Wednesday, July 5, 2023

John Deere Classic

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Sepp Straka	-21	73	63	65	62	263.0
—	Alex Smalley	-19	66	70	62	67	265.0
—	Brendon Todd	-19	66	65	66	68	265.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-18	68	64	71	63	266.0
—	Adam Schenk	-18	65	66	67	68	266.0
—	Grayson Murray	-16	64	70	69	65	268.0
—	Kevin Yu	-16	70	67	65	66	268.0
—	J.T. Poston	-16	68	67	65	68	268.0
—	Lucas Glover	-16	69	65	66	68	268.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-16	67	66	67	68	268.0
—	Cameron Young	-16	65	64	71	68	268.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-16	68	64	66	70	268.0
—	Séamus Power	-15	66	69	70	64	269.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-15	68	69	66	66	269.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-15	65	70	66	68	269.0
—	William Mouw	-15	66	66	68	69	269.0
—	Troy Merritt	-14	69	67	69	65	270.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	-14	73	63	66	68	270.0
—	Jonas Blixt	-14	62	73	65	70	270.0
—	Peter Kuest	-14	67	67	65	71	270.0
—	Nick Hardy	-13	67	69	70	65	271.0
—	Adam Svensson	-13	69	66	67	69	271.0
—	Nate Lashley	-13	65	69	68	69	271.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-13	65	66	71	69	271.0
—	Chris Kirk	-13	68	66	66	71	271.0
—	Beau Hossler	-12	69	67	67	69	272.0
—	Ryan Gerard	-12	71	65	67	69	272.0
—	Yuto Katsuragawa	-12	72	63	68	69	272.0
—	Tano Goya	-12	67	68	68	69	272.0
—	Doug Ghim	-12	70	65	67	70	272.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-11	70	67	71	65	273.0
—	Jason Dufner	-11	70	66	67	70	273.0
—	Davis Thompson	-11	68	69	65	71	273.0
—	Kevin Roy	-11	69	63	68	73	273.0
—	Russell Henley	-10	69	68	70	67	274.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-10	68	68	71	67	274.0
—	Zach Johnson	-10	72	66	67	69	274.0
—	Chez Reavie	-10	69	68	68	69	274.0
—	James Hahn	-10	70	68	66	70	274.0
—	MJ Daffue	-10	68	68	68	70	274.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-10	66	69	69	70	274.0
—	Andrew Novak	-9	69	68	71	67	275.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-9	68	67	73	67	275.0
—	Geoff Ogilvy	-9	70	68	69	68	275.0
—	Robert Streb	-9	71	66	68	70	275.0
—	Richy Werenski	-9	65	71	68	71	275.0
—	Eric Cole	-9	69	67	68	71	275.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-9	67	68	69	71	275.0
—	Cody Gribble	-9	68	66	70	71	275.0
—	Chad Ramey	-9	70	67	66	72	275.0
—	Cameron Champ	-8	68	69	73	66	276.0
—	Brian Stuard	-8	68	68	73	67	276.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-8	67	70	71	68	276.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-8	71	66	70	69	276.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-8	71	66	68	71	276.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-8	71	63	71	71	276.0
—	Harry Higgs	-7	69	69	69	70	277.0
—	Russell Knox	-7	70	67	70	70	277.0
—	Gordon Sargent	-7	70	67	69	71	277.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	-7	67	69	70	71	277.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-6	70	66	73	69	278.0
—	Andrew Landry	-6	69	69	69	71	278.0
—	Chris Stroud	-5	67	69	74	69	279.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-5	71	66	72	70	279.0
—	Jim Herman	-5	71	63	71	74	279.0
—	Harrison Endycott	-4	68	69	70	73	280.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	-3	73	66	—	—	139.0
—	Nick Watney	-3	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Trevor Cone	-3	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Adam Long	-3	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Dylan Wu	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Martin Laird	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Robby Shelton	-3	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Ryan Moore	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	William McGirt	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Tyson Alexander	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Ben Martin	-3	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Zac Blair	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-3	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Sam Stevens	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	S.H. Kim	-2	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Michael Kim	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Sam Ryder	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	David Lipsky	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Carl Yuan	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Taylor Moore	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Derek Ernst	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	D.A. Points	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-1	69	69	73	72	283.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Callum Tarren	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Hank Lebioda	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Vince Whaley	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Max McGreevy	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Scott Harrington	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	K.H. Lee	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Tommy Kuhl	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Sung Kang	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Brandon Matthews	E	68	70	72	74	284.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Augusto Núñez	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Reid Martin	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Paul Haley II	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Patton Kizzire	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Brehm	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Chappell	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Scott Brown	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Derek Lamely	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Austin Cook	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Ross Steelman	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Cameron Percy	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Peter Malnati	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+2	67	71	73	75	286.0
—	Ryan Armour	+2	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Brent Grant	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Doc Redman	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Kaito Onishi	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Martin Trainer	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Chad Collins	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Zecheng Dou	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Brice Garnett	+2	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	David Lingmerth	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Greg Chalmers	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Carson Young	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Nick Taylor	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Piercy	+5	76	35	—	—	111.0
—	Will Gordon	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Marcus Byrd	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Tommy Gainey	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Arjun Atwal	+6	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Matti Schmid	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Jay Giannetto	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Michael Gligic	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Ben Taylor	+11	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Anders Larson	+12	72	82	—	—	154.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Tyson Alexander	65.25	4%	0%	69.50	—
2	Nico Echavarria	66.15	3%	0%	69.50	—
3	Brandon Matthews	66.25	3%	0%	71.00	—
4	Erik van Rooyen	66.31	3%	0%	71.00	—
5	Kyle Westmoreland	66.52	3%	0%	72.50	—
6	Matti Schmid	66.60	3%	0%	74.50	—
7	Joel Dahmen	67.00	3%	0%	69.50	—
8	Derek Lamely	67.06	4%	0%	71.00	—
9	Cameron Young	67.09	10%	1%	67.00	—
10	Paul Haley II	67.12	5%	0%	71.00	—
11	Trevor Werbylo	67.18	5%	0%	69.50	—
12	Davis Thompson	67.34	6%	0%	68.25	—
13	Harrison Endycott	67.48	6%	0%	70.00	—
14	MJ Daffue	67.57	7%	0%	68.50	—
15	S.H. Kim	67.63	7%	0%	70.00	—
16	Nick Watney	67.65	3%	0%	69.50	—
17	Brent Grant	67.68	5%	0%	72.00	—
18	Russell Knox	67.72	4%	0%	69.25	—
19	Yuto Katsuragawa	67.74	4%	0%	68.00	—
20	Jimmy Walker	67.77	6%	0%	68.75	—
21	Carl Yuan	67.84	5%	1%	70.00	—
22	Kevin Roy	67.89	6%	0%	68.25	—
23	Tano Goya	67.94	7%	0%	68.00	—
24	K.H. Lee	67.95	9%	1%	70.50	—
25	Zac Blair	68.00	6%	1%	69.50	—
26	Cody Gribble	68.02	7%	0%	68.75	—
27	Gordon Sargent	68.03	3%	0%	69.25	—
28	Taylor Montgomery	68.14	6%	0%	73.50	—
29	Matt Kuchar	68.19	9%	0%	70.75	—
30	Austin Cook	68.19	4%	0%	71.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.