Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Masters Tournament

PGA ·89 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-11	66	72	71	68	277.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-7	73	69	70	69	281.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-4	72	71	72	69	284.0
—	Max Homa	-4	67	71	73	73	284.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-4	71	70	69	74	284.0
—	Cameron Smith	-2	71	72	72	71	286.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-2	65	73	75	73	286.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-1	72	72	70	73	287.0
—	Will Zalatoris	E	70	77	72	69	288.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	E	72	74	73	69	288.0
—	Cameron Young	E	70	73	72	73	288.0
—	Patrick Reed	+1	74	70	73	72	289.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+1	70	73	74	72	289.0
—	Adam Schenk	+1	73	71	72	73	289.0
—	Cam Davis	+1	69	72	73	75	289.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	73	71	74	72	290.0
—	Chris Kirk	+2	74	75	68	73	290.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+2	70	73	72	75	290.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+2	67	73	74	76	290.0
—	Taylor Moore	+3	71	75	75	70	291.0
—	Lucas Glover	+3	71	73	72	75	291.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+4	78	71	74	69	292.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+4	74	74	75	69	292.0
—	Harris English	+4	72	74	75	71	292.0
—	Adam Scott	+4	76	74	70	72	292.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+4	70	78	71	73	292.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+4	71	77	71	73	292.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+4	71	73	73	75	292.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+4	71	75	70	76	292.0
—	Tom Kim	+5	72	78	77	66	293.0
—	Jason Day	+5	75	73	76	69	293.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+5	74	76	73	70	293.0
—	J.T. Poston	+5	75	74	74	70	293.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+5	76	74	71	72	293.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+6	71	73	82	68	294.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+6	74	75	76	69	294.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+6	72	75	74	73	294.0
—	Russell Henley	+7	73	77	74	71	295.0
—	Corey Conners	+7	70	76	76	73	295.0
—	Luke List	+7	75	75	71	74	295.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+7	76	74	71	74	295.0
—	Ryan Fox	+7	69	74	77	75	295.0
—	Sungjae Im	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Nick Dunlap	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Zach Johnson	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Lee Hodges	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Mike Weir	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Justin Rose	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Sergio García	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Justin Thomas	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+8	73	75	74	74	296.0
—	Shane Lowry	+8	73	74	75	74	296.0
—	Stewart Hagestad	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Christo Lamprecht	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+8	71	81	—	—	152.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+9	74	74	79	70	297.0
—	José María Olazábal	+9	77	73	75	72	297.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+9	74	74	74	75	297.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+9	73	73	76	75	297.0
—	Jon Rahm	+9	73	76	72	76	297.0
—	Danny Willett	+9	68	75	76	78	297.0
—	Brian Harman	+9	81	72	—	—	153.0
—	Sam Burns	+9	80	73	—	—	153.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+9	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Grayson Murray	+10	76	74	78	70	298.0
—	Peter Malnati	+10	82	72	—	—	154.0
—	Santiago de la Fuente	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Bubba Watson	+10	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+10	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Eric Cole	+11	73	72	81	73	299.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+11	74	81	—	—	155.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+12	75	73	82	70	300.0
—	Neal Shipley	+12	71	76	80	73	300.0
—	Fred Couples	+12	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	Jasper Stubbs	+12	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	+12	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Jake Knapp	+13	74	76	78	73	301.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+13	71	76	78	76	301.0
—	Tony Finau	+13	71	78	72	80	301.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+13	78	79	—	—	157.0
—	Gary Woodland	+13	76	81	—	—	157.0
—	Vijay Singh	+14	75	73	82	72	302.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	+14	71	79	77	75	302.0
—	Adrian Meronk	+14	78	80	—	—	158.0
—	Nick Taylor	+14	77	81	—	—	158.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+15	76	83	—	—	159.0
—	Tiger Woods	+16	73	72	82	77	304.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Rickie Fowler	67.42	7%	0%	73.25	—
2	Lee Hodges	67.80	7%	0%	50.33	—
3	Adam Schenk	68.00	11%	1%	72.25	—
4	Peter Malnati	68.46	7%	0%	77.00	—
5	Eric Cole	68.51	7%	1%	74.75	—
6	Will Zalatoris	68.65	39%	0%	72.00	—
7	Thorbjørn Olesen	68.73	4%	0%	75.50	—
8	Scottie Scheffler	68.81	90%	73%	69.25	—
9	Nicolai Højgaard	68.96	13%	1%	72.50	—
10	Akshay Bhatia	68.98	15%	2%	73.50	—
11	Camilo Villegas	68.98	3%	0%	73.50	—
12	Denny McCarthy	69.03	18%	2%	74.25	—
13	Grayson Murray	69.03	6%	0%	74.50	—
14	Ludvig Åberg	69.05	45%	2%	70.25	—
15	Wyndham Clark	69.07	26%	1%	75.50	—
16	Byeong Hun An	69.09	13%	1%	72.50	—
17	Stephan Jaeger	69.11	20%	2%	77.00	—
18	Austin Eckroat	69.12	14%	3%	75.50	—
19	Emiliano Grillo	69.33	12%	1%	79.50	—
20	Matthieu Pavon	69.49	8%	1%	72.25	—
21	Nick Taylor	69.52	10%	1%	79.00	—
22	Ryo Hisatsune	69.54	9%	1%	78.00	—
23	Adam Hadwin	69.55	14%	1%	75.00	—
24	Tiger Woods	69.65	4%	0%	76.00	—
25	Phil Mickelson	69.66	4%	0%	74.00	—
26	Nick Dunlap	69.81	6%	0%	75.50	—
27	Jake Knapp	69.93	8%	1%	75.25	—
28	Collin Morikawa	70.23	30%	1%	71.00	—
29	Ryan Fox	70.23	3%	0%	73.75	—
30	Sahith Theegala	70.34	22%	1%	74.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.