Wednesday, June 5, 2024

the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday

PGA ·73 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-8	67	68	71	74	280.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-7	68	74	68	71	281.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-4	66	72	72	74	284.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-3	72	67	74	72	285.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-2	73	70	74	69	286.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-2	68	72	72	74	286.0
—	Sepp Straka	-2	72	70	68	76	286.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-1	73	70	74	70	287.0
—	Sungjae Im	-1	76	71	67	73	287.0
—	Tony Finau	-1	71	70	73	73	287.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-1	68	73	71	75	287.0
—	Victor Perez	E	71	74	68	75	288.0
—	Sahith Theegala	E	73	71	69	75	288.0
—	Nick Dunlap	E	70	73	70	75	288.0
—	Billy Horschel	+2	69	74	76	71	290.0
—	Sam Burns	+2	71	75	71	73	290.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+2	72	70	73	75	290.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+2	69	69	77	75	290.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+2	70	71	73	76	290.0
—	Corey Conners	+3	68	76	76	71	291.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+3	69	73	73	76	291.0
—	Alex Noren	+4	70	74	75	73	292.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+4	71	73	73	75	292.0
—	J.T. Poston	+4	75	69	72	76	292.0
—	Max Homa	+4	71	73	72	76	292.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+4	69	72	75	76	292.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+5	70	78	76	69	293.0
—	Adam Svensson	+5	72	73	76	72	293.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	73	73	74	73	293.0
—	Davis Thompson	+5	73	73	74	73	293.0
—	Russell Henley	+5	73	71	74	75	293.0
—	Séamus Power	+5	69	74	73	77	293.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Ben Griffin	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Justin Thomas	+6	71	77	74	72	294.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+6	74	71	77	72	294.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+6	75	71	74	74	294.0
—	Peter Malnati	+6	72	73	74	75	294.0
—	Jason Day	+6	73	75	69	77	294.0
—	Brian Harman	+6	77	69	71	77	294.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+6	79	71	—	—	150.0
—	Jake Knapp	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Harris English	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Brendon Todd	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+7	77	71	71	76	295.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+7	76	70	73	76	295.0
—	Davis Riley	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Thomas Detry	+8	72	76	71	77	296.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+8	74	70	73	79	296.0
—	Lucas Glover	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Chris Kirk	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Tom Kim	+9	70	75	78	74	297.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+9	70	69	78	80	297.0
—	Justin Rose	+9	80	73	—	—	153.0
—	Adam Schenk	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Tom Hoge	+10	72	74	77	75	298.0
—	Lee Hodges	+10	71	73	77	77	298.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+10	77	71	72	78	298.0
—	Eric Cole	+10	70	75	74	79	298.0
—	Shane Lowry	+12	74	73	68	85	300.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Taylor Moore	+12	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Cameron Young	+13	76	72	76	77	301.0
—	Cam Davis	+13	73	72	77	79	301.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+13	77	80	—	—	157.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+14	76	82	—	—	158.0
—	Jackson Koivun	+18	72	76	78	80	306.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Hideki Matsuyama	67.34	67%	5%	71.75	—
2	Tommy Fleetwood	68.17	22%	1%	72.75	—
3	Collin Morikawa	68.75	43%	1%	70.25	—
4	Nick Dunlap	68.81	7%	1%	72.00	—
5	Denny McCarthy	68.84	14%	0%	73.75	—
6	Brendon Todd	68.97	15%	1%	75.00	—
7	Scottie Scheffler	69.01	72%	92%	70.00	—
8	Viktor Hovland	69.17	28%	1%	72.50	—
9	Patrick Cantlay	69.20	22%	1%	75.50	—
10	Matthieu Pavon	69.38	12%	2%	76.00	—
11	Jake Knapp	69.44	11%	1%	75.00	—
12	Matt Kuchar	69.47	5%	1%	73.50	—
13	Ludvig Åberg	69.56	28%	1%	71.50	—
14	Will Zalatoris	69.91	14%	1%	74.00	—
15	Si Woo Kim	70.31	12%	0%	72.50	—
16	Adam Schenk	70.39	8%	0%	76.50	—
17	Lee Hodges	70.54	8%	1%	74.50	—
18	Rory McIlroy	70.57	19%	2%	72.50	—
19	Xander Schauffele	70.59	26%	4%	71.75	—
20	Tony Finau	70.75	14%	1%	71.75	—
21	Sahith Theegala	70.76	19%	1%	72.00	—
22	Shane Lowry	70.76	14%	2%	75.00	—
23	Austin Eckroat	70.81	9%	1%	73.75	—
24	Davis Riley	70.82	6%	0%	75.50	—
25	Billy Horschel	70.93	17%	0%	72.50	—
26	Jordan Spieth	70.94	6%	0%	74.50	—
27	Max Homa	70.97	11%	1%	73.00	—
28	Jason Day	71.04	18%	0%	73.50	—
29	Sam Burns	71.10	11%	1%	72.50	—
30	Matt Fitzpatrick	71.11	14%	0%	71.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.