Wednesday, March 8, 2023

THE PLAYERS Championship

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-17	68	69	65	69	271.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-12	72	71	68	65	276.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-10	69	71	70	68	278.0
—	Tom Hoge	-10	78	68	62	70	278.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-9	74	70	67	68	279.0
—	Max Homa	-8	72	72	67	69	280.0
—	Justin Suh	-8	68	73	69	70	280.0
—	Justin Rose	-8	69	73	67	71	280.0
—	Sungjae Im	-8	75	69	64	72	280.0
—	David Lingmerth	-8	72	68	68	72	280.0
—	Cam Davis	-8	69	70	67	74	280.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-8	68	70	66	76	280.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-7	72	70	68	71	281.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-7	71	70	69	71	281.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-7	65	73	72	71	281.0
—	Adam Svensson	-7	68	67	75	71	281.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-7	68	72	69	72	281.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-7	68	70	69	74	281.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-6	72	73	69	68	282.0
—	Russell Henley	-6	72	74	66	70	282.0
—	Tony Finau	-6	73	72	66	71	282.0
—	Brandon Wu	-6	73	69	69	71	282.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-6	69	75	66	72	282.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-6	72	70	68	72	282.0
—	Jason Day	-6	70	70	70	72	282.0
—	Aaron Rai	-6	73	69	65	75	282.0
—	Eric Cole	-5	73	73	69	68	283.0
—	Danny Willett	-5	72	71	71	69	283.0
—	Brendon Todd	-5	71	69	74	69	283.0
—	Ryan Fox	-5	74	68	70	71	283.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-5	69	74	68	72	283.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	69	73	69	72	283.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-5	72	70	65	76	283.0
—	Chad Ramey	-5	64	75	68	76	283.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-4	72	74	68	70	284.0
—	Shane Lowry	-4	77	69	68	70	284.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-4	73	72	69	70	284.0
—	Sam Burns	-4	68	74	72	70	284.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-4	71	72	70	71	284.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-4	71	70	70	73	284.0
—	Taylor Moore	-4	70	75	65	74	284.0
—	Dylan Wu	-4	69	73	68	74	284.0
—	Ben Griffin	-4	67	71	72	74	284.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-3	71	73	72	69	285.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-3	74	72	69	70	285.0
—	Sam Ryder	-3	73	72	69	71	285.0
—	Brian Harman	-3	73	71	70	71	285.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-3	73	70	69	73	285.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-3	70	73	68	74	285.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	-3	70	73	66	76	285.0
—	Tom Kim	-2	74	72	71	69	286.0
—	Lucas Glover	-2	69	74	71	72	286.0
—	Cameron Young	-2	71	73	68	74	286.0
—	Ben Martin	-1	71	74	72	70	287.0
—	Matthias Schwab	-1	75	70	72	70	287.0
—	Jerry Kelly	-1	74	72	69	72	287.0
—	Gary Woodland	-1	72	70	71	74	287.0
—	Will Gordon	-1	73	67	73	74	287.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-1	73	69	70	75	287.0
—	Jon Rahm	-1	71	—	—	—	71.0
—	Justin Thomas	E	73	73	71	71	288.0
—	Joel Dahmen	E	73	71	73	71	288.0
—	Maverick McNealy	E	74	71	70	73	288.0
—	Nate Lashley	E	69	71	73	75	288.0
—	Francesco Molinari	E	73	71	68	76	288.0
—	Sepp Straka	+1	74	72	74	69	289.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+1	74	71	74	70	289.0
—	Alex Smalley	+1	71	75	69	74	289.0
—	Davis Thompson	+3	70	73	69	79	291.0
—	Thomas Detry	+3	78	69	—	—	147.0
—	Luke List	+3	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Troy Merritt	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Wallace	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Piercy	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Harrison Endycott	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Stallings	+4	71	74	72	75	292.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+4	67	73	72	80	292.0
—	Kevin Tway	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Adam Schenk	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Chris Kirk	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Peter Malnati	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Chez Reavie	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Davis Riley	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	72	73	77	71	293.0
—	Harris English	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Michael Thompson	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Alex Noren	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	James Hahn	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+5	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Hardy	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Corey Conners	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Séamus Power	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Erik Barnes	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Callum Tarren	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Robby Shelton	+6	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+6	71	79	—	—	150.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+7	73	72	74	76	295.0
—	Robert Streb	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Justin Lower	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Ryan Armour	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+8	74	71	74	77	296.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Doc Redman	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Webb Simpson	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Beau Hossler	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Russell Knox	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Billy Horschel	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+8	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	S.H. Kim	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Lee Hodges	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Adam Long	+9	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Stewart Cink	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+10	70	75	78	75	298.0
—	Doug Ghim	+10	80	74	—	—	154.0
—	Andrew Novak	+10	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+11	72	73	73	81	299.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+11	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+12	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	Aaron Wise	+12	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	David Lipsky	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+12	71	85	—	—	156.0
—	Martin Laird	+13	76	81	—	—	157.0
—	Nick Watney	+14	79	79	—	—	158.0
—	Max McGreevy	+14	69	89	—	—	158.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+23	82	85	—	—	167.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Max McGreevy	64.45	4%	0%	79.00	—
2	Chad Ramey	66.05	3%	0%	70.75	—
3	Kelly Kraft	66.56	3%	0%	78.00	—
4	Matthias Schwab	67.71	6%	0%	71.75	—
5	Aaron Rai	67.86	7%	0%	70.50	—
6	Justin Lower	67.99	6%	0%	75.50	—
7	Brandon Wu	68.01	11%	1%	70.50	—
8	Dylan Wu	68.04	8%	1%	71.00	—
9	Min Woo Lee	68.06	6%	1%	70.00	—
10	David Lipsky	68.08	8%	1%	78.00	—
11	Andrew Novak	68.12	6%	0%	77.00	—
12	Nick Hardy	68.15	8%	0%	75.00	—
13	Austin Smotherman	68.26	4%	0%	71.00	—
14	David Lingmerth	68.27	7%	0%	70.00	—
15	Harrison Endycott	68.42	4%	0%	73.50	—
16	Davis Riley	68.44	9%	1%	74.00	—
17	Thomas Detry	68.44	13%	3%	73.50	—
18	Trey Mullinax	68.44	9%	0%	78.00	—
19	Greyson Sigg	68.45	8%	1%	75.50	—
20	Harris English	68.48	8%	0%	74.50	—
21	Ben Martin	68.63	8%	1%	71.75	—
22	Alex Smalley	68.67	12%	1%	72.25	—
23	Si Woo Kim	68.78	24%	1%	70.75	—
24	Will Gordon	68.79	9%	1%	71.75	—
25	Billy Horschel	68.83	16%	1%	76.00	—
26	Jon Rahm	68.88	39%	9%	23.67	—
27	Aaron Baddeley	68.90	13%	1%	73.75	—
28	Erik Barnes	68.92	7%	0%	75.00	—
29	Danny Willett	68.97	9%	0%	70.75	—
30	Davis Thompson	68.98	8%	0%	72.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.