Wednesday, April 12, 2023

RBC Heritage

PGA ·143 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-18	66	70	63	68	277.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-17	68	67	66	66	274.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-16	69	65	66	68	268.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-15	67	66	70	66	269.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-14	70	68	67	65	270.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-14	69	68	66	67	270.0
—	Sungjae Im	-13	66	72	66	67	271.0
—	Brian Harman	-13	65	70	69	67	271.0
—	Cam Davis	-13	70	67	66	68	271.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-13	68	67	68	68	271.0
—	Chez Reavie	-12	72	66	65	69	272.0
—	Taylor Moore	-12	68	67	67	70	272.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-12	68	66	68	70	272.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-12	68	65	69	70	272.0
—	Sam Burns	-11	69	70	69	65	273.0
—	Jon Rahm	-11	72	64	69	68	273.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-11	67	68	68	70	273.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-11	69	65	68	71	273.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-10	71	68	71	64	274.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-10	68	70	70	66	274.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-10	68	71	66	69	274.0
—	Carson Young	-10	68	68	69	69	274.0
—	Russell Henley	-10	72	66	66	70	274.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-10	68	67	68	71	274.0
—	Justin Thomas	-9	69	68	72	66	275.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-9	71	66	69	69	275.0
—	Justin Rose	-9	66	67	72	70	275.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-9	65	65	72	73	275.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-8	67	73	66	70	276.0
—	Michael Thompson	-8	71	68	67	70	276.0
—	Adam Schenk	-7	71	69	69	68	277.0
—	Beau Hossler	-7	69	68	72	68	277.0
—	Tony Finau	-7	70	68	70	69	277.0
—	Gary Woodland	-7	69	68	70	70	277.0
—	Nate Lashley	-7	69	67	71	70	277.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-7	72	68	66	71	277.0
—	Ben Griffin	-7	70	65	71	71	277.0
—	Corey Conners	-7	70	68	67	72	277.0
—	Adam Scott	-7	69	68	68	72	277.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-7	70	65	69	73	277.0
—	James Hahn	-6	70	69	71	68	278.0
—	K.H. Lee	-6	71	69	69	69	278.0
—	Ben Martin	-6	71	68	70	69	278.0
—	Adam Svensson	-6	71	67	70	70	278.0
—	Nick Taylor	-6	70	70	67	71	278.0
—	Chris Kirk	-6	69	69	68	72	278.0
—	Lee Hodges	-6	70	67	68	73	278.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-5	73	66	73	67	279.0
—	Aaron Rai	-5	63	71	71	74	279.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-5	73	67	64	75	279.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-4	70	69	74	67	280.0
—	Cameron Young	-4	71	68	70	71	280.0
—	Brendon Todd	-4	70	67	68	75	280.0
—	Zach Johnson	-3	66	71	73	71	281.0
—	Doug Ghim	-3	68	68	73	72	281.0
—	Danny Willett	-2	70	68	74	70	282.0
—	Ernie Els	-2	68	70	71	73	282.0
—	Scott Stallings	-2	66	72	68	76	282.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-1	71	69	74	69	283.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-1	64	70	78	71	283.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-1	67	72	70	74	283.0
—	Adam Long	-1	68	72	68	75	283.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Callum Tarren	-1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Troy Merritt	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Alex Smalley	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Tom Kim	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Davis Riley	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	David Lipsky	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	J.T. Poston	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Robert Streb	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Scott Piercy	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Stewart Cink	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-1	66	75	—	—	141.0
—	Harris English	E	70	70	74	70	284.0
—	Max McGreevy	E	70	70	72	72	284.0
—	Lucas Herbert	E	72	67	71	74	284.0
—	Davis Thompson	E	72	65	72	75	284.0
—	Thomas Detry	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Andrew Landry	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Tyler Duncan	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Maverick McNealy	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Tway	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Chesson Hadley	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Greyson Sigg	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Sam Ryder	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Trey Mullinax	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Palmer	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Webb Simpson	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Fox	E	41	—	—	—	41.0
—	Luke Donald	+1	70	70	76	69	285.0
—	Jim Herman	+1	69	71	73	72	285.0
—	Shane Lowry	+1	70	69	74	72	285.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+1	69	70	73	73	285.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Doc Redman	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	C.T. Pan	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Brandon Wu	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Stevens	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Billy Horschel	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Nico Echavarria	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Nick Hardy	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Ryan Moore	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Martin Laird	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Max Homa	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Peter Malnati	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Justin Lower	+4	70	70	76	72	288.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Richy Werenski	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Chad Ramey	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Jason Dufner	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+5	68	71	75	75	289.0
—	Sepp Straka	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Ben Taylor	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Cameron Champ	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Thomas Gibson	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Luke List	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Davis Love III	+6	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Lucas Glover	+6	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	Séamus Power	+7	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Tom Hoge	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Brian Gay	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Justin Suh	+8	73	67	74	78	292.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+8	79	—	—	—	79.0
—	Russell Knox	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Matt Wallace	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Jim Furyk	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+20	80	46	—	—	126.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Max McGreevy	66.95	4%	0%	71.00	—
2	Austin Smotherman	66.97	4%	0%	71.25	—
3	Trey Mullinax	67.22	5%	0%	71.00	—
4	Aaron Rai	67.24	7%	0%	69.75	—
5	Nick Hardy	67.27	7%	0%	72.00	—
6	Justin Lower	67.41	3%	0%	72.00	—
7	Brandon Wu	67.83	10%	1%	71.50	—
8	Ben Taylor	67.90	7%	1%	73.50	—
9	Taylor Pendrith	67.94	8%	1%	70.50	—
10	Lee Hodges	67.95	6%	0%	69.50	—
11	Taylor Moore	67.96	12%	1%	68.00	—
12	Thomas Detry	67.98	13%	2%	71.00	—
13	Min Woo Lee	68.13	6%	1%	70.50	—
14	Ryan Fox	68.13	5%	1%	20.50	—
15	Greyson Sigg	68.19	3%	0%	71.00	—
16	Kelly Kraft	68.23	4%	0%	72.50	—
17	David Lipsky	68.28	7%	0%	70.50	—
18	Carson Young	68.36	6%	0%	68.50	—
19	Hayden Buckley	68.36	8%	1%	67.50	—
20	Patrick Cantlay	68.47	48%	3%	67.00	—
21	Viktor Hovland	68.52	30%	2%	70.75	—
22	Erik van Rooyen	68.54	8%	0%	70.50	—
23	Adam Scott	68.68	19%	2%	69.25	—
24	Sam Burns	68.69	15%	2%	68.25	—
25	Ben Griffin	68.71	12%	1%	69.25	—
26	Taylor Montgomery	68.72	13%	2%	72.00	—
27	Sam Stevens	68.72	13%	1%	71.50	—
28	Scottie Scheffler	68.73	61%	4%	68.00	—
29	Jordan Spieth	68.76	46%	2%	54.80	—
30	Justin Thomas	68.77	24%	4%	68.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.