Wednesday, August 28, 2024

TOUR Championship

PGA ·30 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-30	65	66	66	67	264.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-26	66	63	67	66	262.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-24	67	66	66	64	263.0
—	Russell Henley	-19	67	71	67	62	267.0
—	Adam Scott	-19	66	67	68	67	268.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-19	70	64	71	68	273.0
—	Sungjae Im	-18	69	68	68	64	269.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-17	67	67	68	69	271.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-16	69	69	68	66	272.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-16	70	70	68	67	275.0
—	Shane Lowry	-16	69	69	65	68	271.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-15	69	71	65	66	271.0
—	Sam Burns	-15	67	68	68	70	273.0
—	Justin Thomas	-14	66	69	70	65	270.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-14	66	69	70	66	271.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-12	71	68	68	70	277.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-11	69	71	71	64	275.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	-11	67	69	71	67	274.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-11	69	70	71	67	277.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-10	70	67	71	67	275.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-8	69	74	71	68	282.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-8	69	71	69	69	278.0
—	Billy Horschel	-6	73	69	71	66	279.0
—	Aaron Rai	-6	66	70	72	70	278.0
—	Tony Finau	-6	70	66	74	71	281.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-5	70	69	71	71	281.0
—	Chris Kirk	-3	70	74	67	70	281.0
—	Sepp Straka	-3	68	70	71	73	282.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+3	71	69	73	74	287.0
—	Tom Hoge	+3	69	68	76	74	287.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Chris Kirk	67.78	8%	1%	70.25	—
2	Xander Schauffele	68.10	73%	8%	68.25	—
3	Scottie Scheffler	68.37	60%	76%	66.00	—
4	Collin Morikawa	68.43	46%	2%	65.50	—
5	Aaron Rai	68.71	25%	2%	69.50	—
6	Rory McIlroy	68.72	37%	3%	68.00	—
7	Sungjae Im	68.77	17%	0%	67.25	—
8	Viktor Hovland	68.77	22%	1%	67.75	—
9	Tom Hoge	68.77	22%	1%	71.75	—
10	Justin Thomas	68.80	30%	2%	67.50	—
11	Sepp Straka	68.83	21%	1%	70.50	—
12	Wyndham Clark	68.83	24%	1%	67.75	—
13	Patrick Cantlay	68.85	26%	4%	69.25	—
14	Ludvig Åberg	68.86	23%	3%	69.25	—
15	Sam Burns	68.89	25%	2%	68.25	—
16	Billy Horschel	68.89	20%	2%	69.75	—
17	Robert MacIntyre	68.89	13%	2%	68.75	—
18	Tony Finau	68.91	15%	0%	70.25	—
19	Akshay Bhatia	68.92	13%	2%	70.25	—
20	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	68.92	16%	1%	71.75	—
21	Shane Lowry	68.92	22%	1%	67.75	—
22	Hideki Matsuyama	68.93	27%	1%	68.75	—
23	Taylor Pendrith	69.01	19%	0%	67.75	—
24	Byeong Hun An	69.03	15%	0%	69.50	—
25	Keegan Bradley	69.09	22%	1%	70.50	—
26	Russell Henley	69.11	34%	1%	66.75	—
27	Tommy Fleetwood	69.19	23%	4%	68.75	—
28	Adam Scott	69.22	25%	3%	67.00	—
29	Sahith Theegala	69.55	16%	1%	65.75	—
30	Matthieu Pavon	69.66	9%	1%	68.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.