Wednesday, July 17, 2024

The Open

PGA ·157 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Xander Schauffele	-9	69	72	69	65	275.0
—	Justin Rose	-7	69	68	73	67	277.0
—	Billy Horschel	-7	72	68	69	68	277.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	-6	71	74	65	68	278.0
—	Russell Henley	-5	69	75	66	69	279.0
—	Shane Lowry	-4	66	69	77	68	280.0
—	Jon Rahm	-1	73	70	72	68	283.0
—	Sungjae Im	-1	76	72	66	69	283.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-1	70	70	71	72	283.0
—	Adam Scott	E	70	77	66	71	284.0
—	Matthew Jordan	E	71	71	71	71	284.0
—	Daniel Brown	E	65	72	73	74	284.0
—	Jason Day	+1	73	68	76	68	285.0
—	Alex Noren	+1	69	75	71	70	285.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+1	75	71	68	71	285.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+2	69	74	75	68	286.0
—	John Catlin	+2	76	70	69	71	286.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+2	73	70	72	71	286.0
—	Dean Burmester	+3	71	69	76	71	287.0
—	Shubhankar Sharma	+3	76	72	67	72	287.0
—	Daniel Hillier	+3	76	71	68	72	287.0
—	Ewen Ferguson	+4	74	73	70	71	288.0
—	Sepp Straka	+4	70	74	73	71	288.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+4	72	73	71	72	288.0
—	Romain Langasque	+4	36	—	—	—	36.0
—	Ryan Fox	+5	73	73	76	67	289.0
—	Corey Conners	+5	71	70	80	68	289.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+5	71	74	74	70	289.0
—	Joe Dean	+5	69	77	71	72	289.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+5	73	68	75	73	289.0
—	Laurie Canter	+5	71	74	70	74	289.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	+6	73	75	71	71	290.0
—	Cameron Young	+6	73	73	71	73	290.0
—	Eric Cole	+6	72	73	72	73	290.0
—	Brendon Todd	+6	73	73	70	74	290.0
—	Matteo Manassero	+6	73	73	70	74	290.0
—	Minkyu Kim	+6	73	71	72	74	290.0
—	Chris Kirk	+6	70	76	69	75	290.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+6	74	69	72	75	290.0
—	Justin Thomas	+6	68	78	67	77	290.0
—	Sam Burns	+6	76	69	65	80	290.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+7	77	69	74	71	291.0
—	Matt Wallace	+7	70	77	71	73	291.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Yuto Katsuragawa	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Jack McDonald	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Nacho Elvira	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Victor Perez	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Sami Välimäki	+7	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Kazuma Kobori	+7	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Jorge Campillo	+8	80	68	73	71	292.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	+8	72	73	76	71	292.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+8	70	73	78	71	292.0
—	Max Homa	+8	76	72	70	74	292.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+8	76	71	71	74	292.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+8	71	74	72	75	292.0
—	Calum Scott	+8	71	75	70	76	292.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	+8	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	J.T. Poston	+8	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Charlie Lindh	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Sam Horsfield	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Nick Taylor	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Masahiro Kawamura	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+9	70	78	73	72	293.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+9	72	72	77	72	293.0
—	Richard Mansell	+9	75	71	74	73	293.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+9	72	75	72	74	293.0
—	Harris English	+9	76	71	72	74	293.0
—	Adrian Meronk	+9	73	72	73	75	293.0
—	Gary Woodland	+9	76	68	72	77	293.0
—	Sean Crocker	+9	72	74	69	78	293.0
—	C.T. Pan	+9	79	72	—	—	151.0
—	Jordan Smith	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Zach Johnson	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Elvis Smylie	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Joost Luiten	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Adam Schenk	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Matthew Southgate	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+9	71	80	—	—	151.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+10	73	75	70	76	294.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+10	71	71	76	76	294.0
