Wednesday, January 18, 2023

The American Express

PGA ·157 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jon Rahm	-27	64	64	65	68	261.0
—	Davis Thompson	-26	62	64	67	69	262.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-25	65	68	68	62	263.0
—	Chris Kirk	-25	69	67	63	64	263.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	-24	64	69	65	66	264.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-23	65	72	66	62	265.0
—	Matti Schmid	-23	64	72	65	64	265.0
—	Robby Shelton	-23	66	68	65	66	265.0
—	Tom Kim	-23	69	62	67	67	265.0
—	J.T. Poston	-23	65	66	66	68	265.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-22	67	68	68	63	266.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-22	68	65	66	67	266.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-22	69	63	67	67	266.0
—	Sam Burns	-22	64	70	64	68	266.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-22	68	67	62	69	266.0
—	Danny Lee	-21	67	68	67	65	267.0
—	Tony Finau	-21	69	67	65	66	267.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-20	68	69	64	67	268.0
—	Jason Day	-20	67	64	70	67	268.0
—	Sungjae Im	-20	65	66	68	69	268.0
—	Harry Higgs	-20	70	66	62	70	268.0
—	Alex Smalley	-19	67	68	71	63	269.0
—	Harrison Endycott	-19	65	71	67	66	269.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-19	70	64	69	66	269.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-19	66	70	66	67	269.0
—	Tano Goya	-18	66	71	69	64	270.0
—	Matthias Schwab	-18	66	71	68	65	270.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-18	68	66	71	65	270.0
—	Justin Rose	-18	66	67	72	65	270.0
—	Cameron Young	-18	68	70	65	67	270.0
—	Thomas Detry	-18	69	66	67	68	270.0
—	Brendan Steele	-17	68	73	64	66	271.0
—	Tom Hoge	-17	71	66	68	66	271.0
—	Ben Griffin	-17	73	67	64	67	271.0
—	Dylan Wu	-17	69	69	61	72	271.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-16	69	69	67	67	272.0
—	Austin Cook	-16	68	70	66	68	272.0
—	Eric Cole	-16	65	70	69	68	272.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-16	69	69	65	69	272.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-16	68	69	65	70	272.0
—	Justin Lower	-15	71	68	67	67	273.0
—	Harry Hall	-15	72	65	69	67	273.0
—	Zach Johnson	-15	67	68	70	68	273.0
—	Stewart Cink	-15	67	68	70	68	273.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-15	67	74	63	69	273.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	-15	66	69	69	69	273.0
—	Scott Piercy	-15	66	67	69	71	273.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-15	64	67	71	71	273.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-15	71	67	62	73	273.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-14	70	71	64	69	274.0
—	Beau Hossler	-14	68	66	71	69	274.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	-14	71	68	65	70	274.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-14	65	71	68	70	274.0
—	Vincent Norrman	-13	70	69	66	70	275.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-13	66	70	68	71	275.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-13	68	68	68	71	275.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-13	66	70	68	71	275.0
—	Russell Knox	-13	66	69	69	71	275.0
—	Justin Suh	-13	72	65	66	72	275.0
—	Dean Burmester	-13	65	71	67	72	275.0
—	Kevin Tway	-13	67	67	69	72	275.0
—	Anders Albertson	-12	68	72	66	70	276.0
—	Zecheng Dou	-12	70	68	68	70	276.0
—	Martin Laird	-12	71	69	65	71	276.0
—	Davis Riley	-11	70	67	69	71	277.0
—	Ryan Armour	-11	69	68	68	72	277.0
—	Sam Stevens	-10	70	68	66	74	278.0
—	Brandon Wu	-9	75	68	64	—	207.0
—	Adam Long	-9	71	71	65	—	207.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-9	69	73	65	—	207.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-9	70	71	66	—	207.0
—	Doug Ghim	-9	69	72	66	—	207.0
—	K.H. Lee	-9	72	68	67	—	207.0
—	Harris English	-9	68	71	68	—	207.0
—	Kevin Roy	-9	70	68	69	—	207.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-9	67	71	69	—	207.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-8	75	68	65	—	208.0
—	Chesson Hadley	-8	73	70	65	—	208.0
—	Erik Barnes	-8	73	69	66	—	208.0
—	Brian Harman	-8	71	70	67	—	208.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-8	71	70	67	—	208.0
—	Luke List	-8	73	67	68	—	208.0
—	Aaron Wise	-8	70	70	68	—	208.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-8	73	66	69	—	208.0
—	Callum Tarren	-8	71	67	70	—	208.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-8	71	67	70	—	208.0
—	Brendon Todd	-8	68	70	70	—	208.0
—	Will Gordon	-8	68	70	70	—	208.0
—	Taylor Moore	-8	68	69	71	—	208.0
—	Ryan Brehm	-8	67	68	73	—	208.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-8	66	69	73	—	208.0
—	David Lipsky	-7	72	71	66	—	209.0
—	Caleb Surratt	-7	71	69	69	—	209.0
—	David Lingmerth	-7	71	68	70	—	209.0
—	Ben Martin	-7	72	66	71	—	209.0
—	Michael Block	-7	65	71	73	—	209.0
—	Carson Young	-7	67	68	74	—	209.0
—	Aaron Rai	-6	70	71	69	—	210.0
—	Nick Taylor	-6	70	71	69	—	210.0
—	Sam Ryder	-6	69	70	71	—	210.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-6	68	71	71	—	210.0
—	MJ Daffue	-6	68	71	71	—	210.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-6	67	71	72	—	210.0
—	Andrew Landry	-5	68	66	70	79	283.0
—	Taiga Semikawa	-5	70	75	66	—	211.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	-5	76	67	68	—	211.0
—	S.H. Kim	-5	70	73	68	—	211.0
—	Jason Dufner	-5	69	74	68	—	211.0
—	Peter Malnati	-5	68	72	71	—	211.0
—	Kevin Yu	-5	71	67	73	—	211.0
—	John Pak	-5	70	68	73	—	211.0
—	Richy Werenski	-5	68	70	73	—	211.0
—	Ben Taylor	-5	68	69	74	—	211.0
—	Lee Hodges	-4	76	68	68	—	212.0
—	Philip Knowles	-4	72	72	68	—	212.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-4	67	74	71	—	212.0
—	Zac Blair	-4	69	71	72	—	212.0
—	Michael Kim	-4	67	70	75	—	212.0
—	Paul Haley II	-3	72	67	67	79	285.0
—	Sung Kang	-3	75	71	67	—	213.0
—	Max McGreevy	-3	72	72	69	—	213.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	-3	71	73	69	—	213.0
—	Cam Davis	-3	72	71	70	—	213.0
—	Trevor Cone	-3	69	72	72	—	213.0
—	Augusto Núñez	-3	70	70	73	—	213.0
—	Nate Lashley	-3	69	71	73	—	213.0
—	Scott Harrington	-3	69	71	73	—	213.0
—	Troy Merritt	-3	69	71	73	—	213.0
—	Austin Eckroat	-2	72	74	68	—	214.0
—	Nick Watney	-2	70	75	69	—	214.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	-2	75	68	71	—	214.0
—	Ryan Moore	-2	72	70	72	—	214.0
—	Lucas Glover	-2	69	72	73	—	214.0
—	Martin Trainer	-1	74	73	68	—	215.0
—	Brandon Matthews	-1	70	76	69	—	215.0
—	Michael Thompson	-1	74	71	70	—	215.0
—	Danny Willett	-1	71	73	71	—	215.0
—	Tyson Alexander	-1	70	74	71	—	215.0
—	Michael Gligic	-1	73	70	72	—	215.0
—	Carl Yuan	-1	70	73	72	—	215.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-1	68	75	72	—	215.0
—	Brice Garnett	-1	72	69	74	—	215.0
—	Bill Haas	-1	69	72	74	—	215.0
—	Robert Streb	E	71	76	69	—	216.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+1	74	73	70	—	217.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+1	74	72	71	—	217.0
—	Chez Reavie	+1	71	74	72	—	217.0
—	James Hahn	+1	73	71	73	—	217.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+1	69	74	74	—	217.0
—	Andrew Novak	+4	73	79	68	—	220.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+4	70	75	75	—	220.0
—	Brian Stuard	+5	72	76	73	—	221.0
—	Gunner Wiebe	+5	70	75	76	—	221.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+6	67	74	81	—	222.0
—	Adam Schenk	+8	77	76	71	—	224.0
—	Brent Grant	+12	75	74	79	—	228.0
—	William McGirt	—	—	—	—	—	—

