Wednesday, January 17, 2024

The American Express

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Nick Dunlap	-29	64	65	60	70	259.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-28	63	67	65	65	260.0
—	Kevin Yu	-27	66	66	66	63	261.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-27	64	69	63	65	261.0
—	Justin Thomas	-27	65	67	61	68	261.0
—	Michael Kim	-25	65	63	70	65	263.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-25	65	65	66	67	263.0
—	Sam Burns	-25	66	61	65	71	263.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-24	69	67	66	62	264.0
—	Ben Griffin	-24	66	68	64	66	264.0
—	Ryo Hisatsune	-23	65	67	68	65	265.0
—	Alexander Björk	-23	64	67	67	67	265.0
—	J.T. Poston	-23	67	65	64	69	265.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	-22	66	69	64	67	266.0
—	Chan Kim	-22	64	67	68	67	266.0
—	Jimmy Stanger	-22	65	66	66	69	266.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-21	70	69	63	65	267.0
—	Tom Hoge	-21	69	68	65	65	267.0
—	Carson Young	-21	70	64	68	65	267.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-21	67	66	69	65	267.0
—	Alex Smalley	-20	66	69	66	67	268.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-20	65	66	70	67	268.0
—	Davis Thompson	-20	67	67	66	68	268.0
—	Eric Cole	-20	66	64	66	72	268.0
—	Chandler Phillips	-19	70	70	63	66	269.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-19	69	65	69	66	269.0
—	K.H. Lee	-19	65	64	74	66	269.0
—	Tony Finau	-19	68	67	67	67	269.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-19	66	67	69	67	269.0
—	Zach Johnson	-19	62	69	68	70	269.0
—	Alex Noren	-19	62	68	69	70	269.0
—	Sungjae Im	-19	66	67	65	71	269.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-19	64	66	66	73	269.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-18	68	69	65	68	270.0
—	Jason Day	-18	68	66	68	68	270.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-18	67	69	65	69	270.0
—	Vince Whaley	-18	67	68	66	69	270.0
—	Joe Highsmith	-18	66	69	65	70	270.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-17	73	65	65	68	271.0
—	Daniel Berger	-17	68	68	67	68	271.0
—	Jacob Bridgeman	-17	67	69	67	68	271.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-17	70	64	68	69	271.0
—	Paul Barjon	-17	70	64	67	70	271.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	-17	67	66	68	70	271.0
—	Harrison Endycott	-17	70	68	62	71	271.0
—	Justin Lower	-17	64	68	68	71	271.0
—	Beau Hossler	-16	69	70	64	69	272.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-16	66	68	69	69	272.0
—	Ben Kohles	-16	66	66	71	69	272.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-16	70	66	66	70	272.0
—	Chris Kirk	-16	68	64	67	73	272.0
—	Chez Reavie	-15	66	70	66	71	273.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-15	69	65	67	72	273.0
—	Erik Barnes	-15	68	65	68	72	273.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-15	64	66	67	76	273.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-14	67	66	70	71	274.0
—	Yuxin Lin	-14	70	64	68	72	274.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-14	65	66	71	72	274.0
—	Max Greyserman	-14	67	68	66	73	274.0
—	Ben Martin	-14	68	64	67	75	274.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	-13	68	69	65	73	275.0
—	Camilo Villegas	-12	69	68	65	74	276.0
—	Sam Ryder	-12	69	66	67	74	276.0
—	Zac Blair	-12	67	67	67	75	276.0
—	Matt Wallace	-12	67	72	65	—	204.0
—	Nicholas Lindheim	-12	73	66	65	—	204.0
—	Norman Xiong	-12	73	66	65	—	204.0
—	Justin Suh	-12	71	67	66	—	204.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-12	68	70	66	—	204.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-12	70	67	67	—	204.0
—	David Skinns	-12	69	67	68	—	204.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-12	67	67	70	—	204.0
—	Shane Lowry	-12	67	67	70	—	204.0
—	Troy Merritt	-12	70	64	70	—	204.0
—	Sam Stevens	-11	70	65	68	74	277.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-11	67	70	65	75	277.0
—	Robby Shelton	-11	68	74	63	—	205.0
—	Blaine Hale Jr.	-11	71	70	64	—	205.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-11	74	66	65	—	205.0
—	Billy Horschel	-11	72	68	65	—	205.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-11	73	67	65	—	205.0
—	Tom Kim	-11	69	71	65	—	205.0
—	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	-11	68	71	66	—	205.0
—	Nate Lashley	-11	72	67	66	—	205.0
—	Lee Hodges	-11	71	67	67	—	205.0
