Wednesday, May 22, 2024

Charles Schwab Challenge

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Davis Riley	-14	66	64	66	70	266.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-9	68	66	70	67	271.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-9	72	65	63	71	271.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-8	68	69	67	68	272.0
—	Mac Meissner	-5	71	70	66	68	275.0
—	Sepp Straka	-5	68	66	71	70	275.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-5	67	65	69	74	275.0
—	Pierceson Coody	-5	67	65	69	74	275.0
—	David Lipsky	-4	70	69	66	71	276.0
—	Sungjae Im	-4	70	64	70	72	276.0
—	Robby Shelton	-4	67	68	67	74	276.0
—	Lucas Glover	-3	69	70	71	67	277.0
—	Lee Hodges	-3	72	70	66	69	277.0
—	Chandler Phillips	-3	70	69	69	69	277.0
—	J.T. Poston	-3	68	69	69	71	277.0
—	Adam Scott	-3	69	68	69	71	277.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-2	70	72	70	66	278.0
—	Tom Hoge	-2	71	69	71	67	278.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-2	68	72	70	68	278.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-2	68	69	73	68	278.0
—	Davis Thompson	-2	70	70	66	72	278.0
—	Alejandro Tosti	-2	69	69	67	73	278.0
—	Tony Finau	-2	66	69	68	75	278.0
—	Adam Svensson	-1	70	71	68	70	279.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-1	69	68	72	70	279.0
—	Billy Horschel	-1	69	71	67	72	279.0
—	Brian Harman	-1	66	69	72	72	279.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-1	70	66	70	73	279.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-1	69	68	68	74	279.0
—	Tom Kim	-1	69	68	68	74	279.0
—	Kevin Tway	-1	69	66	69	75	279.0
—	K.H. Lee	E	71	68	71	70	280.0
—	Aaron Rai	E	71	71	67	71	280.0
—	Ben Silverman	E	69	73	67	71	280.0
—	Justin Rose	E	70	71	66	73	280.0
—	Ryan Fox	E	68	67	71	74	280.0
—	Peter Malnati	+1	72	69	73	67	281.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+1	69	70	72	70	281.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	71	67	71	72	281.0
—	Martin Laird	+1	66	73	69	73	281.0
—	Ben Martin	+1	69	70	69	73	281.0
—	C.T. Pan	+1	69	70	68	74	281.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+1	70	69	66	76	281.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+1	72	67	66	76	281.0
—	Troy Merritt	+2	70	72	70	70	282.0
—	Daniel Berger	+2	69	70	71	72	282.0
—	Zach Johnson	+2	68	70	71	73	282.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	72	67	68	75	282.0
—	Gary Woodland	+2	72	64	70	76	282.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+3	71	70	74	68	283.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+3	65	75	74	69	283.0
—	Victor Perez	+3	70	71	71	71	283.0
—	Webb Simpson	+3	69	67	75	72	283.0
—	Doug Ghim	+3	69	71	70	73	283.0
—	Brendon Todd	+3	68	70	71	74	283.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+3	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Stevens	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Novak	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Chan Kim	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Nate Lashley	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Eric Cole	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Justin Suh	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Beau Hossler	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Brandon Wu	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Griffin	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Harris English	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Grayson Murray	+3	68	67	—	—	135.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+4	71	69	75	69	284.0
—	Thomas Detry	+4	69	71	71	73	284.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+4	71	71	67	75	284.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+4	70	70	68	76	284.0
—	Cam Davis	+4	69	70	69	76	284.0
—	Jimmy Stanger	+4	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Michael Kim	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Ben Kohles	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Tom Whitney	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Sam Ryder	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Sami Välimäki	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Luke List	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Taylor Moore	+4	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Parker Coody	+5	70	72	71	72	285.0
—	Kevin Yu	+5	69	69	72	75	285.0
—	S.H. Kim	+5	66	71	69	79	285.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Jorge Campillo	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Rafael Campos	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Dylan Wu	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Chris Kirk	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Hayden Springer	+5	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Schenk	+5	75	—	—	—	75.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+6	74	68	73	71	286.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Matti Schmid	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Chad Ramey	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Max Greyserman	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Block	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Justin Lower	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Trainer	+6	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+7	71	71	71	74	287.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+7	72	69	72	74	287.0
—	Nick Hardy	+7	72	70	70	75	287.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+7	71	71	66	79	287.0
—	Max Homa	+7	78	69	—	—	147.0
—	David Skinns	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Zac Blair	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Carl Yuan	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Carson Young	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+7	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Moore	+8	69	68	70	81	288.0
—	Harry Hall	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+8	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Alex Smalley	+8	78	—	—	—	78.0
—	Callum Tarren	+9	67	74	72	76	289.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+9	72	70	70	77	289.0
—	Erik Barnes	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Ben Taylor	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Paul Haley II	+14	82	72	—	—	154.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Rory Sabbatini	66.94	2%	0%	72.00	—
2	Carl Yuan	67.17	5%	0%	73.50	—
3	Paul Haley II	67.62	2%	0%	77.00	—
4	Matti Schmid	67.69	10%	1%	73.00	—
5	David Skinns	67.71	8%	1%	73.50	—
6	Rafael Campos	67.76	7%	0%	72.50	—
7	Ben Silverman	67.86	8%	0%	70.00	—
8	Nico Echavarria	67.91	7%	0%	71.50	—
9	Kevin Yu	67.94	8%	0%	71.25	—
10	Grayson Murray	67.96	8%	1%	45.00	—
11	Martin Laird	67.97	9%	0%	70.25	—
12	Chan Kim	67.99	12%	1%	71.50	—
13	Nicolai Højgaard	68.02	9%	1%	74.00	—
14	Robert MacIntyre	68.17	9%	1%	72.00	—
15	Scottie Scheffler	68.19	89%	9%	67.75	—
16	Ben Kohles	68.26	5%	0%	72.00	—
17	Tom Whitney	68.27	5%	0%	72.00	—
18	Alejandro Tosti	68.44	6%	0%	69.50	—
19	Patrick Rodgers	68.54	8%	0%	70.50	—
20	Adam Scott	68.61	17%	1%	69.25	—
21	Ryo Hisatsune	68.65	10%	1%	71.50	—
22	Collin Morikawa	68.77	33%	0%	68.00	—
23	Adam Schenk	68.80	20%	0%	37.50	—
24	Jordan Spieth	68.83	10%	1%	70.25	—
25	Tom Kim	68.83	8%	0%	69.75	—
26	Mac Meissner	68.87	7%	0%	68.75	—
27	Max Greyserman	68.88	7%	0%	73.00	—
28	Carson Young	68.89	8%	0%	73.50	—
29	Justin Rose	68.91	22%	2%	70.00	—
30	Daniel Berger	68.92	6%	1%	70.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.