Wednesday, July 19, 2023

The Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Brian Harman	-13	67	65	69	70	271.0
—	Tom Kim	-7	74	68	68	67	277.0
—	Jason Day	-7	72	67	69	69	277.0
—	Sepp Straka	-7	71	67	70	69	277.0
—	Jon Rahm	-7	74	70	63	70	277.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-6	71	70	69	68	278.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-6	66	74	70	68	278.0
—	Shubhankar Sharma	-5	68	71	70	70	279.0
—	Cameron Young	-5	72	68	66	73	279.0
—	Max Homa	-4	68	73	70	69	280.0
—	Matthew Jordan	-4	69	72	69	70	280.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-4	66	71	71	72	280.0
—	Henrik Stenson	-3	73	68	71	69	281.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-3	70	72	69	70	281.0
—	Thomas Detry	-3	74	69	67	71	281.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-3	70	72	66	73	281.0
—	Laurie Canter	-2	71	70	73	68	282.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-2	70	74	68	70	282.0
—	Alex Fitzpatrick	-2	74	70	65	73	282.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-1	71	73	68	71	283.0
—	Sungjae Im	-1	70	74	67	72	283.0
—	Antoine Rozner	-1	67	74	67	75	283.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	E	70	75	72	67	284.0
—	Adrian Meronk	E	72	71	74	67	284.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	E	74	70	71	69	284.0
—	Matthew Southgate	E	71	70	74	69	284.0
—	Alex Noren	E	68	75	71	70	284.0
—	Rickie Fowler	E	72	73	67	72	284.0
—	Byeong Hun An	E	73	70	69	72	284.0
—	Stewart Cink	E	68	73	71	72	284.0
—	Jordan Spieth	E	69	71	71	73	284.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	E	71	70	69	74	284.0
—	Adam Scott	+1	72	73	71	69	285.0
—	Oliver Wilson	+1	69	74	71	71	285.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+1	70	75	67	73	285.0
—	Patrick Reed	+1	70	74	68	73	285.0
—	Cameron Smith	+1	72	72	68	73	285.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+1	68	73	71	73	285.0
—	Richard Bland	+1	70	71	71	73	285.0
—	Romain Langasque	+1	70	74	67	74	285.0
—	Victor Perez	+2	74	71	71	70	286.0
—	Marcel Siem	+2	71	71	74	70	286.0
—	Hurly Long	+2	72	72	71	71	286.0
—	Jordan Smith	+2	71	72	71	72	286.0
—	J.T. Poston	+2	71	73	69	73	286.0
—	Alexander Björk	+2	69	73	70	74	286.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+2	72	72	67	75	286.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+2	71	68	72	75	286.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+3	73	71	71	72	287.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+3	72	71	71	73	287.0
—	Brendon Todd	+3	74	70	69	74	287.0
—	Ryan Fox	+4	78	67	69	74	288.0
—	Corey Conners	+4	73	71	68	76	288.0
—	Michael Stewart	+4	68	73	71	76	288.0
—	Kyungnam Kang	+4	78	68	—	—	146.0
—	Taylor Moore	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Ben Griffin	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Kazuki Yasumori	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Pablo Larrazábal	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+5	73	72	73	71	289.0
—	Gary Woodland	+5	73	71	73	72	289.0
—	Adrian Otaegui	+5	67	73	77	72	289.0
—	Zach Johnson	+5	75	69	71	74	289.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+5	79	68	—	—	147.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+5	78	69	—	—	147.0
—	Yannik Paul	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Harris English	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Josele Ballester	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Tom Hoge	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Brandon Robinson Thompson	+6	71	73	73	73	290.0
—	Chris Kirk	+6	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Davis Riley	+6	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Michael Kim	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Wallace	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	K.H. Lee	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Justin Rose	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Bio Kim	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Kazuki Higa	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Billy Horschel	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Tony Finau	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Nick Taylor	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Sam Burns	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Kalle Samooja	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Scott Stallings	+7	74	71	75	71	291.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+7	74	70	74	73	291.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+7	72	72	72	75	291.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+7	75	69	70	77	291.