Wednesday, August 16, 2023

BMW Championship

PGA ·50 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Viktor Hovland	-17	69	68	65	61	263.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-15	66	69	64	66	265.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-15	66	67	66	66	265.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-12	65	70	67	66	268.0
—	Max Homa	-11	68	62	71	68	269.0
—	Brian Harman	-11	65	68	67	69	269.0
—	Sungjae Im	-10	68	68	68	66	270.0
—	Russell Henley	-9	69	69	70	63	271.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-9	71	65	67	68	271.0
—	Tom Kim	-7	72	72	66	63	273.0
—	Harris English	-7	68	67	72	66	273.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-7	70	70	66	67	273.0
—	Corey Conners	-7	67	70	67	69	273.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-7	69	69	65	70	273.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-6	66	72	69	67	274.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-6	68	68	71	67	274.0
—	Cameron Young	-6	67	71	68	68	274.0
—	Adam Svensson	-6	70	69	66	69	274.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-6	66	71	68	69	274.0
—	Sam Burns	-6	71	70	62	71	274.0
—	Tom Hoge	-5	71	69	70	65	275.0
—	J.T. Poston	-4	69	68	73	66	276.0
—	Lucas Glover	-4	70	67	69	70	276.0
—	Justin Rose	-4	70	65	68	73	276.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-3	67	70	72	68	277.0
—	Eric Cole	-3	72	68	68	69	277.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-3	66	69	73	69	277.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-3	70	67	69	71	277.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-2	71	68	71	68	278.0
—	Chris Kirk	-2	66	66	75	71	278.0
—	Jon Rahm	E	68	74	71	67	280.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	E	73	69	71	67	280.0
—	Si Woo Kim	E	71	69	69	71	280.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+1	70	72	68	71	281.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	68	70	72	71	281.0
—	Adam Schenk	+1	72	69	68	72	281.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+1	71	—	—	—	71.0
—	Sepp Straka	+2	71	74	71	66	282.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	71	73	70	68	282.0
—	Tony Finau	+2	74	68	69	71	282.0
—	Cam Davis	+3	73	66	72	72	283.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+4	76	68	72	68	284.0
—	Brendon Todd	+4	71	72	71	70	284.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+5	70	67	72	76	285.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+6	72	70	72	72	286.0
—	Lee Hodges	+7	74	72	73	68	287.0
—	Jason Day	+7	69	74	74	70	287.0
—	Nick Taylor	+10	71	72	74	73	290.0
—	Séamus Power	+14	76	72	74	72	294.0
—	Taylor Moore	+18	72	74	80	72	298.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Justin Rose	68.14	12%	1%	69.00	—
2	Rory McIlroy	68.46	39%	5%	67.00	—
3	Scottie Scheffler	68.52	61%	5%	66.25	—
4	Adam Svensson	68.61	8%	1%	68.50	—
5	Eric Cole	68.64	16%	1%	69.25	—
6	Patrick Cantlay	68.75	38%	2%	68.50	—
7	Sungjae Im	68.81	17%	3%	67.50	—
8	Tyrrell Hatton	68.89	32%	3%	70.25	—
9	Jon Rahm	68.89	27%	2%	70.00	—
10	Sam Burns	68.98	13%	1%	68.50	—
11	Adam Schenk	69.00	13%	1%	70.25	—
12	Tommy Fleetwood	69.06	22%	3%	69.25	—
13	Patrick Rodgers	69.08	8%	1%	70.50	—
14	Lee Hodges	69.08	13%	1%	71.75	—
15	Rickie Fowler	69.09	28%	3%	69.25	—
16	Cameron Young	69.10	10%	1%	68.50	—
17	Emiliano Grillo	69.10	12%	2%	70.00	—
18	Hideki Matsuyama	69.11	15%	2%	23.67	—
19	Corey Conners	69.12	20%	1%	68.25	—
20	Tony Finau	69.12	17%	1%	70.50	—
21	Cam Davis	69.12	16%	2%	70.75	—
22	Brian Harman	69.13	18%	2%	67.25	—
23	Denny McCarthy	69.14	12%	1%	68.25	—
24	Sahith Theegala	69.15	13%	2%	68.50	—
25	Jordan Spieth	69.19	16%	2%	70.25	—
26	Sepp Straka	69.19	13%	1%	70.50	—
27	Viktor Hovland	69.19	28%	30%	65.75	—
28	Matt Fitzpatrick	69.20	14%	1%	66.25	—
29	Xander Schauffele	69.21	27%	4%	67.75	—
30	Harris English	69.21	16%	2%	68.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.