Wednesday, May 31, 2023

The Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Viktor Hovland	-7	71	71	69	70	285.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-7	71	72	68	70	281.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-6	74	73	68	67	282.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-5	71	68	71	73	283.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-4	71	72	71	70	284.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-4	69	72	72	71	284.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-4	71	73	68	—	212.0
—	Adam Schenk	-3	75	71	68	71	285.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-3	72	68	70	75	285.0
—	Adam Scott	-2	70	75	70	71	286.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-2	76	68	70	72	286.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-2	72	68	74	72	286.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-1	71	71	73	72	287.0
—	Lee Hodges	-1	72	69	70	76	287.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-1	70	71	70	76	287.0
—	David Lipsky	-1	69	69	72	77	287.0
—	Luke List	E	73	74	71	70	288.0
—	Shane Lowry	E	69	76	70	73	288.0
—	Sam Burns	E	71	71	73	73	288.0
—	Jon Rahm	E	70	70	74	74	288.0
—	Russell Henley	E	74	71	68	75	288.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	E	73	70	70	75	288.0
—	Sepp Straka	E	71	69	73	75	288.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	E	72	65	75	76	288.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	E	71	—	—	—	71.0
—	Beau Hossler	+1	72	71	74	72	289.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+1	72	71	74	72	289.0
—	Eric Cole	+1	75	70	70	74	289.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+1	77	66	72	74	289.0
—	Gary Woodland	+1	75	68	71	75	289.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+1	72	70	71	76	289.0
—	Ryan Fox	+2	77	70	73	70	290.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+2	71	73	71	75	290.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+2	72	71	70	77	290.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+2	69	72	72	77	290.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+2	74	73	65	78	290.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	70	70	72	78	290.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+2	71	67	74	78	290.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+2	69	70	72	79	290.0
—	J.T. Poston	+3	76	70	72	73	291.0
—	Luke Donald	+3	72	69	74	76	291.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+3	73	70	71	77	291.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+4	71	73	76	72	292.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+4	73	72	73	74	292.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	70	73	75	74	292.0
—	S.H. Kim	+4	75	71	70	76	292.0
—	Sam Stevens	+4	72	72	72	76	292.0
—	Sungjae Im	+4	70	76	67	79	292.0
—	Justin Suh	+4	70	66	77	79	292.0
—	Jason Day	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Chris Kirk	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Zach Johnson	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Ben Griffin	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Kazuki Higa	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+4	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	Thomas Detry	+5	73	72	77	71	293.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+5	71	73	73	76	293.0
—	Matt Wallace	+5	68	74	75	76	293.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+5	71	74	69	79	293.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+5	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Will Gordon	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Cameron Young	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Hardy	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Harris English	+6	71	73	76	74	294.0
—	Alex Noren	+6	72	74	71	77	294.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	MJ Daffue	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Scott Stallings	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Robby Shelton	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Justin Thomas	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Aldrich Potgieter	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Davis Riley	+7	67	78	78	72	295.0
—	Danny Willett	+7	69	76	69	81	295.0
—	David Lingmerth	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Brian Harman	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	William McGirt	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Adam Svensson	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Justin Lower	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	K.H. Lee	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Brandon Wu	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Lucas Glover	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Davis Thompson	+8	72	75	76	73	296.0
—	Sam Ryder	+8	71	72	77	76	296.0
—	Adam Long	+8	81	71	—	—	152.0
—	Corey Conners	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+9	76	70	75	76	297.0
—	Chez Reavie	+9	72	72	76	77	297.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	+9	81	72	—	—	153.0
—	Alex Smalley	+9	80	73	—	—	153.0
—	Jason Dufner	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	David Micheluzzi	+9	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Cam Davis	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Aaron Rai	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Ben Taylor	+9	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+10	77	69	76	76	298.0
—	Stewart Cink	+10	73	71	78	76	298.0
—	Tom Kim	+10	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Troy Merritt	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Bo Hoag	+10	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+11	79	67	69	84	299.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+11	81	74	—	—	155.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+11	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	Sam Bennett	+12	71	73	72	84	300.0
—	Billy Horschel	+12	84	72	—	—	156.0
—	K.J. Choi	+12	81	75	—	—	156.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+13	73	74	78	76	301.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+13	80	77	—	—	157.0
—	Brendon Todd	+14	79	55	—	—	134.0
—	Tom Hoge	+17	74	69	77	85	305.0
—	Chad Ramey	+18	88	74	—	—	162.0
—	Peter Malnati	+18	78	84	—	—	162.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Taylor Pendrith	67.14	5%	0%	74.50	—
2	Kazuki Higa	67.39	4%	0%	74.00	—
3	MJ Daffue	67.47	7%	0%	75.00	—
4	Ben Griffin	67.60	8%	1%	74.00	—
5	Trey Mullinax	67.62	4%	0%	74.00	—
6	Nick Hardy	67.78	5%	0%	74.50	—
7	Tom Kim	67.80	13%	1%	77.00	—
8	Taylor Montgomery	67.93	6%	0%	73.00	—
9	J.J. Spaun	68.01	5%	0%	72.50	—
10	S.H. Kim	68.05	7%	0%	73.00	—
11	Justin Suh	68.13	12%	1%	73.00	—
12	Thomas Detry	68.22	11%	1%	73.25	—
13	Ben Taylor	68.30	6%	0%	76.50	—
14	Lee Hodges	68.40	7%	0%	71.75	—
15	Hayden Buckley	68.45	9%	1%	78.50	—
16	Will Gordon	68.59	6%	0%	74.50	—
17	Joseph Bramlett	68.61	11%	1%	72.00	—
18	Sam Stevens	68.62	11%	1%	73.00	—
19	Chad Ramey	68.65	7%	1%	81.00	—
20	Austin Eckroat	68.68	9%	1%	72.50	—
21	Davis Thompson	68.69	7%	0%	74.00	—
22	Stephan Jaeger	68.75	12%	2%	72.25	—
23	Jon Rahm	68.77	43%	2%	72.00	—
24	Patrick Cantlay	68.78	23%	2%	72.50	—
25	Collin Morikawa	68.80	19%	1%	53.00	—
26	Scottie Scheffler	68.89	77%	7%	70.50	—
27	Tyrrell Hatton	69.11	27%	2%	71.75	—
28	Akshay Bhatia	69.16	13%	1%	75.50	—
29	Hideki Matsuyama	69.17	27%	1%	72.00	—
30	Matt Kuchar	69.19	17%	1%	74.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.