Wednesday, March 2, 2022

Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-5	70	73	68	72	283.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-4	69	68	78	69	284.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-4	69	66	75	74	284.0
—	Billy Horschel	-4	67	71	71	75	284.0
—	Chris Kirk	-3	69	76	68	72	285.0
—	Gary Woodland	-3	70	72	70	73	285.0
—	Lucas Herbert	-2	73	71	74	68	286.0
—	Talor Gooch	-2	69	68	72	77	286.0
—	Sam Burns	-1	72	69	75	71	287.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-1	73	71	70	73	287.0
—	Keegan Bradley	E	71	75	70	72	288.0
—	Corey Conners	E	72	73	69	74	288.0
—	Cameron Young	+1	70	71	76	72	289.0
—	Russell Henley	+1	70	72	72	75	289.0
—	Graeme McDowell	+1	68	76	69	76	289.0
—	Rory McIlroy	+1	65	72	76	76	289.0
—	Max Homa	+2	69	74	73	74	290.0
—	Aaron Wise	+2	69	73	74	74	290.0
—	Jon Rahm	+2	72	70	74	74	290.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+3	73	72	76	70	291.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+3	74	73	70	74	291.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+3	73	74	69	75	291.0
—	Beau Hossler	+3	67	74	75	75	291.0
—	Nick Watney	+3	74	72	69	76	291.0
—	Sungjae Im	+3	68	77	70	76	291.0
—	Brendan Steele	+4	70	73	77	72	292.0
—	David Lipsky	+4	71	71	78	72	292.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+4	73	74	71	74	292.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+4	69	76	73	74	292.0
—	Adam Scott	+4	68	76	74	74	292.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+4	72	74	71	75	292.0
—	Scott Piercy	+4	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Tway	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Patrick Reed	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Doug Ghim	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+5	74	73	72	74	293.0
—	Adam Long	+5	69	78	72	74	293.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	70	77	72	74	293.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+5	69	72	76	76	293.0
—	Tom Hoge	+5	78	69	69	77	293.0
—	Charles Howell III	+5	68	73	74	78	293.0
—	Michael Thompson	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Peter Malnati	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Justin Rose	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Luke List	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Branden Grace	+5	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+5	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Adam Svensson	+5	70	79	—	—	149.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+6	72	75	74	73	294.0
—	Alex Smalley	+6	73	71	77	73	294.0
—	Sergio García	+6	75	70	75	74	294.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+6	68	77	70	79	294.0
—	Sepp Straka	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Lee Hodges	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Davis Riley	+6	70	80	—	—	150.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+7	73	74	75	73	295.0
—	Zach Johnson	+7	72	75	75	73	295.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+7	70	76	76	73	295.0
—	Pat Perez	+7	71	75	76	73	295.0
—	Adam Schenk	+7	70	74	76	75	295.0
—	Davis Thompson	+7	73	71	75	76	295.0
—	K.H. Lee	+7	70	76	72	77	295.0
—	Taylor Moore	+7	71	75	72	77	295.0
—	Ian Poulter	+7	68	75	75	77	295.0
—	Taylor Pendrith	+7	71	72	74	78	295.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Cam Davis	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Greg Koch	+7	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	John Pak	+8	74	73	75	74	296.0
—	Matt Jones	+8	70	75	76	75	296.0
—	Danny Willett	+8	73	71	75	77	296.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+8	70	73	76	77	296.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+8	70	73	76	77	296.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+8	70	73	75	78	296.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+8	67	75	75	79	296.0
—	Martin Laird	+8	72	69	75	80	296.0
—	Séamus Power	+8	80	72	—	—	152.0
—	Scott Stallings	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Aaron Rai	+8	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Brendon Todd	+9	73	72	74	78	297.0
—	Danny Lee	+10	73	74	77	74	298.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+10	72	74	78	74	298.0
—	Sam Ryder	+10	73	72	77	76	298.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+10	72	73	77	76	298.0
—	Denny McCarthy	+10	73	74	73	78	298.0
—	Vince Whaley	+10	72	75	72	79	298.0
—	Cameron Champ	+10	70	75	74	79	298.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+10	78	76	—	—	154.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+10	74	80	—	—	154.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+10	77	69	61	—	207.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+11	69	73	84	73	299.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+11	71	75	79	74	299.0
—	Marc Leishman	+11	70	73	78	78	299.0
—	Lee Westwood	+11	70	74	76	79	299.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+11	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Matt Wallace	+11	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	James Piot	+12	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+12	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Paul Casey	+13	71	70	77	83	301.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+13	77	80	—	—	157.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+13	75	82	—	—	157.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+14	73	74	76	79	302.0
—	Kevin Na	+14	81	77	—	—	158.0
—	Paul Barjon	+15	76	83	—	—	159.0
—	Sam Bennett	+15	74	85	—	—	159.0
—	Lucas Glover	+16	74	72	77	81	304.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+16	73	73	76	82	304.0
—	Troy Merritt	+16	71	72	74	87	304.0
—	Chez Reavie	+19	72	75	77	83	307.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Stephan Jaeger	67.45	4%	0%	74.00	—
2	Nick Watney	67.70	3%	0%	72.75	—
3	Taylor Pendrith	68.03	8%	0%	73.75	—
4	Séamus Power	68.06	21%	2%	76.00	—
5	Sergio García	68.06	20%	2%	73.50	—
6	Alex Smalley	68.11	7%	1%	73.50	—
7	Jon Rahm	68.24	30%	3%	72.50	—
8	Greyson Sigg	68.33	8%	1%	74.75	—
9	David Lipsky	68.39	5%	0%	73.00	—
10	Michael Thompson	68.41	8%	1%	74.50	—
11	J.J. Spaun	68.45	12%	3%	74.00	—
12	Scott Stallings	68.48	9%	0%	76.00	—
13	Russell Henley	68.50	24%	5%	72.25	—
14	Vince Whaley	68.56	8%	1%	74.50	—
15	Adam Schenk	68.58	6%	0%	73.75	—
16	Lucas Herbert	68.69	5%	0%	71.50	—
17	Sahith Theegala	68.71	10%	1%	76.00	—
18	Gary Woodland	68.77	9%	0%	71.25	—
19	Justin Rose	68.85	18%	2%	74.50	—
20	Min Woo Lee	68.86	3%	0%	78.50	—
21	Davis Riley	68.88	8%	1%	75.00	—
22	Aaron Rai	68.95	13%	1%	76.00	—
23	Si Woo Kim	69.03	14%	2%	73.00	—
24	Lee Hodges	69.05	9%	0%	75.00	—
25	Sean O'Hair	69.07	6%	0%	77.00	—
26	Takumi Kanaya	69.08	4%	0%	74.00	—
27	Matt Wallace	69.26	4%	0%	77.50	—
28	Jonathan Byrd	69.53	7%	0%	74.50	—
29	Hayden Buckley	69.56	6%	0%	74.75	—
30	John Pak	69.57	2%	0%	74.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.