Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Valspar Championship

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Taylor Moore	-10	71	67	69	67	274.0
—	Adam Schenk	-9	66	69	70	70	275.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-8	68	69	69	70	276.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-8	67	70	69	70	276.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-6	72	66	70	70	278.0
—	Sam Burns	-5	69	73	70	67	279.0
—	Matt Wallace	-4	71	67	70	72	280.0
—	Webb Simpson	-4	71	68	68	73	280.0
—	Cody Gribble	-4	72	65	70	73	280.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-3	70	73	71	67	281.0
—	Nick Taylor	-3	72	70	69	70	281.0
—	Justin Thomas	-3	69	70	72	70	281.0
—	Zac Blair	-3	71	70	68	72	281.0
—	J.T. Poston	-3	70	68	71	72	281.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-3	68	73	67	73	281.0
—	Cameron Percy	-2	72	71	69	70	282.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-2	74	65	73	70	282.0
—	Doc Redman	-2	74	69	68	71	282.0
—	K.H. Lee	-1	74	68	75	66	283.0
—	MJ Daffue	-1	69	74	71	69	283.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-1	72	69	72	70	283.0
—	Sam Ryder	-1	72	71	69	71	283.0
—	Sean O'Hair	-1	71	72	68	72	283.0
—	Adam Long	-1	71	68	71	73	283.0
—	Michael Thompson	-1	74	66	69	74	283.0
—	Davis Riley	-1	69	68	72	74	283.0
—	Richy Werenski	E	71	71	71	71	284.0
—	Andrew Novak	E	72	70	71	71	284.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	E	71	69	73	71	284.0
—	Doug Ghim	E	69	70	74	71	284.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	73	70	68	73	284.0
—	Alex Smalley	E	68	71	71	74	284.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	E	66	72	72	74	284.0
—	Chad Ramey	E	70	71	68	75	284.0
—	David Lingmerth	E	72	68	69	75	284.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+1	70	73	73	69	285.0
—	Jason Dufner	+1	71	72	73	69	285.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+1	67	74	74	70	285.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+1	71	72	71	71	285.0
—	Will Gordon	+1	70	73	71	71	285.0
—	Justin Rose	+1	71	71	72	71	285.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+1	72	69	72	72	285.0
—	David Lipsky	+1	72	70	70	73	285.0
—	Lucas Glover	+1	67	72	73	73	285.0
—	Victor Perez	+2	70	71	75	70	286.0
—	Andrew Landry	+2	71	72	71	72	286.0
—	Ryan Armour	+2	71	72	71	72	286.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+2	72	71	71	72	286.0
—	S.H. Kim	+2	71	70	73	72	286.0
—	Justin Suh	+2	72	69	73	72	286.0
—	Gary Woodland	+2	71	70	72	73	286.0
—	Ben Griffin	+2	69	72	72	73	286.0
—	Ben Martin	+2	69	71	73	73	286.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+2	68	68	77	73	286.0
—	Michael Kim	+2	72	69	71	74	286.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+2	68	71	73	74	286.0
—	Sam Stevens	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Jim Herman	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Brent Grant	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Eric Cole	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Pierceson Coody	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Scott Harrington	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Peter Malnati	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Chez Reavie	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Erik Barnes	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Paul Haley II	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Hardy	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Cameron Champ	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Danny Guise	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+3	71	70	74	72	287.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Michael Gligic	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Justin Lower	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Brice Garnett	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Roy	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Robert Streb	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Brian Harman	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Stewart Cink	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+4	71	72	73	72	288.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+4	71	72	69	76	288.0
—	Dylan Wu	+4	71	69	70	78	288.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+4	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Brian Stuard	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Beau Hossler	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	John VanDerLaan	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Tano Goya	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Ludvig Åberg	+5	72	71	73	73	289.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+5	73	69	73	74	289.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Nate Lashley	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Luke List	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Moore	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Chris Nido	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Robby Shelton	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Carl Yuan	+6	72	70	74	74	290.0
—	Lee Hodges	+6	74	68	72	76	290.0
—	Augusto Núñez	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Cole Hammer	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Harry Hall	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Carson Young	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Max McGreevy	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+6	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Trevor Cone	+7	73	69	77	72	291.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+7	66	75	76	74	291.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+7	73	70	73	75	291.0
—	Harrison Endycott	+7	72	71	73	75	291.0
—	Ben Taylor	+7	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Greg Koch	+7	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Luke Donald	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Brandon Wu	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Gabrelcik	+8	75	67	74	76	292.0
—	Zecheng Dou	+8	71	69	72	80	292.0
—	Martin Laird	+8	79	71	—	—	150.0
—	Russell Knox	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Brandon Matthews	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+8	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+9	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Austin Cook	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Martin Trainer	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Harry Higgs	+9	70	81	—	—	151.0
—	James Hahn	+10	73	70	77	74	294.0
—	Ryan Gerard	+10	72	71	74	77	294.0
—	Peter Knade	+10	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Zach Johnson	+10	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Matti Schmid	+10	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+12	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Alex Chiarella	+16	80	78	—	—	158.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Jonathan Byrd	67.11	4%	0%	73.00	—
2	Zac Blair	68.15	4%	0%	70.25	—
3	Kyle Westmoreland	68.18	4%	0%	75.00	—
4	Brandon Matthews	68.29	3%	0%	75.00	—
5	Victor Perez	68.45	2%	0%	71.50	—
6	Michael Gligic	68.47	3%	0%	72.50	—
7	MJ Daffue	68.59	6%	0%	70.75	—
8	Justin Lower	68.61	3%	0%	72.50	—
9	Kevin Roy	68.64	3%	0%	72.50	—
10	Kelly Kraft	68.73	2%	0%	73.50	—
11	Matti Schmid	69.10	5%	0%	76.00	—
12	Austin Eckroat	69.18	5%	0%	72.00	—
13	Trevor Werbylo	69.26	3%	0%	71.00	—
14	Brent Grant	69.29	5%	0%	72.00	—
15	Brian Stuard	69.30	4%	0%	73.00	—
16	Pierceson Coody	69.32	4%	0%	72.00	—
17	Ludvig Åberg	69.34	3%	0%	72.25	—
18	Harry Hall	69.37	8%	1%	74.00	—
19	Sam Burns	69.42	26%	1%	69.75	—
20	Ben Taylor	69.54	9%	1%	74.50	—
21	David Lingmerth	69.57	7%	0%	71.00	—
22	Vincent Norrman	69.59	4%	0%	73.50	—
23	Trevor Cone	69.59	3%	0%	72.75	—
24	Scott Harrington	69.59	4%	0%	72.00	—
25	Cameron Champ	69.62	4%	0%	72.00	—
26	Zecheng Dou	69.64	4%	0%	73.00	—
27	Nick Hardy	69.67	7%	0%	72.00	—
28	Augusto Núñez	69.74	6%	0%	74.00	—
29	Cole Hammer	69.75	5%	0%	74.00	—
30	Cameron Percy	69.78	4%	0%	70.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.