Wednesday, March 9, 2022

THE PLAYERS Championship

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Cameron Smith	-13	69	71	69	66	275.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	-12	67	73	67	69	276.0
—	Paul Casey	-11	70	69	69	69	277.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-10	68	74	68	68	278.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-9	72	71	68	68	279.0
—	Russell Knox	-8	71	71	68	70	280.0
—	Harold Varner III	-8	69	69	72	70	280.0
—	Doug Ghim	-8	70	70	68	72	280.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-7	69	73	76	63	281.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-7	72	72	70	67	281.0
—	Sepp Straka	-7	69	74	71	67	281.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-7	71	73	68	69	281.0
—	Max Homa	-6	72	73	71	66	282.0
—	Russell Henley	-6	69	73	72	68	282.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-6	67	72	74	69	282.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	-6	68	71	74	69	282.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-6	70	73	69	70	282.0
—	Daniel Berger	-6	67	75	70	70	282.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-6	71	67	74	70	282.0
—	Brendan Steele	-6	73	69	69	71	282.0
—	Shane Lowry	-6	73	70	67	72	282.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-5	68	76	72	67	283.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-5	67	73	73	70	283.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-5	66	73	72	72	283.0
—	Kevin Streelman	-5	73	71	66	73	283.0
—	Alex Noren	-4	69	75	71	69	284.0
—	Corey Conners	-4	70	69	75	70	284.0
—	Sergio García	-4	71	71	71	71	284.0
—	Doc Redman	-4	71	70	72	71	284.0
—	Patrick Reed	-4	73	70	68	73	284.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-4	69	71	70	74	284.0
—	Sam Burns	-4	68	69	71	76	284.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-3	73	73	73	66	285.0
—	Pat Perez	-3	70	72	75	68	285.0
—	Séamus Power	-3	71	71	73	70	285.0
—	Ian Poulter	-3	73	70	71	71	285.0
—	Justin Thomas	-3	72	69	72	72	285.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-3	68	71	74	72	285.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-3	70	71	71	73	285.0
—	Tom Hoge	-3	66	71	72	76	285.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-3	70	73	65	77	285.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-2	67	75	71	73	286.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-2	70	73	69	74	286.0
—	Scott Stallings	-2	71	75	65	75	286.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-2	69	72	69	76	286.0
—	Peter Malnati	-1	70	75	72	70	287.0
—	Adam Long	-1	71	71	75	70	287.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-1	70	76	70	71	287.0
—	Troy Merritt	-1	74	71	71	71	287.0
—	Aaron Wise	E	71	74	74	69	288.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	E	73	72	73	70	288.0
—	Brice Garnett	E	67	76	74	71	288.0
—	Billy Horschel	E	74	70	52	—	196.0
—	Luke List	E	36	—	—	—	36.0
—	Branden Grace	+1	71	72	73	73	289.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+1	72	72	71	74	289.0
—	K.H. Lee	+2	70	73	76	71	290.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	+2	70	76	68	76	290.0
—	Sungjae Im	+2	72	72	70	76	290.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+2	70	73	71	76	290.0
—	Jon Rahm	+2	69	72	72	77	290.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+3	70	76	73	72	291.0
—	Michael Thompson	+3	72	73	74	72	291.0
—	Sam Ryder	+3	69	74	73	75	291.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Chris Kirk	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Cam Davis	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Scott Piercy	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Jason Day	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Marc Leishman	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Brian Harman	+4	68	74	75	75	292.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+4	70	74	71	77	292.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+4	72	70	72	78	292.0
—	Adam Scott	+4	78	70	—	—	148.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Lucas Glover	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Cameron Young	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Richy Werenski	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Talor Gooch	+4	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+4	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	C.T. Pan	+4	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	Justin Rose	+4	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	Danny Lee	+4	77	64	—	—	141.0
—	Nick Watney	+5	75	71	75	72	293.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+5	72	71	76	74	293.0
—	Matt Jones	+5	79	70	—	—	149.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Webb Simpson	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Brian Stuard	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Mito Pereira	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Roger Sloan	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Martin Laird	+6	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Gary Woodland	+6	71	79	—	—	150.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+7	70	74	75	76	295.0
—	Bubba Watson	+7	73	68	78	76	295.0
—	Adam Schenk	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Tony Finau	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Robert Streb	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Kevin Tway	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Cameron Champ	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Beau Hossler	+7	71	80	—	—	151.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+7	71	80	—	—	151.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+7	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brendon Todd	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Stewart Cink	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Matt Wallace	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+8	72	80	—	—	152.0
—	Lee Hodges	+9	72	74	75	76	297.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+9	79	74	—	—	153.0
—	J.T. Poston	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Harry Higgs	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	James Hahn	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+9	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Lee Westwood	+9	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Zach Johnson	+9	73	80	—	—	153.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+9	72	81	—	—	153.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+10	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Taylor Moore	+10	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+11	74	81	—	—	155.0
—	Chez Reavie	+13	80	77	—	—	157.0
—	Brian Gay	+13	76	81	—	—	157.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+15	77	82	—	—	159.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Chesson Hadley	66.59	3%	0%	73.00	—
2	Roger Sloan	67.26	4%	0%	75.00	—
3	Stephan Jaeger	67.29	5%	0%	76.00	—
4	Hank Lebioda	67.32	5%	0%	73.00	—
5	Taylor Pendrith	67.55	6%	0%	70.50	—
6	Mito Pereira	67.75	9%	1%	74.50	—
7	Matt Wallace	67.78	6%	0%	76.00	—
8	Kevin Tway	68.16	7%	0%	75.50	—
9	Nick Watney	68.22	5%	0%	73.25	—
10	Brandon Hagy	68.33	3%	0%	77.00	—
11	J.J. Spaun	68.35	12%	1%	75.50	—
12	Joseph Bramlett	68.39	5%	0%	74.50	—
13	Shane Lowry	68.41	18%	1%	70.50	—
14	Justin Rose	68.61	17%	1%	74.00	—
15	Daniel Berger	68.63	18%	2%	70.50	—
16	Séamus Power	68.64	13%	2%	71.25	—
17	Brooks Koepka	68.67	10%	1%	76.50	—
18	Justin Thomas	68.72	44%	1%	71.25	—
19	Lucas Herbert	68.76	7%	0%	73.75	—
20	Lee Hodges	68.80	8%	0%	74.25	—
21	Erik van Rooyen	68.81	12%	1%	70.50	—
22	Matthew Wolff	68.85	8%	1%	76.50	—
23	Sahith Theegala	68.88	10%	1%	76.50	—
24	Matt Fitzpatrick	68.91	19%	2%	74.00	—
25	Jon Rahm	68.95	35%	3%	72.50	—
26	Sergio García	68.99	17%	2%	71.00	—
27	Paul Casey	68.99	14%	2%	69.25	—
28	Garrick Higgo	69.08	8%	0%	74.00	—
29	Ryan Palmer	69.11	8%	1%	75.50	—
30	Jason Kokrak	69.14	21%	3%	72.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.