Wednesday, October 19, 2022

THE CJ CUP in South Carolina

PGA ·78 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Rory McIlroy	-17	66	67	67	67	267.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-16	66	65	70	67	268.0
—	K.H. Lee	-15	68	67	66	68	269.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-14	73	66	66	65	270.0
—	Jon Rahm	-14	69	62	70	69	270.0
—	Aaron Wise	-12	66	66	71	69	272.0
—	Billy Horschel	-11	68	67	72	66	273.0
—	Sam Burns	-11	70	68	68	67	273.0
—	Lee Hodges	-11	68	67	70	68	273.0
—	Brendon Todd	-11	68	67	69	69	273.0
—	Jason Day	-10	69	69	69	67	274.0
—	Tom Kim	-10	66	69	69	70	274.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	-9	69	71	73	62	275.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-9	70	69	68	68	275.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-9	67	68	71	69	275.0
—	Tom Hoge	-9	68	67	70	70	275.0
—	Cam Davis	-9	66	66	73	70	275.0
—	Brendan Steele	-8	68	70	69	69	276.0
—	Mito Pereira	-8	71	67	69	69	276.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-8	69	70	66	71	276.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-7	71	69	67	70	277.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-7	67	71	68	71	277.0
—	Max Homa	-6	72	65	72	69	278.0
—	Cameron Young	-6	73	69	66	70	278.0
—	Corey Conners	-6	70	68	69	71	278.0
—	Brian Harman	-6	68	69	70	71	278.0
—	Shane Lowry	-6	68	67	71	72	278.0
—	Taylor Moore	-6	67	69	67	75	278.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-5	69	68	74	68	279.0
—	Justin Suh	-5	74	67	69	69	279.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-5	71	68	71	69	279.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-5	70	69	68	72	279.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-5	66	70	71	72	279.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-4	71	71	71	67	280.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-4	74	66	73	67	280.0
—	Sungjae Im	-4	67	70	74	69	280.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-3	68	73	70	70	281.0
—	Alex Noren	-3	69	71	70	71	281.0
—	Bio Kim	-3	72	69	68	72	281.0
—	Justin Thomas	-2	68	73	72	69	282.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-2	68	72	73	69	282.0
—	Harris English	-2	69	72	71	70	282.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-2	71	69	72	70	282.0
—	Danny Willett	-2	69	67	74	72	282.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-1	76	71	68	68	283.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-1	71	68	74	70	283.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-1	71	68	73	71	283.0
—	Russell Henley	-1	74	70	67	72	283.0
—	Sanghyun Park	E	69	72	72	71	284.0
—	Adam Hadwin	E	71	67	74	72	284.0
—	Séamus Power	E	67	69	74	74	284.0
—	Davis Riley	+1	72	75	72	66	285.0
—	Webb Simpson	+1	71	72	74	68	285.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+1	75	69	72	69	285.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+1	67	74	73	71	285.0
—	Alex Smalley	+1	70	69	73	73	285.0
—	Chris Kirk	+1	71	68	71	75	285.0
—	Lucas Glover	+2	69	73	73	71	286.0
—	Luke List	+2	73	69	71	73	286.0
—	Scott Stallings	+2	72	69	72	73	286.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+2	69	72	69	76	286.0
—	Sepp Straka	+3	71	70	73	73	287.0
—	Byeong Hun An	+3	73	70	70	74	287.0
—	S.H. Kim	+4	73	71	73	71	288.0
—	John Huh	+6	70	75	72	73	290.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+6	70	71	75	74	290.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+7	79	70	73	69	291.0
—	J.T. Poston	+7	74	72	71	74	291.0
—	Gary Woodland	+7	65	73	79	74	291.0
—	Troy Merritt	+7	72	73	68	78	291.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+8	65	72	77	78	292.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+9	73	74	75	71	293.0
—	Chanmin Jung	+9	74	74	73	72	293.0
—	Chez Reavie	+9	75	69	76	73	293.0
—	Yongjun Bae	+10	71	74	72	77	294.0
—	Sanghun Shin	+17	78	73	77	73	301.0
—	Yeongsu Kim	+19	74	76	76	77	303.0
—	Yoseop Seo	+19	76	72	77	78	303.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kurt Kitayama	67.82	10%	1%	67.00	—
2	Troy Merritt	67.83	8%	0%	72.75	—
3	Séamus Power	67.97	8%	1%	71.00	—
4	Lee Hodges	67.98	10%	1%	68.25	—
5	Davis Riley	68.12	7%	0%	71.25	—
6	Luke List	68.13	5%	0%	71.50	—
7	Alex Smalley	68.22	8%	1%	71.25	—
8	Rory McIlroy	68.22	46%	66%	66.75	—
9	Wyndham Clark	68.30	10%	1%	69.75	—
10	Mito Pereira	68.46	9%	1%	69.00	—
11	Justin Suh	68.54	3%	0%	69.75	—
12	Danny Willett	68.67	6%	0%	70.50	—
13	J.J. Spaun	68.69	9%	1%	71.50	—
14	Byeong Hun An	68.70	8%	1%	71.75	—
15	Sahith Theegala	68.79	18%	2%	72.75	—
16	Denny McCarthy	68.82	9%	1%	70.25	—
17	Aaron Wise	68.82	30%	2%	68.00	—
18	Tyrrell Hatton	68.86	15%	1%	68.75	—
19	Keith Mitchell	68.87	28%	3%	70.50	—
20	Emiliano Grillo	68.89	19%	1%	70.75	—
21	Collin Morikawa	68.90	19%	2%	69.75	—
22	Rickie Fowler	68.92	10%	1%	70.00	—
23	K.H. Lee	68.92	18%	2%	67.25	—
24	Jason Day	68.95	6%	0%	68.50	—
25	Trey Mullinax	68.95	10%	1%	73.00	—
26	Chris Kirk	68.96	23%	1%	71.25	—
27	Sungjae Im	68.96	26%	2%	70.00	—
28	Viktor Hovland	69.00	16%	2%	69.25	—
29	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	69.00	13%	1%	72.50	—
30	Tommy Fleetwood	69.03	22%	2%	67.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.