—	Adam Schenk	-11	70	67	68	—	205.0
—	Brandon Wu	-11	69	68	68	—	205.0
—	Kevin Dougherty	-11	66	71	68	—	205.0
—	Parker Coody	-11	68	68	69	—	205.0
—	Ben Silverman	-11	68	67	70	—	205.0
—	Nick Taylor	-11	68	67	70	—	205.0
—	Hayden Springer	-11	64	70	71	—	205.0
—	Rico Hoey	-11	63	70	72	—	205.0
—	Scott Stallings	-11	64	68	73	—	205.0
—	Ryan McCormick	-10	74	68	64	—	206.0
—	Patrick Fishburn	-10	69	72	65	—	206.0
—	Aaron Rai	-10	69	71	66	—	206.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-10	68	69	69	—	206.0
—	Doug Ghim	-10	68	69	69	—	206.0
—	Cam Davis	-10	68	65	73	—	206.0
—	Will Gordon	-9	67	69	65	78	279.0
—	Davis Riley	-9	72	70	65	—	207.0
—	Callum Tarren	-9	71	70	66	—	207.0
—	Martin Laird	-9	69	70	68	—	207.0
—	Taiga Semikawa	-9	68	71	68	—	207.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-9	72	66	69	—	207.0
—	Matti Schmid	-9	69	67	71	—	207.0
—	Harry Hall	-8	75	68	65	—	208.0
—	James Hahn	-8	69	71	68	—	208.0
—	S.H. Kim	-8	68	71	69	—	208.0
—	Alejandro Tosti	-8	66	72	70	—	208.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-8	69	69	70	—	208.0
—	Chad Ramey	-8	72	65	71	—	208.0
—	Peter Malnati	-8	71	66	71	—	208.0
—	Thomas Detry	-8	70	66	72	—	208.0
—	Mac Meissner	-8	65	68	75	—	208.0
—	Jason Dufner	-7	69	73	67	—	209.0
—	Trace Crowe	-7	70	72	67	—	209.0
—	Josh Teater	-7	68	70	71	—	209.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-7	68	69	72	—	209.0
—	Tom Whitney	-7	66	70	73	—	209.0
—	Michael Block	-6	72	71	67	—	210.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-6	75	65	70	—	210.0
—	Carl Yuan	-6	68	71	71	—	210.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-6	73	66	71	—	210.0
—	John Pak	-6	69	68	73	—	210.0
—	Cameron Champ	-5	74	72	65	—	211.0
—	Chris Gotterup	-5	77	68	66	—	211.0
—	David Lingmerth	-5	70	72	69	—	211.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-5	71	69	71	—	211.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	-5	71	69	71	—	211.0
—	Grayson Murray	-5	70	69	72	—	211.0
—	Sami Välimäki	-4	74	69	69	—	212.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-4	71	72	69	—	212.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-4	69	73	70	—	212.0
—	Bill Haas	-4	68	73	71	—	212.0
—	David Lipsky	-4	70	70	72	—	212.0
—	Dylan Wu	-4	69	70	73	—	212.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-4	69	66	77	—	212.0
—	Pierceson Coody	-3	71	75	67	—	213.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-3	71	74	68	—	213.0
—	Roger Sloan	-3	76	68	69	—	213.0
—	Adam Long	-3	70	72	71	—	213.0
—	J.B. Holmes	-3	73	69	71	—	213.0
—	Ben Taylor	-2	70	71	73	—	214.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-2	70	68	76	—	214.0
—	Raul Pereda	-1	72	73	70	—	215.0
—	Tyler McCumber	-1	70	68	61	—	199.0
—	Wilson Furr	-1	66	77	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Novak	E	72	72	72	—	216.0
—	Andrew Landry	E	71	73	72	—	216.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+1	74	75	68	—	217.0
—	Jake Knapp	+2	71	73	74	—	218.0
—	Ryan Moore	+4	70	76	74	—	220.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+8	78	72	74	—	224.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+8	76	68	80	—	224.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	J.B. Holmes	67.30	2%	0%	71.00	—
2	Joe Highsmith	67.47	2%	0%	67.50	—
3	Matt Wallace	67.90	6%	0%	68.00	—
4	Alexander Björk	67.99	4%	0%	66.25	—
5	Pierceson Coody	68.17	4%	0%	71.00	—
6	Scottie Scheffler	68.27	52%	1%	66.75	—
7	Nick Dunlap	68.39	21%	100%	64.75	—
8	Tom Kim	68.40	24%	3%	68.33	—
9	Norman Xiong	68.45	3%	0%	68.00	—
10	Ryan Palmer	68.45	5%	0%	68.67	—
11	Chandler Phillips	68.53	3%	0%	67.25	—
12	J.T. Poston	68.66	35%	5%	66.25	—
13	Taylor Montgomery	68.68	8%	1%	68.75	—
14	Tom Hoge	68.71	14%	1%	66.75	—
15	Xander Schauffele	68.76	38%	2%	65.25	—
16	Thomas Detry	68.76	7%	1%	69.33	—
17	Eric Cole	68.77	36%	3%	67.00	—
18	Cam Davis	68.77	21%	2%	68.67	—
19	Chris Kirk	68.78	19%	1%	68.00	—
20	Ben Griffin	68.78	22%	1%	66.00	—
21	Jacob Bridgeman	68.78	3%	0%	67.75	—
22	Patrick Cantlay	68.79	28%	2%	68.25	—
23	Adam Hadwin	68.81	19%	1%	65.75	—
24	Sam Burns	68.83	25%	2%	65.75	—
25	Tony Finau	68.85	25%	1%	67.25	—
26	Davis Thompson	68.85	13%	2%	67.00	—
27	Tyler McCumber	68.88	4%	1%	49.75	—
28	Hayden Springer	68.88	6%	0%	68.33	—
29	Parker Coody	68.89	3%	0%	68.33	—
30	Lee Hodges	68.90	18%	1%	68.33	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.