—	208.0
—	Norman Xiong	-8	70	71	67	—	208.0
—	Luke List	-8	72	68	68	—	208.0
—	Nate Lashley	-8	71	69	68	—	208.0
—	Kevin Yu	-8	69	71	68	—	208.0
—	Chad Ramey	-8	67	73	68	—	208.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-8	64	71	73	—	208.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	-8	65	68	75	—	208.0
—	Mac Meissner	-7	71	69	67	74	281.0
—	Eric Cole	-7	68	69	70	74	281.0
—	Jake Knapp	-7	73	71	65	—	209.0
—	K.H. Lee	-7	70	74	65	—	209.0
—	Chris Gotterup	-7	67	75	67	—	209.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-7	73	68	68	—	209.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-7	72	67	70	—	209.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	-7	72	67	70	—	209.0
—	Tim Widing	-7	70	67	72	—	209.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-7	67	70	72	—	209.0
—	Zach Johnson	-7	69	67	73	—	209.0
—	Tony Finau	-7	69	66	74	—	209.0
—	Isaiah Salinda	-7	67	68	74	—	209.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-6	72	67	68	75	282.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-6	71	72	67	—	210.0
—	Sungjae Im	-6	77	65	68	—	210.0
—	Tom Kim	-6	73	69	68	—	210.0
—	Chan Kim	-6	75	66	69	—	210.0
—	Ben Martin	-6	66	75	69	—	210.0
—	Peter Malnati	-6	71	68	71	—	210.0
—	Matt McCarty	-6	70	69	71	—	210.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-6	69	70	71	—	210.0
—	Noah Goodwin	-6	69	69	72	—	210.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-6	67	71	72	—	210.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-6	69	68	73	—	210.0
—	Blades Brown	-6	72	64	74	—	210.0
—	Jesper Svensson	-6	68	67	75	—	210.0
—	John Pak	-6	67	67	76	—	210.0
—	Chez Reavie	-5	71	67	69	76	283.0
—	Zac Blair	-5	73	70	68	—	211.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-5	74	68	69	—	211.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	71	69	71	—	211.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-5	69	69	73	—	211.0
—	Paul Peterson	-4	76	70	66	—	212.0
—	Max McGreevy	-4	70	74	68	—	212.0
—	Aldrich Potgieter	-4	71	72	69	—	212.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-4	76	66	70	—	212.0
—	Adam Svensson	-4	71	71	70	—	212.0
—	Nick Hardy	-4	73	68	71	—	212.0
—	Danny Walker	-4	68	73	71	—	212.0
—	Brian Harman	-4	68	71	73	—	212.0
—	Matti Schmid	-4	64	73	75	—	212.0
—	Mason Andersen	-3	72	73	68	—	213.0
—	David Lipsky	-3	72	72	69	—	213.0
—	Lucas Glover	-3	73	70	70	—	213.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-3	71	72	70	—	213.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-3	74	68	71	—	213.0
—	Anders Albertson	-3	73	69	71	—	213.0
—	Jackson Suber	-3	65	77	71	—	213.0
—	Steven Fisk	-2	73	74	67	—	214.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-2	71	74	69	—	214.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-2	70	75	69	—	214.0
—	Jason Dufner	-2	70	75	69	—	214.0
—	David Skinns	-2	67	75	72	—	214.0
—	Braden Thornberry	-2	71	69	74	—	214.0
—	Kaito Onishi	-2	70	70	74	—	214.0
—	Rafael Campos	-2	68	71	75	—	214.0
—	Will Chandler	-1	75	72	68	—	215.0
—	Thomas Rosenmueller	-1	77	69	69	—	215.0
—	Kevin Velo	-1	76	70	69	—	215.0
—	Trevor Cone	-1	67	75	73	—	215.0
—	Patrick Fishburn	-1	72	69	74	—	215.0
—	Sami Välimäki	-1	67	71	77	—	215.0
—	William Mouw	E	68	81	67	—	216.0
—	Antoine Rozner	E	67	79	70	—	216.0
—	Taylor Dickson	E	71	71	74	—	216.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+1	68	80	69	—	217.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+1	75	71	71	—	217.0
—	Danny Willett	+1	71	74	72	—	217.0
—	Kyle Mendoza	+1	76	68	73	—	217.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+1	70	72	75	—	217.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+2	71	75	72	—	218.0
—	Ben Silverman	+2	72	72	74	—	218.0
—	Bill Haas	+2	73	70	75	—	218.0
—	Cameron Young	+2	69	74	75	—	218.0
—	Adam Schenk	+2	74	—	—	—	74.0
—	Davis Riley	+4	80	75	65	—	220.0
—	Philip Knowles	+4	78	70	72	—	220.0
—	Brendon Todd	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Andrew Novak	+5	75	74	72	—	221.0
—	Cristobal Del Solar	+13	75	82	72	—	229.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Adam Schenk	61.48	3%	0%	24.67	—
2	John Pak	67.18	2%	0%	70.00	—
3	Rikuya Hoshino	67.32	3%	0%	69.00	—
4	Kaito Onishi	67.66	3%	0%	71.33	—
5	Takumi Kanaya	67.72	5%	0%	69.67	—
6	Ryan Gerard	67.85	5%	0%	69.25	—
7	Braden Thornberry	67.88	4%	0%	71.33	—
8	Mason Andersen	68.11	2%	0%	71.00	—
9	Sungjae Im	68.48	32%	1%	70.00	—
10	Patton Kizzire	68.58	7%	1%	69.67	—
11	Sam Burns	68.64	22%	3%	68.50	—
12	Will Zalatoris	68.68	6%	0%	67.75	—
13	Ryo Hisatsune	68.71	11%	1%	69.00	—
14	Tony Finau	68.73	16%	2%	69.67	—
15	Vincent Norrman	68.74	3%	0%	68.50	—
16	Jacob Bridgeman	68.75	14%	1%	68.25	—
17	Ricky Castillo	68.75	4%	0%	69.00	—
18	Patrick Cantlay	68.76	31%	7%	67.00	—
19	Aldrich Potgieter	68.76	3%	0%	70.67	—
20	Chris Kirk	68.78	13%	1%	68.75	—
21	Sepp Straka	68.78	15%	18%	65.75	—
22	Erik van Rooyen	68.78	9%	1%	71.00	—
23	Davis Thompson	68.78	20%	2%	69.25	—
24	David Skinns	68.79	4%	0%	71.33	—
25	Justin Thomas	68.79	33%	1%	66.25	—
26	Tom Hoge	68.80	9%	1%	68.50	—
27	Kevin Yu	68.80	9%	0%	69.33	—
28	Cam Davis	68.81	16%	1%	68.00	—
29	Alex Smalley	68.81	24%	2%	67.50	—
30	Chandler Phillips	68.82	13%	1%	69.33	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.