Wednesday, January 1, 2025

The Sentry

PGA ·59 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-35	65	65	62	65	257.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-32	66	65	62	67	260.0
—	Sungjae Im	-29	69	67	62	65	263.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-25	68	68	66	65	267.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-24	69	70	65	64	268.0
—	Corey Conners	-24	66	66	69	67	268.0
—	Thomas Detry	-24	67	65	65	71	268.0
—	Sam Burns	-23	72	66	66	65	269.0
—	Cameron Young	-23	66	67	68	68	269.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-23	68	64	69	68	269.0
—	Tom Hoge	-23	64	68	68	69	269.0
—	Harry Hall	-23	68	65	66	70	269.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-22	71	65	67	67	270.0
—	Cam Davis	-22	73	64	64	69	270.0
—	Aaron Rai	-21	68	71	66	66	271.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-21	70	66	69	66	271.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-21	68	68	68	67	271.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-21	74	64	65	68	271.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-21	69	64	70	68	271.0
—	Tony Finau	-21	67	69	66	69	271.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-21	69	64	69	69	271.0
—	Adam Scott	-21	68	69	64	70	271.0
—	Sepp Straka	-21	69	65	67	70	271.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-20	73	65	66	68	272.0
—	Max Greyserman	-20	70	67	63	72	272.0
—	Justin Thomas	-19	71	71	68	63	273.0
—	Max Homa	-19	69	69	67	68	273.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-19	65	70	65	73	273.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-18	67	69	68	70	274.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-17	72	70	66	67	275.0
—	Russell Henley	-17	70	69	68	68	275.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-16	71	72	67	66	276.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-16	76	68	65	67	276.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-16	70	70	69	67	276.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-16	71	71	66	68	276.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-15	76	68	67	66	277.0
—	Davis Thompson	-15	78	64	68	67	277.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-15	72	67	71	67	277.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-15	70	69	68	70	277.0
—	J.T. Poston	-14	74	64	71	69	278.0
—	Jason Day	-14	70	70	68	70	278.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-14	73	70	63	72	278.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-14	70	69	67	72	278.0
—	Kevin Yu	-13	73	68	70	68	279.0
—	Chris Kirk	-13	74	67	68	70	279.0
—	Chris Gotterup	-12	72	69	71	68	280.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-12	73	66	71	70	280.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	-11	74	70	69	68	281.0
—	Nick Taylor	-11	73	73	66	69	281.0
—	Brice Garnett	-11	69	71	69	72	281.0
—	Billy Horschel	-10	72	69	69	72	282.0
—	Eric Cole	-9	74	68	68	73	283.0
—	Matt McCarty	-8	74	67	71	72	284.0
—	Peter Malnati	-8	74	64	73	73	284.0
—	Nick Dunlap	-7	76	70	68	71	285.0
—	Jake Knapp	-6	72	73	70	71	286.0
—	Rafael Campos	-4	72	72	71	73	288.0
—	Brian Harman	-3	75	74	70	70	289.0
—	Davis Riley	+9	73	80	74	38	265.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Xander Schauffele	68.24	53%	2%	68.75	—
2	Collin Morikawa	68.32	53%	2%	65.00	—
3	Brice Garnett	68.35	3%	0%	70.25	—
4	Chris Gotterup	68.61	4%	0%	70.00	—
5	Sungjae Im	68.76	55%	2%	65.75	—
6	Ludvig Åberg	68.86	27%	3%	67.00	—
7	Sahith Theegala	69.07	29%	1%	69.25	—
8	Brian Harman	69.11	16%	1%	72.25	—
9	J.T. Poston	69.11	19%	1%	69.50	—
10	Will Zalatoris	69.11	4%	0%	68.25	—
11	Robert MacIntyre	69.12	15%	4%	67.75	—
12	Chris Kirk	69.18	19%	3%	69.75	—
13	Jason Day	69.18	30%	2%	69.50	—
14	Sepp Straka	69.20	16%	1%	67.75	—
15	Matthieu Pavon	69.21	11%	1%	70.25	—
16	Patrick Cantlay	69.22	34%	3%	67.75	—
17	Akshay Bhatia	69.25	18%	2%	69.00	—
18	Eric Cole	69.27	18%	1%	70.75	—
19	Byeong Hun An	69.33	23%	0%	69.00	—
20	Jhonattan Vegas	69.33	16%	1%	66.75	—
21	Sam Burns	69.35	47%	3%	67.25	—
22	Max Homa	69.36	10%	0%	68.25	—
23	Adam Hadwin	69.37	10%	0%	68.50	—
24	Max Greyserman	69.40	28%	0%	68.00	—
25	Justin Thomas	69.42	19%	1%	68.25	—
26	Viktor Hovland	69.44	24%	1%	69.25	—
27	Matt Fitzpatrick	69.45	17%	1%	68.00	—
28	Nico Echavarria	69.49	12%	1%	69.00	—
29	Keegan Bradley	69.50	21%	2%	67.75	—
30	Taylor Pendrith	69.50	18%	0%	67.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.