Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Valspar Championship

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Sam Burns	-18	64	67	67	69	274.0
—	Davis Riley	-17	65	68	62	72	271.0
—	Justin Thomas	-16	66	66	66	70	268.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-16	67	61	69	71	268.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-14	67	68	67	68	270.0
—	Brian Harman	-14	67	67	68	68	270.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-12	67	71	67	67	272.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-12	67	69	68	68	272.0
—	Stewart Cink	-12	67	68	69	68	272.0
—	Robert Streb	-12	68	69	65	70	272.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-12	64	66	70	72	272.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-11	67	70	71	65	273.0
—	Shane Lowry	-11	69	68	68	68	273.0
—	Alex Noren	-11	68	70	65	70	273.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-11	67	67	68	71	273.0
—	Luke Donald	-10	68	71	67	68	274.0
—	Brian Stuard	-10	68	69	69	68	274.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-10	67	72	66	69	274.0
—	Scott Stallings	-10	65	66	74	69	274.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-10	67	68	68	71	274.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-9	70	67	70	68	275.0
—	Richy Werenski	-9	65	70	72	68	275.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-9	68	68	70	69	275.0
—	Gary Woodland	-9	67	68	71	69	275.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-8	68	71	70	67	276.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-8	69	69	65	73	276.0
—	Mito Pereira	-7	69	70	68	70	277.0
—	J.J. Spaun	-7	67	71	69	70	277.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	-7	64	71	72	70	277.0
—	Nate Lashley	-7	71	68	67	71	277.0
—	Brice Garnett	-7	67	71	68	71	277.0
—	Troy Merritt	-7	68	67	67	75	277.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-6	70	66	73	69	278.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-6	69	70	68	71	278.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-6	66	71	70	71	278.0
—	Brandon Wu	-6	72	65	69	72	278.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-6	69	67	70	72	278.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	-6	69	70	66	73	278.0
—	Curtis Thompson	-5	70	69	72	68	279.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-5	67	71	72	69	279.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-5	70	67	73	69	279.0
—	Doc Redman	-5	66	72	71	70	279.0
—	Chez Reavie	-5	67	72	69	71	279.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	-5	69	68	71	71	279.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-5	68	69	70	72	279.0
—	Adam Svensson	-5	71	68	67	73	279.0
—	Harry Higgs	-5	70	68	68	73	279.0
—	Webb Simpson	-4	67	67	76	70	280.0
—	Max McGreevy	-4	70	69	70	71	280.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-4	69	70	70	71	280.0
—	Martin Kaymer	-4	69	66	74	71	280.0
—	Bill Haas	-4	71	66	71	72	280.0
—	Danny Lee	-4	65	74	68	73	280.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-4	69	67	71	73	280.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-4	67	72	67	74	280.0
—	C.T. Pan	-4	71	66	69	74	280.0
—	Michael Thompson	-3	72	66	74	69	281.0
—	Henrik Stenson	-3	70	69	70	72	281.0
—	Paul Barjon	-3	68	71	70	72	281.0
—	Harold Varner III	-3	72	67	70	72	281.0
—	Russell Knox	-3	71	68	67	75	281.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-2	70	69	73	70	282.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-2	68	71	70	73	282.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-2	68	71	70	73	282.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-2	67	68	74	73	282.0
—	Sean O'Hair	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	Scott Piercy	-2	73	67	—	—	140.0
—	Roger Sloan	-2	71	69	—	—	140.0
—	Adam Long	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Danny Willett	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-2	70	70	—	—	140.0
—	Matt Wallace	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Luke Guthrie	-2	69	71	—	—	140.0
—	Henrik Norlander	-2	68	72	—	—	140.0
—	Bubba Watson	-2	68	72	—	—	140.0
—	Ryan Brehm	-1	71	68	75	69	283.0
—	John Huh	-1	71	67	72	73	283.0
—	Kyle Stanley	-1	73	68	—	—	141.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	James Hahn	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Dylan Wu	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Sam Ryder	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	J.T. Poston	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Aaron Wise	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Jimmy Walker	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	William McGirt	-1	67	74	—	—	141.0
—	Callum Tarren	E	75	67	—	—	142.0
—	Martin Laird	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Zach Johnson	E	73	69	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Yu	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Hank Lebioda	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Jason Day	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Abraham Ancer	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Andrew Landry	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+1	68	70	74	73	285.0
—	David Lipsky	+1	64	71	74	76	285.0
—	Vince Whaley	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew McCain	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Brian Gay	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Andrew Novak	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Alex Fitzpatrick	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Brendon Todd	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Alex Smalley	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Lee Hodges	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Pat Perez	+2	67	70	75	74	286.0
—	Nick Taylor	+2	69	70	68	79	286.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+2	76	68	—	—	144.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Seth Reeves	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Branden Grace	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Mark Hensby	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Jackson Suber	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Jim Herman	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Blake Kennedy	+3	67	72	72	76	287.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Davis Love III	+3	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Taylor Moore	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Greg Koch	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+3	68	77	—	—	145.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+4	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Peter Malnati	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Cameron Percy	+5	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Martin Trainer	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Adam Schenk	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Chad Ramey	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Austin Cook	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Tommy Gainey	+6	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Bronson Burgoon	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+10	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Sung Kang	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Omar Uresti	+11	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Jonas Blixt	+12	73	81	—	—	154.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Brandon Wu	67.89	5%	0%	69.50	—
2	Stephan Jaeger	67.99	4%	0%	72.00	—
3	Davis Love III	68.26	2%	0%	72.50	—
4	Kurt Kitayama	68.39	6%	0%	73.00	—
5	Harry Higgs	68.60	3%	0%	69.75	—
6	Alex Smalley	68.77	7%	1%	71.50	—
7	David Lipsky	68.83	7%	0%	71.25	—
8	Jason Day	68.87	8%	1%	71.00	—
9	Paul Barjon	68.87	5%	0%	70.25	—
10	Tommy Fleetwood	68.90	12%	2%	68.50	—
11	Greyson Sigg	68.95	8%	1%	70.00	—
12	Mito Pereira	69.00	7%	0%	69.25	—
13	Robert Streb	69.09	5%	0%	68.00	—
14	Trey Mullinax	69.12	4%	0%	74.50	—
15	Matt Fitzpatrick	69.18	12%	1%	67.50	—
16	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	69.36	12%	1%	70.50	—
17	Joel Dahmen	69.37	11%	1%	69.75	—
18	Matt Wallace	69.38	6%	0%	70.00	—
19	Bill Haas	69.44	6%	0%	70.00	—
20	Stewart Cink	69.47	4%	0%	68.00	—
21	C.T. Pan	69.48	8%	1%	70.00	—
22	Kevin Yu	69.51	4%	0%	71.00	—
23	Nate Lashley	69.55	4%	0%	69.25	—
24	Brendon Todd	69.56	8%	1%	71.50	—
25	Austin Smotherman	69.56	5%	0%	69.00	—
26	Davis Riley	69.58	8%	0%	54.20	—
27	Seth Reeves	69.62	4%	0%	72.00	—
28	Shane Lowry	69.63	11%	1%	68.25	—
29	Omar Uresti	69.70	2%	0%	76.50	—
30	S.Y. Noh	69.72	4%	0%	69.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.