Wednesday, February 15, 2023

The Genesis Invitational

PGA ·129 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jon Rahm	-17	65	68	65	69	267.0
—	Max Homa	-15	64	68	69	68	269.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-14	68	67	68	67	270.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-13	69	68	70	64	271.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-12	64	69	69	70	272.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-11	71	68	68	66	273.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-11	66	68	72	67	273.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-10	66	70	71	67	274.0
—	Jason Day	-9	72	67	71	65	275.0
—	Adam Svensson	-9	67	71	68	69	275.0
—	Gary Woodland	-9	69	68	67	71	275.0
—	Harris English	-8	66	73	72	65	276.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-8	70	68	70	68	276.0
—	Shane Lowry	-7	69	69	71	68	277.0
—	Séamus Power	-7	71	70	67	69	277.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-7	71	71	64	71	277.0
—	Tom Hoge	-7	67	71	68	71	277.0
—	Danny Willett	-6	68	69	71	70	278.0
—	Lee Hodges	-6	67	66	74	71	278.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-5	68	75	69	67	279.0
—	Nate Lashley	-5	69	73	70	67	279.0
—	Tony Finau	-5	72	69	71	67	279.0
—	Sam Ryder	-5	71	70	70	68	279.0
—	Justin Thomas	-5	68	73	69	69	279.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-5	69	71	70	69	279.0
—	Cameron Young	-5	68	74	67	70	279.0
—	Peter Malnati	-5	68	71	70	70	279.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-5	68	70	71	70	279.0
—	Aaron Rai	-4	70	73	69	68	280.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-4	69	69	72	70	280.0
—	Luke List	-4	70	71	68	71	280.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-4	67	69	73	71	280.0
—	Nick Taylor	-3	69	74	70	68	281.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-3	69	74	70	68	281.0
—	S.H. Kim	-3	69	73	71	68	281.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-3	71	72	68	70	281.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-3	71	71	69	70	281.0
—	Thomas Detry	-3	71	67	73	70	281.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-3	68	72	67	74	281.0
—	Luke Donald	-2	69	73	69	71	282.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-2	70	71	70	71	282.0
—	Kevin Tway	-2	68	73	69	72	282.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-2	68	71	71	72	282.0
—	Justin Suh	-2	71	70	68	73	282.0
—	Michael Thompson	-1	74	67	72	70	283.0
—	Tom Kim	-1	71	70	71	71	283.0
—	Sepp Straka	-1	70	71	70	72	283.0
—	Adrian Meronk	-1	74	67	70	72	283.0
—	Tiger Woods	-1	69	74	67	73	283.0
—	Matthias Schwab	E	70	73	70	71	284.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	E	72	70	71	71	284.0
—	Adam Long	E	70	71	71	72	284.0
—	Scott Piercy	E	69	71	72	72	284.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	68	71	72	73	284.0
—	Adam Schenk	E	69	70	72	73	284.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+1	67	72	73	73	285.0
—	Sungjae Im	+1	69	69	74	73	285.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+2	71	72	71	72	286.0
—	Ben Taylor	+2	69	72	72	73	286.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+2	70	71	68	77	286.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	J.T. Poston	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Russell Henley	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Justin Lower	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Justin Rose	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Taylor Moore	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Lucas Glover	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Corey Conners	+3	71	72	75	69	287.0
—	Doc Redman	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Danny Lee	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Troy Merritt	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Beau Hossler	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Max McGreevy	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Cameron Champ	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Alex Noren	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Alex Smalley	+3	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+3	71	35	—	—	106.0
—	David Lipsky	+4	68	71	74	75	288.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+4	74	68	70	76	288.0
—	Doug Ghim	+4	67	74	70	77	288.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Chad Ramey	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Jack Wall	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Brendon Todd	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Stewart Cink	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Brian Harman	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Brandon Wu	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Davis Thompson	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Adam Scott	+5	69	73	75	72	289.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Billy Horschel	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Robert Streb	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Nick Hardy	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+5	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+6	67	73	75	75	290.0
—	Cam Davis	+6	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Martin Laird	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Marcus Byrd	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Chez Reavie	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Russell Knox	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Wallace	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	James Hahn	+6	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Nick Watney	+7	80	69	—	—	149.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Scott Stallings	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	K.H. Lee	+7	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+8	68	75	76	73	292.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+8	71	72	71	78	292.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Yeongsu Kim	+9	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Callum Tarren	+10	72	80	—	—	152.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Ryan Brehm	66.59	4%	0%	74.00	—
2	Kelly Kraft	66.68	4%	0%	73.50	—
3	Chad Ramey	67.15	5%	0%	73.00	—
4	Luke Donald	67.63	3%	0%	70.50	—
5	Nick Hardy	68.01	10%	1%	73.50	—
6	Harris English	68.02	6%	0%	69.00	—
7	Ben Taylor	68.07	8%	1%	71.50	—
8	Austin Smotherman	68.13	4%	0%	72.50	—
9	Lucas Herbert	68.14	8%	1%	71.50	—
10	Matthias Schwab	68.19	5%	0%	71.00	—
11	Shane Lowry	68.20	13%	1%	69.25	—
12	Brandon Wu	68.25	12%	1%	73.00	—
13	Billy Horschel	68.26	12%	2%	73.50	—
14	Justin Lower	68.29	8%	0%	72.00	—
15	Adrian Meronk	68.35	2%	0%	70.75	—
16	Trey Mullinax	68.39	8%	0%	72.00	—
17	Greyson Sigg	68.45	12%	1%	74.50	—
18	Stephan Jaeger	68.48	12%	1%	70.50	—
19	Will Zalatoris	68.54	28%	5%	67.75	—
20	Max McGreevy	68.55	4%	0%	72.50	—
21	Cameron Young	68.57	33%	4%	69.75	—
22	Max Homa	68.58	62%	6%	67.25	—
23	Tony Finau	68.58	45%	5%	69.75	—
24	Jon Rahm	68.61	51%	64%	66.75	—
25	Tyrrell Hatton	68.62	18%	2%	70.50	—
26	Tommy Fleetwood	68.64	20%	2%	69.75	—
27	Callum Tarren	68.67	8%	0%	76.00	—
28	Keith Mitchell	68.73	12%	1%	68.00	—
29	Kevin Kisner	68.79	7%	0%	73.00	—
30	Justin Suh	68.80	6%	0%	70.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.