Wednesday, June 7, 2023

RBC Canadian Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Nick Taylor	-20	75	67	63	66	286.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-18	70	70	64	67	283.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-16	72	64	72	64	272.0
—	Aaron Rai	-16	67	69	69	67	272.0
—	C.T. Pan	-16	70	66	66	70	272.0
—	Eric Cole	-14	69	73	69	63	274.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-14	68	70	66	70	274.0
—	Justin Rose	-13	69	69	66	71	275.0
—	Brandon Wu	-12	71	69	67	69	276.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-12	71	67	66	72	276.0
—	Andrew Novak	-12	69	68	67	72	276.0
—	Harrison Endycott	-11	72	68	69	68	277.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-11	71	68	70	68	277.0
—	Doug Ghim	-11	71	68	69	69	277.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	-11	68	69	70	70	277.0
—	Harry Higgs	-11	71	66	67	73	277.0
—	Nate Lashley	-10	70	68	70	70	278.0
—	Will Gordon	-9	68	74	69	68	279.0
—	Carl Yuan	-9	68	67	74	70	279.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-8	71	71	70	68	280.0
—	Sam Bennett	-8	70	72	70	68	280.0
—	Lucas Glover	-8	69	72	70	69	280.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-8	68	73	69	70	280.0
—	Corey Conners	-8	67	69	70	74	280.0
—	Chez Reavie	-7	72	71	73	65	281.0
—	Alex Smalley	-7	73	70	71	67	281.0
—	Ryan Moore	-7	69	74	71	67	281.0
—	Dylan Wu	-7	71	70	72	68	281.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	-7	69	72	71	69	281.0
—	Justin Lower	-7	67	70	75	69	281.0
—	Lee Hodges	-7	72	67	72	70	281.0
—	Ted Potter Jr.	-7	73	67	70	71	281.0
—	S.H. Kim	-7	68	70	72	71	281.0
—	Harry Hall	-6	69	71	74	68	282.0
—	Roger Sloan	-6	69	70	73	70	282.0
—	Cody Gribble	-6	69	72	70	71	282.0
—	Brendon Todd	-6	68	69	73	72	282.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-5	71	70	74	68	283.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-5	73	70	71	69	283.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-5	71	68	74	70	283.0
—	MJ Daffue	-5	73	69	70	71	283.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-5	71	71	69	72	283.0
—	Michael Kim	-4	72	71	73	68	284.0
—	Ryan Gerard	-4	68	75	72	69	284.0
—	Callum Tarren	-4	69	72	73	70	284.0
—	Peter Malnati	-4	70	69	73	72	284.0
—	Shane Lowry	-4	72	69	70	73	284.0
—	Carson Young	-4	71	69	71	73	284.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-4	67	70	72	75	284.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-3	71	70	72	72	285.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-3	71	69	72	73	285.0
—	Brent Grant	-2	71	72	74	69	286.0
—	Jason Dufner	-2	73	70	73	70	286.0
—	Mike Weir	-2	72	70	74	70	286.0
—	Cameron Percy	-2	75	67	72	72	286.0
—	Brian Gay	-2	71	70	72	73	286.0
—	Andrew Landry	-1	73	69	77	68	287.0
—	Scott Piercy	-1	70	72	76	69	287.0
—	Cameron Young	-1	71	72	74	70	287.0
—	Adam Long	-1	74	69	74	70	287.0
—	Stuart Macdonald	-1	73	68	75	71	287.0
—	James Hahn	-1	69	73	73	72	287.0
—	Peter Kuest	-1	72	68	74	73	287.0
—	Sung Kang	-1	73	68	71	75	287.0
—	Richy Werenski	E	69	72	77	70	288.0
—	Scott Brown	E	73	68	75	72	288.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	E	69	72	70	77	288.0
—	Camilo Villegas	E	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Augusto Núñez	E	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Grayson Murray	E	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Sam Burns	E	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Cameron Champ	E	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	E	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Aaron Cockerill	E	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Matti Schmid	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Ben Silverman	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Adrian Meronk	E	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Russell Knox	E	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Trevor Cone	+1	71	72	75	71	289.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+1	69	74	73	73	289.0
—	Wil Bateman	+1	74	66	75	74	289.0
—	Brice Garnett	+1	68	75	71	75	289.0
