Thursday, November 25, 2021

The Match

PGA ·2 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Brooks Koepka	5 & 3	5	—	—	—	5.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	—	—	—	—	—	—

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Brooks Koepka	68.93	14%	2%	5.00	—
2	Bryson DeChambeau	69.00	38%	2%	—	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.