Wednesday, February 9, 2022

WM Phoenix Open

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-17	68	71	62	67	279.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-16	67	66	68	67	276.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-15	67	65	69	68	269.0
—	Brooks Koepka	-15	66	66	68	69	269.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-15	66	64	69	70	269.0
—	Billy Horschel	-14	67	69	68	66	270.0
—	Alex Noren	-14	67	68	67	68	270.0
—	Justin Thomas	-13	67	70	68	66	271.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-13	68	68	66	69	271.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-12	70	68	67	67	272.0
—	Jon Rahm	-12	67	70	68	67	272.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-12	69	69	66	68	272.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-12	71	65	68	68	272.0
—	Martin Laird	-11	70	67	69	67	273.0
—	Brian Harman	-11	68	68	70	67	273.0
—	Chris Kirk	-11	70	66	69	68	273.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	-11	67	70	67	69	273.0
—	Bubba Watson	-11	67	69	68	69	273.0
—	Tom Hoge	-11	69	66	67	71	273.0
—	Max Homa	-11	69	65	68	71	273.0
—	Scott Stallings	-10	67	70	68	69	274.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-10	70	69	64	71	274.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-9	70	67	70	68	275.0
—	Sam Ryder	-9	72	64	71	68	275.0
—	J.T. Poston	-9	69	66	70	70	275.0
—	Sung Kang	-8	70	70	71	65	276.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-8	68	68	74	66	276.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-8	70	68	71	67	276.0
—	Cameron Young	-8	68	69	72	67	276.0
—	Brendon Todd	-8	68	69	67	72	276.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-8	66	68	68	74	276.0
—	Talor Gooch	-8	70	64	67	75	276.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-7	69	67	74	67	277.0
—	Russell Henley	-7	71	69	68	69	277.0
—	Russell Knox	-7	72	68	67	70	277.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	-7	69	68	67	73	277.0
—	Lucas Glover	-6	73	65	70	70	278.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-5	67	69	74	69	279.0
—	K.H. Lee	-5	65	70	74	70	279.0
—	Troy Merritt	-5	72	67	68	72	279.0
—	Corey Conners	-5	72	66	69	72	279.0
—	Adam Scott	-5	68	70	69	72	279.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-4	70	69	73	68	280.0
—	Martin Trainer	-4	71	69	68	72	280.0
—	Zach Johnson	-4	69	70	69	72	280.0
—	Stewart Cink	-4	67	71	70	72	280.0
—	Kevin Chappell	-4	70	69	68	73	280.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-4	68	67	71	74	280.0
—	Harry Higgs	-3	66	72	76	67	281.0
—	Doug Ghim	-3	69	71	72	69	281.0
—	Branden Grace	-3	68	69	72	72	281.0
—	Ryan Moore	-3	69	71	68	73	281.0
—	Kevin Tway	-2	68	70	75	69	282.0
—	Luke List	-2	73	66	73	70	282.0
—	Brice Garnett	-2	69	69	74	70	282.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-2	73	66	71	72	282.0
—	Kramer Hickok	-2	70	67	72	73	282.0
—	Matt Jones	-1	72	68	72	71	283.0
—	Brian Stuard	-1	71	69	68	75	283.0
—	Ben Silverman	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Rickie Fowler	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Adam Long	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Séamus Power	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Mito Pereira	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Gary Woodland	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Sam Burns	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-1	68	73	—	—	141.0
—	Hudson Swafford	E	71	69	71	73	284.0
—	Jordan Spieth	E	70	69	72	73	284.0
—	Tony Finau	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Wyndham Clark	E	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Roger Sloan	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Scott Piercy	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Luke Donald	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Robert Streb	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Denny McCarthy	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Chez Reavie	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Graeme McDowell	E	68	74	—	—	142.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+1	71	69	74	71	285.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+1	73	67	72	73	285.0
—	Brendan Steele	+1	75	68	—	—	143.0
—	Pat Perez	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Daniel Berger	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Beau Hossler	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Kelly Kraft	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Michael Thompson	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Jimmy Walker	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Austin Eckroat	+2	70	69	69	78	286.0
—	Harold Varner III	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Charles Howell III	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Cam Davis	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	C.T. Pan	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+2	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	James Hahn	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Brian Gay	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Nate Lashley	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Bill Haas	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Peter Malnati	+3	69	71	75	72	287.0
—	Danny Lee	+3	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	William McGirt	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Étienne Papineau	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+5	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Kyle Stanley	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	S.Y. Noh	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Aaron Wise	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Jeffrey Kang	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Wallace	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Preston Summerhays	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Craig Hocknull	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Sepp Straka	+7	72	68	73	78	291.0
—	Tyler McCumber	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+9	67	72	79	75	293.0
—	Nick Watney	+9	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+9	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Jason Dufner	+10	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+13	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Adam Schenk	+14	81	75	—	—	156.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Kevin Chappell	66.21	3%	0%	70.00	—
2	Kelly Kraft	67.05	3%	0%	71.50	—
3	Martin Trainer	67.14	5%	0%	70.00	—
4	Scott Piercy	67.29	6%	0%	71.00	—
5	Chesson Hadley	67.34	4%	0%	77.50	—
6	James Hahn	67.52	6%	0%	72.00	—
7	Brian Stuard	67.62	4%	0%	70.75	—
8	Peter Malnati	67.70	5%	0%	71.75	—
9	Matt Fitzpatrick	67.73	13%	1%	68.00	—
10	Anirban Lahiri	67.88	4%	0%	72.50	—
11	Sung Kang	67.97	4%	0%	69.00	—
12	William McGirt	68.00	5%	0%	73.00	—
13	Hank Lebioda	68.00	5%	0%	73.00	—
14	Chez Reavie	68.01	7%	0%	71.00	—
15	Doug Ghim	68.05	7%	0%	70.25	—
16	Kevin Tway	68.08	6%	0%	70.50	—
17	Graeme McDowell	68.08	4%	0%	71.00	—
18	Ryan Moore	68.09	3%	0%	70.25	—
19	Kevin Streelman	68.10	6%	0%	72.50	—
20	Joseph Bramlett	68.14	4%	0%	70.50	—
21	Brandt Snedeker	68.17	5%	0%	71.50	—
22	Matt Wallace	68.22	7%	0%	73.50	—
23	Tyler McCumber	68.22	5%	0%	74.50	—
24	Brian Gay	68.23	5%	1%	72.00	—
25	Sam Ryder	68.25	5%	0%	68.75	—
26	Roger Sloan	68.30	6%	0%	71.00	—
27	Charles Howell III	68.33	10%	0%	72.00	—
28	Stewart Cink	68.42	7%	0%	70.00	—
29	Joel Dahmen	68.45	12%	1%	71.25	—
30	Jimmy Walker	68.46	6%	0%	71.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.