Tuesday, January 24, 2023

Farmers Insurance Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Max Homa	-13	68	70	71	66	275.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-11	70	73	68	66	277.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-10	67	72	70	69	278.0
—	Sungjae Im	-9	68	74	67	70	279.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-9	66	72	71	70	279.0
—	Sam Ryder	-9	64	68	72	75	279.0
—	Jason Day	-8	68	71	73	68	280.0
—	Jon Rahm	-8	73	67	66	74	280.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-7	70	73	69	69	281.0
—	Tony Finau	-7	73	71	64	73	281.0
—	Taylor Moore	-5	72	68	72	71	283.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-5	72	72	67	72	283.0
—	Erik Barnes	-4	72	72	71	69	284.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-4	72	71	69	72	284.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-4	69	71	72	72	284.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-4	69	71	71	73	284.0
—	Sam Stevens	-4	66	72	73	73	284.0
—	Kevin Tway	-3	72	72	69	72	285.0
—	Justin Rose	-3	73	70	70	72	285.0
—	Peter Malnati	-2	69	74	72	71	286.0
—	Justin Suh	-2	68	75	71	72	286.0
—	Adam Schenk	-2	71	73	68	74	286.0
—	Brendan Steele	-2	65	70	76	75	286.0
—	S.H. Kim	-2	67	74	69	76	286.0
—	Luke List	-1	67	75	73	72	287.0
—	Justin Thomas	-1	68	74	73	72	287.0
—	Brent Grant	-1	64	74	77	72	287.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-1	69	73	72	73	287.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-1	68	75	70	74	287.0
—	Callum Tarren	-1	71	69	72	75	287.0
—	Augusto Núñez	E	72	69	75	72	288.0
—	Ben Griffin	E	67	72	77	72	288.0
—	Trey Mullinax	E	71	73	70	74	288.0
—	Scott Piercy	E	69	75	70	74	288.0
—	Maverick McNealy	E	69	74	71	74	288.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	E	67	71	75	75	288.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+1	68	74	76	71	289.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+1	70	74	72	73	289.0
—	Michael Thompson	+1	69	75	72	73	289.0
—	Alex Smalley	+1	71	73	71	74	289.0
—	Thomas Detry	+1	68	75	70	76	289.0
—	Dean Burmester	+1	71	70	72	76	289.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+1	67	75	70	77	289.0
—	Doug Ghim	+1	77	68	—	—	145.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+1	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Justin Lower	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Scott Stallings	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Robert Streb	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+1	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+1	68	77	—	—	145.0
—	Nick Hardy	+2	71	73	73	73	290.0
—	S.Y. Noh	+2	70	73	74	73	290.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+2	72	70	74	74	290.0
—	Harry Higgs	+2	66	77	72	75	290.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+2	67	71	77	75	290.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+2	70	74	70	76	290.0
—	Kevin Yu	+2	73	70	70	77	290.0
—	Michael Kim	+2	69	74	70	77	290.0
—	Adam Svensson	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Beau Hossler	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Carl Yuan	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Eric Cole	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Harry Hall	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Lee Hodges	+2	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+2	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+2	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Dylan Wu	+2	68	78	—	—	146.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+2	66	80	—	—	146.0
—	Aaron Rai	+3	64	78	74	75	291.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Cameron Percy	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Michael Block	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Martin Laird	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Tyson Alexander	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Michael Herrera	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Trevor Cone	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Brandon Matthews	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Danny Lee	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Cole Hammer	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Davis Riley	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Austin Cook	+4	74	70	73	75	292.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+4	68	75	74	75	292.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+4	69	72	76	75	292.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	+4	71	72	73	76	292.0
—	Tano Goya	+4	70	67	79	76	292.0
—	Cameron Champ	+4	70	72	73	77	292.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+4	66	76	72	78	292.0
—	Martin Trainer	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	James Hahn	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Will Gordon	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Bill Haas	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Roy	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Cody Gribble	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Ben Martin	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Brian Stuard	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+4	68	80	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+5	73	70	74	76	293.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+5	69	75	72	77	293.0
—	Matti Schmid	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Patrick Welch	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	William McGirt	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Watney	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Zac Blair	+5	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Joey Vrzich	+5	69	80	—	—	149.0
—	Gary Woodland	+6	66	77	78	73	294.0
—	Paul Haley II	+6	68	75	74	77	294.0
—	Zecheng Dou	+6	70	74	71	79	294.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+6	71	71	70	82	294.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+6	68	72	71	83	294.0
—	Jason Dufner	+6	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Carson Young	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Doc Redman	+6	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Harrison Endycott	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Ben Taylor	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Robby Shelton	+7	70	74	75	76	295.0
—	Taiga Semikawa	+7	74	70	72	79	295.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Michael Gligic	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Harris English	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Ryan Armour	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Caleb Surratt	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Richy Werenski	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Andrew Novak	+8	66	73	80	77	296.0
—	Scott Harrington	+8	74	70	74	78	296.0
—	Davis Thompson	+8	71	71	74	80	296.0
—	Anders Albertson	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Philip Knowles	+8	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Brice Garnett	+8	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Jim Herman	+8	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Harrison Kingsley	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+9	70	83	—	—	153.0
—	Scott Brown	+10	69	75	77	77	298.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Robert Garrigus	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+10	72	82	—	—	154.0
—	MJ Daffue	+10	69	85	—	—	154.0
—	Adam Long	+11	71	73	76	79	299.0
—	Cam Davis	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	Ben Crane	+11	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	Arjun Atwal	+12	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+12	80	76	—	—	156.0
—	Spencer Levin	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	David Lingmerth	+12	75	81	—	—	156.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Michael Block	67.21	2%	0%	73.50	—
2	Cody Gribble	67.66	2%	0%	74.00	—
3	Arjun Atwal	68.81	2%	0%	78.00	—
4	MJ Daffue	68.93	5%	0%	77.00	—
5	Sean O'Hair	69.10	4%	0%	72.50	—
6	Will Zalatoris	69.13	41%	6%	72.50	—
7	Carson Young	69.52	3%	0%	75.00	—
8	Kyle Westmoreland	69.76	3%	0%	72.50	—
9	Justin Thomas	69.79	19%	4%	71.75	—
10	William McGirt	69.84	6%	0%	74.50	—
11	Max Homa	69.87	31%	9%	68.75	—
12	Jon Rahm	69.89	50%	4%	70.00	—
13	Trevor Werbylo	69.94	3%	0%	73.00	—
14	Austin Smotherman	69.95	5%	0%	72.50	—
15	Tony Finau	70.05	50%	5%	70.25	—
16	Garrick Higgo	70.07	6%	0%	73.00	—
17	David Lingmerth	70.07	5%	0%	78.00	—
18	Hideki Matsuyama	70.10	10%	1%	70.25	—
19	Luke List	70.11	7%	1%	71.75	—
20	Ryan Palmer	70.12	8%	1%	73.50	—
21	Sahith Theegala	70.16	22%	2%	69.75	—
22	Ryan Armour	70.16	6%	1%	75.50	—
23	Camilo Villegas	70.17	2%	0%	76.00	—
24	Aaron Rai	70.17	8%	1%	72.75	—
25	Collin Morikawa	70.20	20%	2%	69.50	—
26	Vincent Norrman	70.21	3%	0%	72.50	—
27	Cole Hammer	70.22	4%	0%	73.50	—
28	Philip Knowles	70.29	3%	0%	76.00	—
29	Si Woo Kim	70.31	14%	2%	71.75	—
30	Davis Thompson	70.35	11%	1%	74.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.