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+7	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Mateo Fernández de Oliveira	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Dan Bradbury	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Ewen Ferguson	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Connor Syme	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Talor Gooch	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Russell Henley	+7	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Ockie Strydom	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Nacho Elvira	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Shane Lowry	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	69	80	—	—	149.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+8	74	71	73	74	292.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+8	70	75	72	75	292.0
—	Richie Ramsay	+8	73	72	71	76	292.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	+8	69	72	71	80	292.0
—	Travis Smyth	+8	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Seungsu Han	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Marco Penge	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Darren Clarke	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Danny Willett	+9	73	72	75	73	293.0
—	David Lingmerth	+9	70	75	70	78	293.0
—	Sami Välimäki	+9	76	68	70	79	293.0
—	Daniel Hillier	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Tiger Christensen	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Haydn Barron	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+10	74	71	73	76	294.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+10	70	73	71	80	294.0
—	Joost Luiten	+10	71	72	71	80	294.0
—	Callum Shinkwin	+10	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	David Micheluzzi	+10	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Taiga Semikawa	+10	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Ernie Els	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Branden Grace	+10	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Alex Maguire	+10	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Christo Lamprecht	+11	66	79	76	74	295.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	+11	71	70	75	79	295.0
—	Justin Thomas	+11	82	71	—	—	153.0
—	Marc Warren	+11	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Connor McKinney	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Lee Hodges	+11	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+11	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Adam Schenk	+12	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	John Daly	+12	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+12	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Alejandro Cañizares	+12	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Graeme Robertson	+12	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Oliver Farr	+12	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Zack Fischer	+13	71	73	75	78	297.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+13	74	81	—	—	155.0
—	Martin Rohwer	+13	73	82	—	—	155.0
—	Jorge Campillo	+14	82	74	—	—	156.0
—	Hiroshi Iwata	+14	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	Kyle Barker	+14	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Harrison Crowe	+14	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Kensei Hirata	+14	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Gunner Wiebe	+16	79	79	—	—	158.0
—	Taichi Kho	+18	83	77	—	—	160.0
—	Adri Arnaus	+21	82	81	—	—	163.0
—	Jazz Janewattananond	+22	81	83	—	—	164.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Bio Kim	67.06	3%	0%	74.00	—
2	Scott Stallings	67.07	4%	0%	72.75	—
3	Adrian Otaegui	67.63	3%	0%	72.25	—
4	Thorbjørn Olesen	67.69	4%	0%	75.00	—
5	Ben Griffin	67.71	6%	0%	73.00	—
6	Lee Hodges	67.90	10%	1%	76.50	—
7	Callum Shinkwin	67.95	3%	0%	76.00	—
8	Matthew Southgate	68.00	3%	0%	71.00	—
9	Davis Riley	68.03	4%	0%	74.00	—
10	Connor Syme	68.04	4%	0%	74.50	—
11	Kalle Samooja	68.32	3%	0%	74.00	—
12	Cameron Young	68.53	19%	1%	69.75	—
13	Scottie Scheffler	68.61	30%	1%	71.00	—
14	Justin Rose	68.61	16%	1%	74.00	—
15	Michael Kim	68.69	8%	1%	74.00	—
16	David Lingmerth	68.69	6%	0%	73.25	—
17	Jordan Spieth	68.84	24%	1%	71.00	—
18	Matt Wallace	68.85	4%	0%	74.00	—
19	Andrew Putnam	68.92	12%	1%	72.25	—
20	Rory McIlroy	68.96	27%	3%	69.50	—
21	Taylor Moore	68.99	11%	1%	73.00	—
22	Adam Schenk	69.01	11%	1%	77.00	—
23	Denny McCarthy	69.01	23%	1%	77.00	—
24	Nick Taylor	69.02	10%	0%	74.00	—
25	Viktor Hovland	69.11	24%	1%	70.25	—
26	Brian Harman	69.12	17%	4%	67.75	—
27	Hurly Long	69.15	7%	1%	71.50	—
28	Matt Fitzpatrick	69.16	16%	2%	71.50	—
29	Tommy Fleetwood	69.16	23%	3%	70.00	—
30	Corey Conners	69.18	24%	2%	72.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.