Wednesday, May 24, 2023

Charles Schwab Challenge

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Emiliano Grillo	-9	67	65	72	68	278.0
—	Adam Schenk	-8	66	67	67	72	276.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-7	67	67	72	67	273.0
—	Harry Hall	-7	62	66	72	73	273.0
—	Paul Haley II	-6	73	68	66	67	274.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-5	68	71	69	67	275.0
—	Michael Kim	-5	67	71	70	67	275.0
—	Sam Burns	-5	67	70	70	68	275.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-4	69	69	69	69	276.0
—	Max Homa	-4	67	69	71	69	276.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-4	68	69	68	71	276.0
—	Justin Rose	-3	69	66	72	70	277.0
—	Aaron Rai	-3	71	68	67	71	277.0
—	Chad Ramey	-3	68	69	69	71	277.0
—	Harris English	-3	65	66	70	76	277.0
—	Russell Henley	-2	68	71	69	70	278.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-2	69	66	72	71	278.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-2	71	68	66	73	278.0
—	David Lipsky	-2	67	69	69	73	278.0
—	Justin Suh	-2	68	70	66	74	278.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-1	70	71	71	67	279.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-1	67	73	70	69	279.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-1	70	69	71	69	279.0
—	Carson Young	-1	69	66	75	69	279.0
—	Thomas Detry	-1	70	68	71	70	279.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-1	70	68	70	71	279.0
—	Ryan Fox	-1	67	71	69	72	279.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-1	67	66	72	74	279.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	E	70	71	71	68	280.0
—	Alex Noren	E	68	69	74	69	280.0
—	Collin Morikawa	E	73	67	70	70	280.0
—	Sepp Straka	E	69	71	70	70	280.0
—	Lee Hodges	E	69	67	74	70	280.0
—	Sam Stevens	E	71	66	72	71	280.0
—	Robby Shelton	E	66	67	76	71	280.0
—	Peter Malnati	E	69	67	72	72	280.0
—	Si Woo Kim	E	67	70	70	73	280.0
—	Brian Harman	E	70	69	67	74	280.0
—	Andrew Putnam	E	66	70	70	74	280.0
—	Billy Horschel	+1	67	74	70	70	281.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+1	73	67	71	70	281.0
—	Chez Reavie	+1	67	69	75	70	281.0
—	Alex Smalley	+1	70	71	68	72	281.0
—	Luke Donald	+1	71	69	69	72	281.0
—	Scott Piercy	+1	69	68	72	72	281.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+1	67	71	70	73	281.0
—	Andrew Novak	+1	68	66	74	73	281.0
—	Nick Hardy	+2	72	69	71	70	282.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+2	70	71	71	70	282.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+2	70	69	73	70	282.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+2	69	69	73	71	282.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Tony Finau	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Sungjae Im	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Adam Long	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Nate Lashley	+2	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Cam Davis	+2	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+2	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+3	71	70	74	68	283.0
—	Ben Griffin	+3	67	69	75	72	283.0
—	Tom Hoge	+3	66	74	69	74	283.0
—	Will Gordon	+3	71	68	69	75	283.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Davis Riley	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Taylor	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Matt Wallace	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Pierceson Coody	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+3	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Eric Cole	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Troy Merritt	+3	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+4	69	68	70	77	284.0
—	Sam Ryder	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Danny Willett	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Cole Hammer	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Taylor	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Taylor Moore	+4	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	68	69	75	73	285.0
—	Luke List	+5	70	70	71	74	285.0
—	Brendon Todd	+5	69	71	71	74	285.0
—	Justin Lower	+5	70	68	73	74	285.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+5	72	67	70	76	285.0
—	Ben Martin	+5	69	69	68	79	285.0
—	Harrison Endycott	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	MJ Daffue	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Chris Kirk	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Dylan Wu	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Scott Stallings	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Erik Compton	+6	69	70	78	69	286.0
—	Cameron Champ	+6	70	71	73	72	286.0
—	Zecheng Dou	+6	70	69	75	72	286.0
—	Cody Gribble	+6	70	68	75	73	286.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+6	70	69	70	77	286.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Tway	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Richy Werenski	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+7	72	69	70	76	287.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+7	72	69	70	76	287.0
—	S.H. Kim	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Callum Tarren	+7	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Zach Johnson	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	David Lingmerth	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Zac Blair	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+10	69	72	77	72	290.0
—	Beau Hossler	+10	72	69	75	74	290.0
—	Harry Higgs	+12	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Russell Knox	+13	69	72	76	76	293.0
—	Michael Block	+15	81	74	—	—	155.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kyle Westmoreland	66.07	3%	0%	71.50	—
2	Troy Merritt	66.19	3%	0%	71.50	—
3	Andrew Novak	66.73	9%	2%	70.25	—
4	Paul Haley II	66.81	4%	0%	68.50	—
5	MJ Daffue	66.82	6%	0%	72.50	—
6	Dylan Wu	67.39	17%	1%	72.50	—
7	Tyson Alexander	67.51	4%	0%	71.00	—
8	Harrison Endycott	67.58	4%	0%	72.50	—
9	Ben Griffin	67.60	7%	0%	70.75	—
10	S.H. Kim	67.60	8%	0%	73.50	—
11	Justin Lower	67.82	4%	0%	71.25	—
12	Harry Hall	68.05	8%	1%	68.25	—
13	Nick Hardy	68.06	5%	0%	70.50	—
14	Michael Kim	68.11	13%	1%	68.75	—
15	Scottie Scheffler	68.17	80%	1%	68.25	—
16	Thomas Detry	68.22	8%	1%	69.75	—
17	Zecheng Dou	68.31	5%	1%	71.50	—
18	Russell Henley	68.44	12%	1%	69.50	—
19	Vincent Norrman	68.60	8%	1%	70.50	—
20	Sam Stevens	68.62	11%	1%	70.00	—
21	David Lingmerth	68.67	6%	0%	74.50	—
22	Carson Young	68.68	10%	1%	69.75	—
23	Austin Eckroat	68.69	8%	0%	69.50	—
24	Ben Taylor	68.76	6%	1%	71.50	—
25	Kevin Kisner	68.79	4%	0%	73.50	—
26	Cody Gribble	68.79	6%	0%	71.50	—
27	Collin Morikawa	68.81	24%	1%	70.00	—
28	Justin Suh	68.81	10%	0%	69.50	—
29	Jordan Spieth	68.84	28%	2%	72.00	—
30	Sungjae Im	68.85	29%	2%	71.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.