Wednesday, June 12, 2024

U.S. Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-6	67	69	67	71	274.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-5	65	72	69	69	275.0
—	Tony Finau	-4	68	69	72	67	276.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-4	65	71	70	70	276.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	-3	67	70	69	71	277.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-2	72	66	70	70	278.0
—	Russell Henley	-1	70	70	72	67	279.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-1	70	69	72	68	279.0
—	Sam Burns	E	73	67	73	67	280.0
—	Davis Thompson	E	70	72	70	68	280.0
—	Corey Conners	E	69	70	71	70	280.0
—	Sergio García	+1	69	71	71	70	281.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	+1	66	69	73	73	281.0
—	Thomas Detry	+2	69	67	76	70	282.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+2	70	74	66	72	282.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+3	70	75	70	68	283.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+3	68	71	73	71	283.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+3	71	70	70	72	283.0
—	Shane Lowry	+4	74	71	70	69	284.0
—	Aaron Rai	+4	69	74	68	73	284.0
—	Max Greyserman	+5	71	74	72	68	285.0
—	Daniel Berger	+5	73	70	73	69	285.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+5	73	69	72	71	285.0
—	Brian Harman	+5	71	71	71	72	285.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+5	70	70	73	72	285.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+6	70	75	71	70	286.0
—	Neal Shipley	+6	70	73	71	72	286.0
—	Chris Kirk	+6	71	71	72	72	286.0
—	Zac Blair	+6	70	69	75	72	286.0
—	Tom Kim	+6	71	68	71	76	286.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+6	68	71	70	77	286.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+6	78	68	—	—	146.0
—	Jackson Buchanan	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Ben James	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Jason Scrivener	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Nick Dunlap	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Eric Cole	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Justin Rose	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brandon Robinson Thompson	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Frederik Kjettrup	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Bryan Kim	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Max Homa	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Taisei Shimizu	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+6	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Adam Scott	+7	70	72	76	69	287.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+7	77	68	72	70	287.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	71	72	74	70	287.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+7	74	70	72	71	287.0
—	J.T. Poston	+7	73	71	71	72	287.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+7	72	71	72	72	287.0
—	Cameron Smith	+7	71	72	72	72	287.0
—	Isaiah Salinda	+7	70	72	73	72	287.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+7	75	67	72	73	287.0
—	Rico Hoey	+7	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Parker Bell	+7	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Peter Malnati	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Tiger Woods	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Omar Morales	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Séamus Power	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Harris English	+8	70	73	74	71	288.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+8	72	71	74	71	288.0
—	Frankie Capan III	+8	71	70	76	71	288.0
—	Tom McKibbin	+8	74	71	71	72	288.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	+8	71	74	71	72	288.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+8	70	72	73	73	288.0
—	Tim Widing	+8	71	68	76	73	288.0
—	Luke Clanton	+8	76	69	69	74	288.0
—	Billy Horschel	+8	73	67	74	74	288.0
—	Richard Mansell	+8	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Taylor Moore	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Ryo Ishikawa	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Eugenio Chacarra	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Tom Hoge	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Webb Simpson	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Nick Taylor	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Alex Noren	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Day	+8	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+8	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Justin Lower	+9	72	73	74	70	289.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+9	72	71	75	71	289.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+9	72	69	74	74	289.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+9	74	69	70	76	289.0