—	Kevin Roy	+1	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	George McNeill	+1	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Étienne Papineau	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Ryan Armour	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Chris Stroud	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Jake Knapp	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+2	71	72	76	71	290.0
—	Vince Whaley	+2	73	69	76	72	290.0
—	Martin Trainer	+2	71	72	74	73	290.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+2	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Block	+2	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Sangmoon Bae	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Adam Svensson	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Doc Redman	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Martin Laird	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+2	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Bill Haas	+2	71	72	75	—	218.0
—	Chad Ramey	+3	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Ben Martin	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Paul Haley II	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Aaron Wise	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Johnny Travale	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	David Carey	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	William McGirt	+4	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	David Lingmerth	+4	72	67	—	—	139.0
—	Zecheng Dou	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Ryan Hall	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Geoff Ogilvy	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Robby Shelton	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Jim Herman	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Taylor Durham	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	David Hearn	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Brian Stuard	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Michael Gligic	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	David Lipsky	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Derek Ernst	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Drew Nesbitt	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+6	71	79	—	—	150.0
—	Derek Lamely	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Ben Crane	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Sebastian Szirmak	+8	81	71	—	—	152.0
—	Brandon Matthews	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Austin Cook	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Daniel Kim	+9	82	71	—	—	153.0
—	Max McGreevy	+9	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	Myles Creighton	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Omar Uresti	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Tommy Gainey	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Scott Harrington	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Nick Watney	+11	80	75	—	—	155.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Robert Streb	+11	75	80	—	—	155.0
—	Luis Carrera	+15	79	80	—	—	159.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Tyson Alexander	65.57	4%	0%	75.00	—
2	Kyle Westmoreland	66.02	4%	0%	76.00	—
3	Russell Knox	66.27	3%	0%	72.00	—
4	William McGirt	66.40	4%	0%	74.00	—
5	Harrison Endycott	67.20	4%	0%	69.25	—
6	Paul Haley II	67.22	5%	0%	73.50	—
7	Brian Gay	67.31	2%	0%	71.50	—
8	MJ Daffue	67.37	6%	0%	70.75	—
9	Will Gordon	67.54	6%	0%	69.75	—
10	Taylor Pendrith	67.76	5%	0%	72.00	—
11	Kevin Chappell	67.79	5%	1%	72.50	—
12	Chesson Hadley	67.83	5%	0%	71.00	—
13	Derek Lamely	67.87	4%	0%	75.50	—
14	Erik van Rooyen	67.93	4%	0%	76.50	—
15	Kevin Roy	67.93	6%	0%	72.50	—
16	Robby Shelton	67.95	7%	1%	74.50	—
17	Patton Kizzire	67.96	8%	1%	70.75	—
18	Chez Reavie	68.03	12%	1%	70.25	—
19	S.H. Kim	68.06	7%	0%	70.25	—
20	James Hahn	68.06	3%	0%	71.75	—
21	Lucas Glover	68.10	3%	0%	70.00	—
22	Maverick McNealy	68.14	4%	0%	75.00	—
23	Matt Kuchar	68.14	12%	1%	70.00	—
24	Peter Kuest	68.14	4%	0%	71.75	—
25	Tommy Fleetwood	68.21	20%	1%	56.60	—
26	Zecheng Dou	68.23	7%	1%	74.50	—
27	Scott Harrington	68.23	5%	0%	77.00	—
28	Michael Kim	68.25	13%	1%	71.00	—
29	Carl Yuan	68.27	4%	0%	69.75	—
30	Chris Stroud	68.27	7%	0%	72.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.