Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Black Desert Championship

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Matt McCarty	-23	62	68	64	67	261.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-20	65	63	68	68	264.0
—	Lucas Glover	-19	69	66	68	62	265.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-19	64	69	63	69	265.0
—	Matti Schmid	-18	70	67	67	62	266.0
—	Joe Highsmith	-17	66	68	62	71	267.0
—	Harris English	-17	66	64	66	71	267.0
—	Nick Hardy	-16	66	71	66	65	268.0
—	Lee Hodges	-16	66	65	70	67	268.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-16	62	68	70	68	268.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-15	68	69	67	65	269.0
—	Séamus Power	-15	72	64	68	65	269.0
—	Tom Whitney	-15	68	68	68	65	269.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-15	67	69	67	66	269.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-15	66	69	67	67	269.0
—	Ben Griffin	-15	67	66	69	67	269.0
—	Carson Young	-15	65	67	69	68	269.0
—	Max McGreevy	-15	68	68	64	69	269.0
—	Carl Yuan	-15	67	67	66	69	269.0
—	Beau Hossler	-15	66	67	66	70	269.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-14	72	65	67	66	270.0
—	Rico Hoey	-14	66	69	68	67	270.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-14	65	68	68	69	270.0
—	Chad Ramey	-14	69	66	64	71	270.0
—	Mac Meissner	-13	66	69	70	66	271.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-13	66	67	72	66	271.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	-13	67	70	67	67	271.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-13	68	67	69	67	271.0
—	Alex Smalley	-13	67	69	66	69	271.0
—	Nick Taylor	-13	69	67	66	69	271.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-13	69	64	69	69	271.0
—	Doug Ghim	-13	65	70	66	70	271.0
—	Adam Svensson	-13	60	69	71	71	271.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-13	65	70	64	72	271.0
—	Will Gordon	-12	67	70	67	68	272.0
—	Chris Kirk	-12	66	68	70	68	272.0
—	Daniel Berger	-12	72	65	65	70	272.0
—	Kevin Tway	-12	69	67	66	70	272.0
—	Harry Hall	-12	65	69	64	74	272.0
—	Philip Knowles	-11	74	63	67	69	273.0
—	Sam Ryder	-11	64	66	74	69	273.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-11	67	67	69	70	273.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-10	66	71	66	71	274.0
—	Alejandro Tosti	-10	69	66	68	71	274.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-10	68	66	68	72	274.0
—	Wilson Furr	-9	66	70	72	67	275.0
—	K.H. Lee	-9	67	69	71	68	275.0
—	Justin Suh	-9	67	69	70	69	275.0
—	Ryan Fox	-9	65	72	68	70	275.0
—	Cameron Champ	-9	65	69	70	71	275.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	-9	68	67	68	72	275.0
—	Chan Kim	-9	65	70	66	74	275.0
—	Ben Kohles	-9	65	64	71	75	275.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-8	70	67	70	69	276.0
—	Scott Piercy	-8	67	70	69	70	276.0
—	Tyson Alexander	-8	70	67	69	70	276.0
—	Raul Pereda	-8	68	68	70	70	276.0
—	Trace Crowe	-8	70	66	68	72	276.0
—	Chez Reavie	-8	70	63	71	72	276.0
—	Erik Barnes	-6	68	68	70	72	278.0
—	Nate Lashley	-5	68	68	71	72	279.0
—	Roger Sloan	-5	66	67	72	74	279.0
—	Norman Xiong	-4	69	68	74	69	280.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-4	71	67	—	—	138.0
—	Rafael Campos	-4	71	67	—	—	138.0
—	Martin Laird	-4	70	68	—	—	138.0
—	Tim Wilkinson	-4	69	69	—	—	138.0
—	Kihei Akina	-4	69	69	—	—	138.0
—	Justin Lower	-4	69	69	—	—	138.0
—	Kevin Chappell	-4	67	71	—	—	138.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-3	67	68	77	69	281.0
—	S.H. Kim	-3	68	69	70	74	281.0
—	C.T. Pan	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Hayden Springer	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Paul Barjon	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	David Lipsky	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Kevin Dougherty	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Pierceson Coody	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Robby Shelton	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Michael Kim	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Zac Blair	-2	68	69	70	75	282.0
—	Peter Malnati	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	David Skinns	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Patrick Fishburn	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Callum Tarren	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Ryan Brehm	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Chris Korte	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Chandler Phillips	-2	67	73	—	—	140.0
—	Josh Teater	-2	66	74	—	—	140.0
—	Andrew Novak	-2	69	66	—	—	135.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-2	69	66	—	—	135.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	-2	67	32	—	—	99.0
—	Vince Whaley	-1	68	68	75	72	283.0
—	Brice Garnett	-1	75	66	—	—	141.0
—	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Ben Taylor	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Chandler Blanchet	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Alexander Björk	E	68	69	76	71	284.0
—	Ryan Moore	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Troy Merritt	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Mike Weir	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Luke List	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+1	78	65	—	—	143.0
—	Bud Cauley	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	David Bradshaw	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Dylan Wu	+2	68	69	74	75	286.0
—	John Sand	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Blaine Hale Jr.	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Sami Välimäki	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan McCormick	+2	72	45	—	—	117.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+2	33	—	—	—	33.0
—	Peter Kuest	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Cody Gribble	+4	78	68	—	—	146.0
—	Zac Jones	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Bowen Mauss	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brandon Wu	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Nicholas Lindheim	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Austin Cook	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Jay Don Blake	+10	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Martin Trainer	+14	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Dustin Volk	+15	80	77	—	—	157.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	J.B. Holmes	61.95	2%	0%	16.50	—
2	Erik Barnes	63.96	2%	0%	69.50	—
3	Raul Pereda	65.99	2%	0%	69.00	—
4	Nicholas Lindheim	66.21	4%	0%	74.00	—
5	Kevin Streelman	66.99	4%	0%	66.25	—
6	Alexander Björk	67.05	2%	0%	71.00	—
7	Cody Gribble	67.09	4%	0%	73.00	—
8	Kevin Kisner	67.23	3%	0%	75.50	—
9	Trey Mullinax	67.46	3%	0%	67.75	—
10	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	67.48	4%	0%	70.50	—
11	David Skinns	67.91	7%	0%	70.00	—
12	Brice Garnett	67.91	5%	0%	70.50	—
13	Harris English	67.92	8%	0%	66.75	—
14	Philip Knowles	67.93	3%	0%	68.25	—
15	Tyson Alexander	68.00	2%	0%	69.00	—
16	Josh Teater	68.04	2%	0%	70.00	—
17	Scott Gutschewski	68.09	2%	0%	74.50	—
18	Rafael Campos	68.10	4%	0%	69.00	—
19	Joseph Bramlett	68.13	4%	0%	67.50	—
20	Justin Lower	68.14	11%	1%	69.00	—
21	Chad Ramey	68.16	6%	0%	67.50	—
22	Lee Hodges	68.17	7%	0%	67.00	—
23	Blaine Hale Jr.	68.17	3%	0%	72.00	—
24	Camilo Villegas	68.18	2%	0%	71.50	—
25	Ryan Brehm	68.19	2%	0%	70.00	—
26	Peter Malnati	68.22	3%	0%	70.00	—
27	Alex Smalley	68.23	6%	0%	67.75	—
28	Nick Taylor	68.25	4%	0%	67.75	—
29	Carl Yuan	68.25	4%	0%	67.25	—
30	Garrick Higgo	68.26	4%	0%	71.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.