Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Valero Texas Open

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Corey Conners	-15	64	72	69	68	273.0
—	Sam Stevens	-14	72	68	68	66	274.0
—	Sam Ryder	-13	71	70	68	66	275.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-13	68	70	69	68	275.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-11	66	67	71	73	277.0
—	Chez Reavie	-10	69	72	72	65	278.0
—	Byeong Hun An	-10	70	71	68	69	278.0
—	Lee Hodges	-10	74	66	69	69	278.0
—	Andrew Novak	-9	69	72	70	68	279.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-8	71	72	71	66	280.0
—	Ben Martin	-8	70	70	73	67	280.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-8	67	73	72	68	280.0
—	Padraig Harrington	-8	68	73	68	71	280.0
—	Chris Kirk	-8	67	72	69	72	280.0
—	Robby Shelton	-7	73	69	72	67	281.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-7	73	70	69	69	281.0
—	MJ Daffue	-7	68	72	72	69	281.0
—	Alex Noren	-7	70	71	70	70	281.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-7	70	72	68	71	281.0
—	Nick Taylor	-7	69	71	70	71	281.0
—	S.H. Kim	-7	72	68	70	71	281.0
—	Peter Malnati	-6	67	72	78	65	282.0
—	Sepp Straka	-6	73	70	70	69	282.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-6	70	73	70	69	282.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-6	73	69	71	69	282.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-6	70	70	73	69	282.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	-6	68	74	69	71	282.0
—	Harry Hall	-5	73	70	72	68	283.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-5	69	72	73	69	283.0
—	Nick Hardy	-5	72	70	71	70	283.0
—	Aaron Rai	-5	71	71	71	70	283.0
—	Matt Wallace	-5	69	72	71	71	283.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	-5	72	70	69	72	283.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-5	71	69	70	73	283.0
—	Nico Echavarria	-5	73	66	71	73	283.0
—	Harry Higgs	-5	69	68	72	74	283.0
—	Roberto Díaz	-4	68	69	76	71	284.0
—	Augusto Núñez	-4	70	70	69	75	284.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-3	69	74	72	70	285.0
—	Luke List	-3	71	69	75	70	285.0
—	Eric Cole	-3	71	67	75	72	285.0
—	Kevin Chappell	-3	71	71	69	74	285.0
—	Michael Thompson	-3	69	68	74	74	285.0
—	Dylan Wu	-3	70	71	69	75	285.0
—	Lucas Glover	-2	75	69	73	69	286.0
—	Akshay Bhatia	-1	73	71	75	68	287.0
—	Tano Goya	-1	72	70	75	70	287.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-1	71	72	72	72	287.0
—	Luke Donald	-1	70	72	73	72	287.0
—	Beau Hossler	-1	71	69	74	73	287.0
—	Matti Schmid	-1	70	71	72	74	287.0
—	Michael Kim	-1	68	71	73	75	287.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	E	70	72	72	74	288.0
—	Pierceson Coody	E	74	69	70	75	288.0
—	Brendon Todd	E	70	67	75	76	288.0
—	Brandon Matthews	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Ryan Gerard	+1	72	72	70	75	289.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	+1	72	70	71	76	289.0
—	Nick Watney	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Schenk	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Callum Tarren	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Brian Stuard	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Ben Taylor	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Ryan Moore	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Zecheng Dou	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Trevor Cone	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Ben Griffin	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Chad Ramey	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Russell Knox	+1	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Troy Merritt	+1	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+2	73	70	77	70	290.0
—	Brandon Wu	+2	71	72	73	74	290.0
—	Cam Davis	+2	80	66	—	—	146.0
—	Doc Redman	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Brent Grant	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Jim Herman	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Vincent Norrman	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Carl Yuan	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Cameron Champ	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Doug Ghim	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Max McGreevy	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Stewart Cink	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Andrew Landry	+2	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+3	70	74	75	72	291.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+3	71	73	75	72	291.0
—	Jason Dufner	+3	69	74	76	72	291.0
—	Brice Garnett	+3	71	72	74	74	291.0
—	Kevin Roy	+3	77	70	—	—	147.0
—	Paul Haley II	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Jesse Mueller	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Peter Lansburgh	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Alex Smalley	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Harrison Endycott	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Armour	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Piercy	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Peter Kuest	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Harrington	+4	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Nate Lashley	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Kyle Westmoreland	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Will Gordon	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	J.B. Holmes	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Richy Werenski	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Kazuki Higa	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Carson Young	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Chandler Phillips	+6	71	72	79	72	294.0
—	Thomas Detry	+6	71	67	83	73	294.0
—	Cole Hammer	+6	72	72	75	75	294.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+6	69	73	77	75	294.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+6	72	72	73	77	294.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+6	73	70	74	77	294.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+6	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Zac Blair	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Austin Cook	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Ryan Fox	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	David Lingmerth	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Kevin Tway	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Martin Laird	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Justin Lower	+7	69	73	76	77	295.0
—	Adam Long	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Davis Riley	+7	78	57	—	—	135.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+8	71	72	75	78	296.0
—	Austen Truslow	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	JJ Wood	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Michael Gligic	+8	78	53	—	—	131.0
—	James Hahn	+10	80	74	—	—	154.0
—	David Carey	+10	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Davis Love III	+10	82	—	—	—	82.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+12	79	77	—	—	156.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Brandon Matthews	65.51	3%	0%	—	—
2	Jesse Mueller	67.01	2%	0%	73.50	—
3	Kyle Westmoreland	67.20	4%	0%	74.00	—
4	Zecheng Dou	67.46	3%	0%	72.50	—
5	Trevor Werbylo	67.63	5%	0%	72.25	—
6	Zac Blair	67.70	5%	0%	75.00	—
7	Kevin Roy	67.70	4%	0%	73.50	—
8	Emiliano Grillo	67.71	5%	0%	72.00	—
9	Peter Kuest	67.76	2%	0%	73.50	—
10	Brandon Wu	67.83	9%	1%	72.50	—
11	MJ Daffue	67.84	6%	0%	70.25	—
12	David Lingmerth	67.99	7%	1%	75.00	—
13	Brent Grant	68.11	6%	1%	73.00	—
14	Ben Taylor	68.13	8%	0%	72.50	—
15	Trevor Cone	68.22	3%	0%	72.50	—
16	Michael Thompson	68.24	6%	0%	71.25	—
17	Stewart Cink	68.26	6%	0%	73.00	—
18	Kazuki Higa	68.27	2%	0%	74.50	—
19	Taylor Pendrith	68.33	9%	2%	73.00	—
20	Roberto Díaz	68.38	3%	0%	71.00	—
21	Pierceson Coody	68.40	4%	0%	72.00	—
22	S.H. Kim	68.48	8%	1%	70.25	—
23	Cole Hammer	68.53	5%	0%	73.50	—
24	Thomas Detry	68.55	14%	3%	73.50	—
25	Chez Reavie	68.57	5%	0%	69.50	—
26	Harry Hall	68.62	8%	1%	70.75	—
27	Carson Young	68.64	6%	0%	74.50	—
28	Francesco Molinari	68.65	5%	0%	76.00	—
29	Augusto Núñez	68.68	6%	0%	71.00	—
30	Mark Hubbard	68.70	5%	0%	74.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.