—	Jasper Stubbs	+10	80	72	—	—	152.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+10	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Taylor Moore	+10	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Yannik Paul	+10	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Ryosuke Kinoshita	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Michael Hendry	+10	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Matthew Dodd-Berry	+10	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Tony Finau	+10	71	81	—	—	152.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+10	71	81	—	—	152.0
—	Tommy Morrison	+11	75	73	74	73	295.0
—	Jeunghun Wang	+11	72	72	77	74	295.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+11	74	72	74	75	295.0
—	Jacob Skov Olesen	+11	76	71	72	76	295.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+11	73	74	72	76	295.0
—	Brian Harman	+11	73	73	72	77	295.0
—	Altin Van Der Merwe	+11	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Ben Griffin	+11	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+11	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Angel Hidalgo	+11	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Stewart Cink	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Tom Kim	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+11	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Jesper Svensson	+11	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	John Daly	+11	82	—	—	—	82.0
—	Ernie Els	+11	82	—	—	—	82.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+12	75	72	75	74	296.0
—	Tom McKibbin	+12	73	72	77	74	296.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+12	69	75	75	77	296.0
—	Davis Thompson	+12	74	73	71	78	296.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+12	73	73	72	78	296.0
—	Cameron Smith	+12	80	74	—	—	154.0
—	Sam Hutsby	+12	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Alexander Björk	+12	73	81	—	—	154.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+13	79	69	74	75	297.0
—	Gordon Sargent	+13	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	David Puig	+13	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	Ryan van Velzen	+13	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Liam Nolan	+13	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Dominic Clemons	+13	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Lucas Glover	+13	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Jaime Montojo	+13	74	81	—	—	155.0
—	Young-han Song	+14	71	76	77	74	298.0
—	Marcel Siem	+14	73	71	77	77	298.0
—	Tom Hoge	+14	74	70	74	80	298.0
—	Tiger Woods	+14	79	77	—	—	156.0
—	Santiago de la Fuente	+14	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+14	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	Mason Andersen	+14	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Darren Clarke	+15	77	71	76	75	299.0
—	Aaron Rai	+15	73	74	75	77	299.0
—	Alex Cejka	+15	73	74	72	80	299.0
—	Justin Leonard	+16	80	78	—	—	158.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+16	78	80	—	—	158.0
—	Denwit Boriboonsub	+16	78	80	—	—	158.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+17	80	79	—	—	159.0
—	Luis Masaveu	+18	73	75	78	76	302.0
—	Dan Bradbury	+18	83	77	—	—	160.0
—	Guntaek Koh	+18	81	79	—	—	160.0
—	Andy Ogletree	+19	75	72	79	77	303.0
—	Todd Hamilton	+20	82	80	—	—	162.0
—	Darren Fichardt	+22	77	71	80	78	306.0
—	Aguri Iwasaki	+23	74	91	—	—	165.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	John Daly	53.76	1%	0%	41.00	—
2	Gordon Sargent	66.73	3%	0%	77.50	—
3	Dan Bradbury	67.52	2%	0%	80.00	—
4	Vincent Norrman	68.06	3%	0%	74.50	—
5	David Puig	68.07	4%	0%	77.50	—
6	Rory McIlroy	68.55	49%	3%	76.50	—
7	Austin Eckroat	68.59	10%	1%	74.00	—
8	Xander Schauffele	68.63	66%	86%	68.75	—
9	Tom McKibbin	68.65	8%	0%	74.00	—
10	Maverick McNealy	68.67	12%	1%	76.00	—
11	Brian Harman	68.68	12%	1%	73.75	—
12	Ryo Hisatsune	68.68	8%	1%	75.50	—
13	Louis Oosthuizen	68.70	6%	0%	75.00	—
14	Eric Cole	68.72	9%	1%	72.50	—
15	Will Zalatoris	68.75	5%	1%	74.50	—
16	Jordan Spieth	68.96	15%	1%	72.25	—
17	Ludvig Åberg	68.98	22%	1%	75.50	—
18	Masahiro Kawamura	69.00	4%	0%	75.00	—
19	Scottie Scheffler	69.05	87%	3%	70.75	—
20	Davis Thompson	69.06	24%	2%	74.00	—
21	Andy Ogletree	69.08	3%	0%	75.75	—
22	Collin Morikawa	69.09	40%	8%	71.50	—
23	Matt Fitzpatrick	69.09	22%	1%	73.25	—
24	Stephan Jaeger	69.12	16%	1%	76.50	—
25	Corey Conners	69.15	15%	2%	72.25	—
26	Viktor Hovland	69.17	22%	2%	76.00	—
27	Sean Crocker	69.18	5%	0%	73.25	—
28	Tommy Fleetwood	69.21	23%	3%	75.50	—
29	Adam Scott	69.24	21%	2%	71.00	—
30	Angel Hidalgo	69.24	6%	0%	76.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.