Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Valspar Championship

PGA ·152 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Peter Malnati	-12	66	71	68	67	272.0
—	Cameron Young	-10	69	69	68	68	274.0
—	Chandler Phillips	-9	68	68	70	69	275.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-9	68	68	69	70	275.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-8	68	72	71	65	276.0
—	Ryan Moore	-8	72	69	67	68	276.0
—	Carl Yuan	-8	66	73	69	68	276.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-8	68	71	68	69	276.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-7	69	69	72	67	277.0
—	K.H. Lee	-7	71	67	70	69	277.0
—	Lucas Glover	-6	68	69	72	69	278.0
—	Billy Horschel	-5	69	72	71	67	279.0
—	Taylor Moore	-5	69	73	69	68	279.0
—	Chez Reavie	-5	67	72	72	68	279.0
—	Scott Stallings	-5	70	67	72	70	279.0
—	Kevin Roy	-5	65	73	69	72	279.0
—	Andrew Novak	-4	71	71	70	68	280.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-4	74	68	70	68	280.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-4	67	70	74	69	280.0
—	Matti Schmid	-4	70	71	68	71	280.0
—	Matt Wallace	-4	69	72	68	71	280.0
—	Thomas Detry	-4	69	71	69	71	280.0
—	Ben Griffin	-4	71	68	70	71	280.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-4	71	68	69	72	280.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-4	67	70	66	77	280.0
—	Mac Meissner	-3	73	68	73	67	281.0
—	Dylan Wu	-3	68	71	72	70	281.0
—	Fred Biondi	-3	70	71	69	71	281.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-3	64	72	73	72	281.0
—	Lee Hodges	-3	72	70	66	73	281.0
—	Cameron Champ	-3	71	69	67	74	281.0
—	Séamus Power	-3	68	69	68	76	281.0
—	Sam Ryder	-2	69	70	78	65	282.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-2	70	72	70	70	282.0
—	Justin Suh	-2	68	73	71	70	282.0
—	Max Greyserman	-2	69	71	72	70	282.0
—	Stewart Cink	-2	69	67	76	70	282.0
—	Adam Schenk	-2	70	71	70	71	282.0
—	Eric Cole	-2	73	67	71	71	282.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	-2	68	71	72	71	282.0
—	Robby Shelton	-2	70	72	68	72	282.0
—	Tom Whitney	-2	71	69	69	73	282.0
—	Michael Kim	-2	70	67	72	73	282.0
—	Brendon Todd	-2	67	69	70	76	282.0
—	Sami Välimäki	-1	69	72	70	72	283.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-1	69	71	71	72	283.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-1	69	72	69	73	283.0
—	Kevin Dougherty	-1	69	71	70	73	283.0
—	Matt Kuchar	E	75	67	70	72	284.0
—	Joel Dahmen	E	72	70	70	72	284.0
—	Roger Sloan	E	69	72	70	73	284.0
—	Jorge Campillo	E	71	68	71	74	284.0
—	Adam Svensson	E	66	72	69	77	284.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+1	67	75	73	70	285.0
—	Alexander Björk	+1	72	70	72	71	285.0
—	Carson Young	+1	71	70	73	71	285.0
—	Webb Simpson	+1	72	70	71	72	285.0
—	Vince Whaley	+1	70	72	71	72	285.0
—	Norman Xiong	+1	70	71	72	72	285.0
—	Rico Hoey	+1	67	71	69	78	285.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Kevin Yu	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Ricky Castillo	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Rafael Campos	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Evan Harmeling	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Burns	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Trace Crowe	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Silverman	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Bud Cauley	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Jimmy Stanger	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Ryan McCormick	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	S.H. Kim	+2	72	70	75	69	286.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+2	68	73	75	70	286.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+2	68	73	69	76	286.0
—	Sam Stevens	+2	70	71	73	72	286.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Davis Riley	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Brian Harman	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Chad Ramey	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Brice Garnett	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Beau Hossler	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Zac Blair	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Taylor	+3	68	74	75	70	287.0
—	Justin Thomas	+3	68	69	79	71	287.0
—	Ryan Fox	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Aaron Rai	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Raul Pereda	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Victor Perez	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Austin Cook	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Gary Woodland	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Davis Thompson	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Harry Hall	+4	73	69	76	70	288.0
—	Chan Kim	+4	71	71	76	70	288.0
—	Parker Coody	+4	69	73	74	72	288.0
—	Ben Martin	+4	68	71	76	73	288.0
—	Doug Ghim	+4	71	71	71	75	288.0
—	Kevin Aylwin	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Luke Donald	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Nick Hardy	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Zach Johnson	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+5	70	70	77	72	289.0
—	Callum Tarren	+5	69	73	72	75	289.0
—	Hayden Springer	+5	67	73	71	78	289.0
—	Nick Gabrelcik	+5	80	67	—	—	147.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Richy Werenski	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Wilson Furr	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Patrick Fishburn	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Tony Finau	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	David Bradshaw	+5	74	62	—	—	136.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+5	76	—	—	—	76.0
—	Harrison Endycott	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Alex Smalley	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Pierceson Coody	+6	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Justin Lower	+6	77	—	—	—	77.0
—	Ben Kohles	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Josh Teater	+7	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Greg Koch	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Ben Taylor	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Daniel Berger	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Nicholas Lindheim	+8	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Erik Barnes	+8	79	—	—	—	79.0
—	Joe Highsmith	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	David Lipsky	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	+10	70	71	79	74	294.0
—	Alejandro Tosti	+10	68	73	76	77	294.0
—	David Skinns	+10	75	67	74	78	294.0
—	Sungjae Im	+10	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Paul Barjon	+11	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+13	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	Blaine Hale Jr.	+15	78	79	—	—	157.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Séamus Power	67.71	7%	0%	70.25	—
2	Josh Teater	67.86	4%	0%	74.50	—
3	Ben Kohles	67.94	6%	0%	74.50	—
4	Ryan Fox	67.96	7%	0%	72.50	—
5	David Skinns	68.11	6%	0%	73.50	—
6	Aaron Rai	68.12	11%	0%	72.50	—
7	Chan Kim	68.57	8%	1%	72.00	—
8	Robert MacIntyre	68.64	7%	0%	70.50	—
9	Taylor Montgomery	68.65	17%	2%	72.00	—
10	Tony Finau	68.66	20%	1%	73.50	—
11	Davis Thompson	68.66	12%	2%	72.50	—
12	Xander Schauffele	68.67	35%	2%	69.00	—
13	Sam Burns	68.68	28%	1%	71.50	—
14	Thomas Detry	68.71	8%	0%	70.00	—
15	Cameron Young	68.73	22%	1%	68.50	—
16	Mac Meissner	68.73	4%	0%	70.25	—
17	Min Woo Lee	68.75	22%	2%	74.50	—
18	Sepp Straka	68.76	12%	0%	72.00	—
19	Billy Horschel	68.77	10%	0%	69.75	—
20	Justin Thomas	68.77	24%	2%	71.75	—
21	Taylor Pendrith	68.84	10%	1%	71.50	—
22	Davis Riley	68.88	4%	0%	72.00	—
23	Keegan Bradley	68.91	19%	1%	71.50	—
24	Matt NeSmith	68.95	10%	2%	72.50	—
25	Brian Harman	68.98	22%	3%	72.00	—
26	Chris Gotterup	69.00	4%	0%	71.50	—
27	Daniel Berger	69.10	6%	1%	75.00	—
28	Matt Kuchar	69.14	10%	0%	71.00	—
29	Scott Stallings	69.15	6%	0%	69.75	—
30	Sungjae Im	69.18	12%	0%	76.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.