—	Chris Petefish	+9	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Cam Davis	+9	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Joey Vrzich	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Victor Perez	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Hiroshi Tai	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Sung Kang	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Edoardo Molinari	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Mac Meissner	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Logan McAllister	+9	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Robert Rock	+9	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+10	72	69	78	71	290.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+10	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Ashton McCulloch	+10	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Beau Hossler	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Sungjae Im	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Gary Woodland	+10	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	David Puig	+11	76	68	69	78	291.0
—	Sam Bairstow	+11	84	67	—	—	151.0
—	Adam Schenk	+11	79	72	—	—	151.0
—	Michael McGowan	+11	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Justin Thomas	+11	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Brendan Valdes	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Harry Higgs	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Wells Williams	+11	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Andrew Svoboda	+11	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Gordon Sargent	+11	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Carter Jenkins	+11	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Casey Jarvis	+11	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Willie Mack III	+11	71	80	—	—	151.0
—	S.H. Kim	+12	69	72	83	68	292.0
—	Ben Kohles	+12	77	68	76	71	292.0
—	Ryan Fox	+12	73	72	76	71	292.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+12	76	69	75	72	292.0
—	Sepp Straka	+12	70	72	78	72	292.0
—	Brian Campbell	+12	73	70	75	74	292.0
—	Adam Svensson	+12	73	70	74	75	292.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+12	73	71	71	77	292.0
—	Adrian Meronk	+12	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Jake Knapp	+12	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+12	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+13	73	72	79	69	293.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+13	73	72	77	71	293.0
—	Martin Kaymer	+13	70	73	77	73	293.0
—	Santiago de la Fuente	+13	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Grant Forrest	+13	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	John Chin	+13	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Lucas Glover	+13	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Jim Herman	+13	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Cameron Young	+14	73	72	75	74	294.0
—	Brendon Todd	+14	74	71	74	75	294.0
—	Maxwell Moldovan	+14	80	74	—	—	154.0
—	Matteo Manassero	+14	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Stewart Hagestad	+14	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+14	72	82	—	—	154.0
—	Dean Burmester	+15	74	71	76	74	295.0
—	Chris Naegel	+15	81	74	—	—	155.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+15	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Carson Schaake	+15	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Gunnar Broin	+16	75	68	81	72	296.0
—	Brandon Wu	+16	74	71	78	73	296.0
—	Sam Bennett	+17	69	72	77	79	297.0
—	Colin Prater	+17	79	78	—	—	157.0
—	Jackson Suber	+18	69	73	81	75	298.0
—	Otto Black	+19	79	80	—	—	159.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+19	78	81	—	—	159.0
—	Riki Kawamoto	+19	77	82	—	—	159.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+20	72	72	78	78	300.0
—	Charlie Reiter	+20	80	80	—	—	160.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Nicolai Højgaard	66.89	6%	0%	72.25	—
2	Zac Blair	67.06	4%	0%	71.50	—
3	Tim Widing	67.70	3%	0%	72.00	—
4	Rico Hoey	68.10	5%	0%	73.50	—
5	Ben Kohles	68.59	6%	2%	73.00	—
6	Dean Burmester	68.59	13%	1%	73.75	—
7	Scottie Scheffler	68.68	34%	10%	72.00	—
8	Willie Mack III	68.68	2%	0%	75.50	—
9	Xander Schauffele	68.83	46%	4%	69.75	—
10	Viktor Hovland	68.83	17%	1%	73.00	—
11	Justin Lower	68.84	7%	0%	72.25	—
12	Aaron Rai	68.88	14%	1%	71.00	—
13	Harry Higgs	68.88	3%	0%	75.50	—
14	S.H. Kim	68.90	11%	1%	73.00	—
15	Rory McIlroy	68.90	41%	8%	68.75	—
16	Min Woo Lee	68.92	16%	2%	71.25	—
17	Max Greyserman	69.10	6%	0%	71.25	—
18	Denny McCarthy	69.16	12%	1%	71.75	—
19	Ludvig Åberg	69.22	25%	2%	70.25	—
20	Austin Eckroat	69.26	16%	4%	75.00	—
21	Tom Kim	69.33	14%	1%	71.50	—
22	Eugenio Chacarra	69.35	2%	0%	74.00	—
23	Jackson Suber	69.64	2%	0%	74.50	—
24	Jake Knapp	69.72	10%	1%	76.00	—
25	Wyndham Clark	69.76	18%	1%	73.00	—
26	Hideki Matsuyama	69.92	34%	2%	69.50	—
27	Collin Morikawa	69.93	25%	3%	70.50	—
28	Matt Fitzpatrick	69.95	16%	1%	73.25	—
29	Harris English	69.96	16%	1%	72.00	—
30	Russell Henley	69.97	33%	1%	69.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.