Wednesday, May 17, 2023

PGA Championship

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Brooks Koepka	-9	72	66	66	67	271.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-7	67	68	73	65	273.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-7	68	67	70	68	273.0
—	Cam Davis	-3	71	70	71	65	277.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-3	70	71	71	65	277.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-3	66	71	70	70	277.0
—	Sepp Straka	-2	69	71	73	65	278.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-2	71	69	69	69	278.0
—	Cameron Smith	-1	72	72	70	65	279.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-1	74	67	72	66	279.0
—	Justin Rose	-1	69	70	69	71	279.0
—	Victor Perez	E	70	72	69	69	280.0
—	Shane Lowry	E	73	67	71	69	280.0
—	Corey Conners	E	67	68	70	75	280.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+1	77	68	69	67	281.0
—	Eric Cole	+1	67	74	70	70	281.0
—	Michael Block	+1	70	70	70	71	281.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+2	72	72	71	67	282.0
—	Mito Pereira	+2	72	69	74	67	282.0
—	Patrick Reed	+2	72	71	69	70	282.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+2	72	71	68	71	282.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+2	73	67	71	71	282.0
—	Alex Smalley	+3	73	72	70	68	283.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+3	70	70	74	69	283.0
—	Ryan Fox	+3	68	73	71	71	283.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+4	71	70	74	69	284.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+4	69	74	71	70	284.0
—	Justin Suh	+4	69	68	73	74	284.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+5	70	75	72	68	285.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+5	75	70	72	68	285.0
—	Callum Tarren	+5	71	67	79	68	285.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+5	73	72	71	69	285.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	68	74	74	69	285.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	73	68	75	69	285.0
—	Harold Varner III	+5	70	71	74	70	285.0
—	Chris Kirk	+5	70	75	69	71	285.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+5	68	72	74	71	285.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+5	72	71	70	72	285.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+5	70	69	74	72	285.0
—	Thomas Detry	+6	74	71	73	68	286.0
—	Adrian Meronk	+6	75	69	74	68	286.0
—	J.T. Poston	+6	72	70	75	69	286.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+6	75	69	72	70	286.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+6	70	73	73	70	286.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+6	69	76	70	71	286.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	76	68	71	71	286.0
—	Beau Hossler	+6	71	70	74	71	286.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+6	71	71	71	73	286.0
—	Adam Svensson	+6	70	70	73	73	286.0
—	Davis Thompson	+6	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Adri Arnaus	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Jordan Smith	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brendan Steele	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Brian Harman	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Billy Horschel	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+7	72	71	75	69	287.0
—	Jon Rahm	+7	76	68	72	71	287.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+7	76	67	73	71	287.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+7	72	70	69	76	287.0
—	Brendon Todd	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Ben Griffin	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Alex Noren	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Russell Henley	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Davis Riley	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Luke Donald	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Nick Taylor	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Dean Burmester	+8	73	71	72	72	288.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Day	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Adrian Otaegui	+8	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Scott Stallings	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Callum Shinkwin	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Gary Woodland	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Tom Kim	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Colin Inglis	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Lee Hodges	+9	75	70	75	69	289.0
—	Max Homa	+9	71	72	74	72	289.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+9	67	74	74	74	289.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+9	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	David Micheluzzi	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Hardy	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Séamus Power	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Brandon Wu	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Harris English	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Cameron Young	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+10	73	72	75	70	290.0
—	Zach Johnson	+10	74	71	74	71	290.0
—	Tom Hoge	+10	74	70	72	74	290.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+10	69	71	73	77	290.0
—	Matt Cahill	+10	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Talor Gooch	+10	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+11	75	70	75	71	291.0
—	Sihwan Kim	+11	75	68	75	73	291.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	+11	75	69	73	74	291.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+11	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Y.E. Yang	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	+11	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Danny Willett	+11	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+12	75	70	76	71	292.0
—	Justin Thomas	+12	72	73	75	72	292.0
—	Pablo Larrazábal	+12	69	75	74	74	292.0
—	Matt Wallace	+12	73	70	75	74	292.0
—	Steven Alker	+12	80	72	—	—	152.0
—	Braden Shattuck	+12	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Sam Ryder	+12	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Greg Koch	+12	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Steve Holmes	+12	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Sadom Kaewkanjana	+12	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+12	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Jeremy Wells	+12	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Ben Taylor	+13	72	72	78	71	293.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+13	74	69	78	72	293.0
—	Yannik Paul	+13	76	69	73	75	293.0
—	Sungjae Im	+13	80	73	—	—	153.0
—	Ockie Strydom	+13	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	David Lingmerth	+13	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Ben Kern	+13	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+13	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Adam Schenk	+13	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	JJ Killeen	+13	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Webb Simpson	+14	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Aaron Wise	+14	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Sam Burns	+14	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Taylor Moore	+15	74	69	78	74	295.0
—	Tony Finau	+15	72	73	73	77	295.0
—	Sam Stevens	+15	71	72	73	79	295.0
—	Chris French	+15	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Jesse Droemer	+16	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	John Somers	+16	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Alex Beach	+17	80	77	—	—	157.0
—	Anthony Cordes	+17	79	78	—	—	157.0
—	Josh Speight	+17	75	82	—	—	157.0
—	Wyatt Worthington II	+17	75	82	—	—	157.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+18	71	74	79	74	298.0
—	Russell Grove	+18	79	79	—	—	158.0
—	Kenny Pigman	+19	81	78	—	—	159.0
—	Kazuki Higa	+20	72	73	77	78	300.0
—	Gabe Reynolds	+20	85	75	—	—	160.0
—	Shaun Micheel	+23	81	82	—	—	163.0
—	Chris Sanger	+25	84	81	—	—	165.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Taylor Pendrith	66.99	7%	0%	71.25	—
2	Nick Hardy	67.13	5%	0%	74.50	—
3	Adam Svensson	67.62	10%	1%	71.50	—
4	Ben Griffin	67.64	7%	0%	73.50	—
5	David Lingmerth	67.68	6%	0%	76.50	—
6	Taylor Moore	67.75	23%	2%	73.75	—
7	Sam Ryder	67.91	12%	1%	76.00	—
8	Alex Smalley	67.99	6%	0%	70.75	—
9	Alex Beach	68.02	1%	0%	78.50	—
10	Luke Donald	68.09	4%	0%	73.50	—
11	Trey Mullinax	68.16	5%	0%	74.00	—
12	Callum Tarren	68.19	3%	0%	71.25	—
13	Patrick Rodgers	68.41	14%	1%	71.25	—
14	Lee Hodges	68.44	7%	0%	72.25	—
15	Cameron Young	68.52	22%	2%	74.50	—
16	Hayden Buckley	68.60	10%	1%	71.00	—
17	Sam Burns	68.61	28%	1%	77.00	—
18	Stephan Jaeger	68.61	13%	1%	71.75	—
19	Kazuki Higa	68.61	3%	0%	75.00	—
20	Matt NeSmith	68.63	5%	0%	70.75	—
21	Ben Taylor	68.64	5%	0%	73.25	—
22	Scottie Scheffler	68.69	79%	2%	68.25	—
23	Sahith Theegala	68.73	34%	2%	71.50	—
24	Adrian Meronk	68.76	4%	0%	71.50	—
25	Justin Thomas	68.77	28%	5%	73.00	—
26	Taylor Montgomery	68.78	8%	1%	73.00	—
27	Sam Stevens	68.78	13%	2%	73.75	—
28	Nico Echavarria	68.92	5%	0%	74.50	—
29	Mito Pereira	68.98	10%	1%	70.50	—
30	Justin Suh	68.99	10%	0%	71.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.