Wednesday, February 8, 2023

WM Phoenix Open

PGA ·134 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-19	68	64	68	65	265.0
—	Nick Taylor	-17	66	69	67	65	267.0
—	Jon Rahm	-14	68	66	68	68	270.0
—	Justin Thomas	-13	71	68	67	65	271.0
—	Jason Day	-12	65	71	68	68	272.0
—	Sam Burns	-11	70	71	64	68	273.0
—	Sungjae Im	-11	70	67	67	69	273.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-11	70	67	67	69	273.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-11	71	63	69	70	273.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-10	68	67	70	69	274.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-10	71	66	67	70	274.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-10	67	67	70	70	274.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-10	66	66	71	71	274.0
—	Beau Hossler	-8	74	68	71	63	276.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-8	73	68	70	65	276.0
—	Taylor Moore	-8	69	70	67	70	276.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-8	74	65	67	70	276.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-8	68	71	66	71	276.0
—	Tony Finau	-8	70	68	67	71	276.0
—	Séamus Power	-7	71	71	66	69	277.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-7	69	71	68	69	277.0
—	Sam Ryder	-7	69	68	69	71	277.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-6	75	67	70	66	278.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-6	70	71	68	69	278.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-6	72	69	67	70	278.0
—	Scott Stallings	-6	66	73	69	70	278.0
—	Adam Schenk	-6	70	67	71	70	278.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-6	71	66	68	73	278.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-5	70	71	73	65	279.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-5	70	69	72	68	279.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-5	74	68	67	70	279.0
—	Zach Johnson	-4	69	71	71	69	280.0
—	Kevin Tway	-4	71	67	73	69	280.0
—	Billy Horschel	-4	72	69	69	70	280.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-4	73	67	70	70	280.0
—	Jason Dufner	-4	71	69	70	70	280.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-4	72	67	71	70	280.0
—	James Hahn	-4	70	68	72	70	280.0
—	Lucas Glover	-3	71	70	70	70	281.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-3	72	70	68	71	281.0
—	Max Homa	-3	69	69	71	72	281.0
—	Gary Woodland	-2	72	69	75	66	282.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-2	71	71	73	67	282.0
—	Brian Harman	-2	71	70	73	68	282.0
—	K.H. Lee	-2	73	68	71	70	282.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-2	73	67	71	71	282.0
—	Aaron Rai	-2	70	70	71	71	282.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-2	70	70	71	71	282.0
—	Adam Long	-2	71	71	68	72	282.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-1	72	69	74	68	283.0
—	Brandon Wu	-1	72	70	72	69	283.0
—	Corey Conners	-1	70	72	71	70	283.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-1	73	68	72	70	283.0
—	Lucas Herbert	-1	71	69	73	70	283.0
—	Justin Lower	-1	71	69	71	72	283.0
—	Tom Kim	-1	71	66	73	73	283.0
—	Greyson Sigg	E	73	69	72	70	284.0
—	Danny Lee	E	73	67	73	71	284.0
—	Webb Simpson	E	70	72	68	74	284.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	E	73	69	68	74	284.0
—	Nate Lashley	+1	71	70	72	72	285.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+1	69	71	73	72	285.0
—	David Lipsky	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Alex Noren	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Doug Ghim	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Aaron Wise	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Luke List	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Chris Kirk	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Richy Werenski	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Ryan Moore	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Martin Laird	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Chez Reavie	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Matt Wallace	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Lee Hodges	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Brendan Steele	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Troy Merritt	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Russell Henley	+3	78	67	—	—	145.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Russell Knox	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Doc Redman	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Tom Hoge	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+4	70	71	70	77	288.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+4	79	67	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Thompson	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Peter Malnati	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Dalton Ward	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Robert Streb	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Scott Piercy	+4	73	65	—	—	138.0
—	Cameron Young	+5	73	69	75	72	289.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+5	78	69	—	—	147.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+5	78	69	—	—	147.0
—	J.T. Poston	+5	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Brendon Todd	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Svensson	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Davis Thompson	+5	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Davis Riley	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Chad Ramey	+6	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+6	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Callum Tarren	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Max McGreevy	+6	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+6	76	21	—	—	97.0
—	Stewart Cink	+7	69	72	76	74	291.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Brian Gay	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Watney	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Brett White	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Jim Herman	+8	68	69	78	77	292.0
—	Andre Metzger	+8	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+8	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Shane Lowry	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Andrew Landry	+9	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Harris English	+9	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+11	80	73	—	—	153.0
—	Cameron Champ	+12	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+12	76	78	—	—	154.0
—	Michael Hopper	+12	76	78	—	—	154.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Ryan Brehm	67.04	3%	0%	77.00	—
2	Richy Werenski	67.10	4%	0%	71.50	—
3	Chad Ramey	67.13	5%	0%	74.00	—
4	J.B. Holmes	67.70	3%	0%	74.50	—
5	David Lipsky	67.96	6%	0%	71.50	—
6	Taylor Moore	68.07	8%	1%	69.00	—
7	Matthias Schwab	68.07	6%	0%	72.50	—
8	Ryan Palmer	68.08	7%	0%	70.50	—
9	Lee Hodges	68.09	7%	0%	72.00	—
10	Jhonattan Vegas	68.16	5%	0%	69.50	—
11	Brandon Wu	68.20	12%	1%	70.75	—
12	Davis Riley	68.26	7%	0%	73.50	—
13	Trey Mullinax	68.35	9%	0%	71.25	—
14	Austin Smotherman	68.41	4%	0%	74.00	—
15	Greyson Sigg	68.45	12%	1%	71.00	—
16	Taylor Pendrith	68.47	13%	1%	71.00	—
17	Justin Lower	68.47	9%	1%	70.75	—
18	Max McGreevy	68.49	4%	0%	74.00	—
19	Doc Redman	68.55	4%	0%	72.50	—
20	Webb Simpson	68.58	3%	0%	71.00	—
21	Callum Tarren	68.70	8%	0%	74.00	—
22	Shane Lowry	68.74	14%	1%	75.50	—
23	Aaron Rai	68.78	8%	1%	70.50	—
24	Maverick McNealy	68.79	12%	1%	32.33	—
25	Andrew Landry	68.79	3%	0%	75.50	—
26	Erik van Rooyen	68.81	5%	0%	70.75	—
27	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	68.81	10%	2%	74.50	—
28	Patrick Cantlay	68.83	33%	11%	71.50	—
29	Kurt Kitayama	68.85	11%	1%	69.50	—
30	Tommy Fleetwood	68.85	16%	1%	71.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.