Wednesday, August 10, 2022

FedEx St. Jude Championship

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Sepp Straka	-15	64	66	68	67	273.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-14	71	63	65	66	277.0
—	Lucas Glover	-12	65	68	69	66	268.0
—	Brian Harman	-12	66	66	69	67	268.0
—	Jon Rahm	-11	67	69	67	66	269.0
—	Adam Scott	-11	66	67	70	66	269.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-11	67	69	66	67	269.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-11	68	66	67	68	269.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-11	66	68	67	68	269.0
—	Tony Finau	-11	64	68	69	68	269.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-11	66	67	66	70	269.0
—	Sungjae Im	-10	70	68	63	69	270.0
—	Lee Hodges	-9	65	69	72	65	271.0
—	Cam Davis	-9	67	71	67	66	271.0
—	Justin Thomas	-9	67	67	71	66	271.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-9	71	66	65	69	271.0
—	Tom Kim	-9	66	70	66	69	271.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-9	63	70	69	69	271.0
—	Cameron Smith	-9	67	65	69	70	271.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-8	67	70	67	68	272.0
—	J.T. Poston	-8	64	72	68	68	272.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-8	69	64	70	69	272.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-8	66	70	66	70	272.0
—	K.H. Lee	-8	64	69	69	70	272.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-8	66	65	71	70	272.0
—	Sam Burns	-8	65	69	67	71	272.0
—	Ryan Palmer	-8	65	67	69	71	272.0
—	Corey Conners	-7	67	71	67	68	273.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-7	67	67	67	72	273.0
—	Troy Merritt	-7	65	65	70	73	273.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-6	67	67	75	65	274.0
—	Cameron Young	-6	67	71	70	66	274.0
—	Aaron Wise	-6	66	71	70	67	274.0
—	Taylor Moore	-6	67	70	69	68	274.0
—	Michael Thompson	-6	65	70	70	69	274.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-6	67	66	72	69	274.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-6	68	69	67	70	274.0
—	Davis Riley	-6	69	67	68	70	274.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-6	65	70	69	70	274.0
—	Adam Schenk	-6	71	66	66	71	274.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-6	70	63	67	74	274.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-5	62	73	72	68	275.0
—	Mito Pereira	-5	67	71	68	69	275.0
—	Max Homa	-5	66	69	69	71	275.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-5	62	67	68	78	275.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-4	67	70	71	68	276.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-4	71	67	69	69	276.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-4	68	68	71	69	276.0
—	Shane Lowry	-4	68	68	71	69	276.0
—	David Lipsky	-4	67	70	69	70	276.0
—	Gary Woodland	-3	69	69	73	66	277.0
—	Aaron Rai	-3	69	68	69	71	277.0
—	Robert Streb	-3	67	70	69	71	277.0
—	Chez Reavie	-3	67	71	67	72	277.0
—	Sam Ryder	-3	68	66	71	72	277.0
—	Adam Svensson	-3	66	71	67	73	277.0
—	Beau Hossler	-2	68	69	72	69	278.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-2	68	68	73	69	278.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-2	67	68	71	72	278.0
—	Martin Laird	-2	66	71	68	73	278.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-1	70	68	72	69	279.0
—	James Hahn	-1	65	69	72	73	279.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-1	69	67	65	78	279.0
—	Tom Hoge	-1	73	66	—	—	139.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-1	71	68	—	—	139.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-1	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-1	70	69	—	—	139.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-1	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-1	69	70	—	—	139.0
—	Billy Horschel	-1	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-1	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Russell Henley	-1	68	71	—	—	139.0
—	Jason Day	-1	65	74	—	—	139.0
—	Chesson Hadley	E	72	68	—	—	140.0
—	Scott Stallings	E	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Luke List	E	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	E	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Alex Smalley	E	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Russell Knox	E	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	E	67	73	—	—	140.0
—	Marc Leishman	+1	69	69	75	68	281.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+1	69	66	76	70	281.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+1	65	71	72	73	281.0
—	Nick Taylor	+1	74	67	—	—	141.0
—	Doug Ghim	+1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Brendan Steele	+1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Nick Watney	+1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Max McGreevy	+1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Brendon Todd	+2	69	68	70	75	282.0
—	Peter Malnati	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+3	66	70	74	73	283.0
—	Chad Ramey	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Callum Tarren	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Webb Simpson	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Harold Varner III	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Brandon Wu	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	C.T. Pan	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Danny Lee	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Chris Kirk	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	+4	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Adam Long	+5	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Vince Whaley	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Justin Rose	+6	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	John Huh	+8	73	40	—	—	113.0
—	Alex Noren	+8	73	20	—	—	93.0
—	Adam Hadwin	+9	69	67	76	77	289.0
—	Stewart Cink	+9	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Scott Piercy	+9	74	40	—	—	114.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Ryan Brehm	65.74	4%	0%	71.00	—
2	Nick Watney	66.80	3%	0%	70.50	—
3	Sepp Straka	66.95	3%	0%	54.60	—
4	Dylan Frittelli	66.99	5%	0%	68.00	—
5	Rickie Fowler	67.34	5%	0%	70.25	—
6	Lucas Glover	67.38	5%	0%	67.00	—
7	Nick Taylor	67.55	6%	0%	70.50	—
8	Cameron Tringale	67.70	10%	1%	71.50	—
9	Aaron Rai	67.72	8%	1%	69.25	—
10	Patton Kizzire	67.74	6%	0%	69.50	—
11	Lee Hodges	67.75	8%	0%	67.75	—
12	Adam Hadwin	67.81	11%	1%	72.25	—
13	Sam Ryder	67.81	6%	0%	69.25	—
14	Mackenzie Hughes	67.82	5%	0%	69.00	—
15	Joel Dahmen	67.84	6%	0%	71.00	—
16	Kramer Hickok	67.89	6%	0%	70.50	—
17	Stewart Cink	67.92	8%	1%	74.50	—
18	Troy Merritt	67.94	11%	2%	68.25	—
19	Gary Woodland	67.95	6%	0%	69.25	—
20	Brendan Steele	68.04	12%	1%	70.50	—
21	David Lipsky	68.05	8%	0%	69.00	—
22	Adam Schenk	68.11	6%	0%	68.50	—
23	Jhonattan Vegas	68.11	9%	1%	70.00	—
24	Sahith Theegala	68.13	13%	1%	67.75	—
25	Lucas Herbert	68.14	10%	1%	71.50	—
26	Harold Varner III	68.14	12%	1%	71.50	—
27	Tyler Duncan	68.17	7%	1%	68.50	—
28	Adam Scott	68.20	11%	1%	67.25	—
29	Russell Knox	68.22	6%	0%	70.00	—
30	Collin Morikawa	68.25	8%	1%	67.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.