Wednesday, June 14, 2023

U.S. Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Wyndham Clark	-10	64	67	69	70	270.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-9	65	67	69	70	271.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-7	67	68	68	70	273.0
—	Cameron Smith	-6	69	67	71	67	274.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-5	73	69	70	63	275.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-5	69	65	74	67	275.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-5	62	68	70	75	275.0
—	Tom Kim	-4	73	68	66	69	276.0
—	Harris English	-4	67	66	71	72	276.0
—	Jon Rahm	-3	69	73	70	65	277.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-3	71	68	73	65	277.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-3	64	70	71	72	277.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-3	62	70	73	72	277.0
—	Russell Henley	-2	71	71	68	68	278.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-2	71	71	67	69	278.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-2	71	69	69	69	278.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-1	71	69	70	69	279.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-1	71	70	68	70	279.0
—	Viktor Hovland	E	69	70	69	72	280.0
—	Jordan Smith	+1	70	71	74	66	281.0
—	Nick Hardy	+1	70	69	75	67	281.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+1	71	67	73	70	281.0
—	Shane Lowry	+1	72	70	68	71	281.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+1	68	71	71	71	281.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+1	67	72	68	74	281.0
—	Ryutaro Nagano	+1	71	67	68	75	281.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+2	74	66	73	69	282.0
—	Sergio García	+2	70	71	71	70	282.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+2	74	67	69	72	282.0
—	Justin Suh	+2	69	69	72	72	282.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+2	73	69	67	73	282.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+3	71	69	71	72	283.0
—	Dylan Wu	+3	68	70	73	72	283.0
—	Cameron Young	+3	72	70	68	73	283.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+3	68	72	70	73	283.0
—	Sam Burns	+3	69	70	71	73	283.0
—	Tony Finau	+3	68	69	72	74	283.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+3	72	69	67	75	283.0
—	Kyle Mueller	+3	76	67	—	—	143.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Davis Thompson	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Mito Pereira	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Taylor Moore	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Adrian Meronk	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Patrick Cover	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Svoboda	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Alex Noren	+3	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Paul Barjon	+3	67	76	—	—	143.0
—	David Puig	+4	69	73	75	67	284.0
—	Gordon Sargent	+4	69	71	75	69	284.0
—	Eric Cole	+4	69	70	71	74	284.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+4	67	72	71	74	284.0
—	Justin Rose	+4	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Adam Schenk	+4	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Taylor	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Tom Hoge	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Simon Forsström	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Chris Kirk	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	J.J. Grey	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Sepp Straka	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Corey Conners	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Max Homa	+4	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Sam Bennett	+5	67	68	79	71	285.0
—	Sam Stevens	+5	75	67	70	73	285.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+5	68	71	73	73	285.0
—	Ryan Fox	+5	68	74	69	74	285.0
—	Billy Horschel	+5	73	67	71	74	285.0
—	Brian Harman	+5	65	73	72	75	285.0
—	Wilco Nienaber	+5	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+5	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	J.T. Poston	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Ross Fisher	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Austen Truslow	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Deon Germishuys	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Roger Sloan	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Scott Stallings	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Barclay Brown	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Stewart Cink	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Mac Meissner	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+6	67	73	75	71	286.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+6	68	74	72	72	286.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+6	71	67	75	73	286.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+6	72	69	71	74	286.0
—	Gary Woodland	+6	70	68	73	75	286.0
—	Luke List	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Preston Summerhays	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Kaymer	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Bastien Amat	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brent Grant	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Jordan Gumberg	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Sungjae Im	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+7	70	72	74	71	287.0
—	Romain Langasque	+7	71	68	77	71	287.0
—	Olin Browne Jr.	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Michael Kim	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Armour	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Jens Dantorp	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	David Nyfjall	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Gunn Charoenkul	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Jesse Schutte	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Corey Pereira	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Alejandro Del Rey	+7	68	79	—	—	147.0
—	Patrick Reed	+8	72	69	78	69	288.0
—	Ryan Gerard	+8	69	70	76	73	288.0
—	Nick Dunlap	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Mateo Fernández de Oliveira	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	K.H. Lee	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Pablo Larrazábal	+8	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Yuto Katsuragawa	+9	69	71	75	74	289.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Karl Vilips	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Michael Brennan	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Paul Haley II	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Jason Day	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Christian Cavaliere	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Wenyi Ding	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Omar Morales	+9	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Matthieu Pavon	+9	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Aaron Wise	+10	79	71	—	—	150.0
—	Berry Henson	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Carson Young	+10	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+11	70	72	74	75	291.0
—	Frankie Capan III	+11	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Alex Schaake	+11	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+11	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Victor Perez	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Matthew McClean	+11	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Cam Davis	+11	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Jacob Solomon	+12	68	73	77	74	292.0
—	Adam Svensson	+12	71	70	77	74	292.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+12	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Ben Carr	+13	70	72	75	76	293.0
—	Alexander Yang	+13	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Ryo Ishikawa	+14	69	73	78	74	294.0
—	Isaac Simmons	+14	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Justin Thomas	+14	73	81	—	—	154.0
—	Aldrich Potgieter	+15	70	72	74	79	295.0
—	Brendan Valdes	+16	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	David Horsey	+16	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	Maxwell Moldovan	+17	71	71	76	79	297.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+20	77	83	—	—	160.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Thriston Lawrence	67.23	6%	0%	71.50	—
2	Paul Haley II	67.47	5%	0%	74.50	—
3	Adam Svensson	67.62	10%	1%	73.00	—
4	Pablo Larrazábal	67.75	2%	0%	74.00	—
5	Hank Lebioda	67.91	4%	0%	80.00	—
6	Brent Grant	67.96	6%	0%	73.00	—
7	Ryan Armour	68.10	3%	0%	73.50	—
8	Austin Eckroat	68.17	11%	1%	69.25	—
9	Michael Kim	68.21	13%	1%	73.50	—
10	Keith Mitchell	68.58	9%	1%	70.25	—
11	Taylor Moore	68.59	13%	1%	71.50	—
12	Vincent Norrman	68.62	8%	0%	71.50	—
13	Scottie Scheffler	68.78	90%	1%	68.25	—
14	Viktor Hovland	68.80	22%	2%	70.00	—
15	Cam Davis	68.80	9%	0%	75.50	—
16	Carson Young	68.94	12%	1%	75.00	—
17	Emiliano Grillo	69.01	15%	1%	72.50	—
18	Andrew Putnam	69.06	15%	1%	71.25	—
19	Chris Kirk	69.11	13%	1%	72.00	—
20	Denny McCarthy	69.20	15%	1%	70.25	—
21	Nico Echavarria	69.21	6%	0%	71.50	—
22	Mac Meissner	69.40	2%	0%	72.50	—
23	Tom Kim	69.46	12%	1%	69.00	—
24	Padraig Harrington	69.54	5%	1%	70.50	—
25	Yuto Katsuragawa	69.72	2%	0%	72.25	—
26	Jon Rahm	69.85	30%	6%	69.25	—
27	Rory McIlroy	69.89	32%	4%	67.75	—
28	Nick Hardy	69.91	5%	1%	70.25	—
29	Hideki Matsuyama	69.97	16%	1%	70.75	—
30	Collin Morikawa	70.00	12%	1%	69.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.