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Trevor Werbylo	64.19	2%	0%	68.25	—
2	MJ Daffue	67.56	5%	0%	70.00	—
3	Will Zalatoris	67.81	34%	2%	68.00	—
4	Kyle Westmoreland	67.89	4%	0%	70.33	—
5	Garrick Higgo	67.93	4%	0%	66.50	—
6	Keith Mitchell	67.95	8%	1%	67.25	—
7	Carson Young	67.96	3%	0%	69.67	—
8	Matthias Schwab	68.02	5%	0%	67.50	—
9	Brent Grant	68.15	3%	0%	76.00	—
10	Vincent Norrman	68.25	3%	0%	68.75	—
11	David Lingmerth	68.30	6%	0%	69.67	—
12	David Lipsky	68.42	9%	0%	69.67	—
13	William McGirt	68.45	4%	0%	—	—
14	Sam Burns	68.46	19%	2%	66.50	—
15	Patrick Cantlay	68.48	43%	5%	67.50	—
16	Stephan Jaeger	68.48	16%	1%	68.00	—
17	Davis Thompson	68.55	7%	0%	65.50	—
18	Kramer Hickok	68.56	3%	0%	69.33	—
19	Lee Hodges	68.60	11%	1%	70.67	—
20	Cameron Young	68.67	22%	4%	67.50	—
21	Sam Stevens	68.68	4%	0%	69.50	—
22	Tano Goya	68.76	3%	0%	67.50	—
23	Austin Eckroat	68.79	8%	0%	71.33	—
24	Tony Finau	68.80	25%	3%	66.75	—
25	Brian Harman	68.84	29%	2%	69.33	—
26	Tom Hoge	68.85	21%	1%	67.75	—
27	Scottie Scheffler	68.86	25%	3%	66.50	—
28	Sahith Theegala	68.87	22%	6%	68.75	—
29	Jon Rahm	68.90	43%	46%	65.25	—
30	Xander Schauffele	68.91	38%	3%	65.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.