Wednesday, April 6, 2022

Masters Tournament

PGA ·91 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Scottie Scheffler	-10	69	67	71	71	278.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-7	73	73	71	64	281.0
—	Shane Lowry	-5	73	68	73	69	283.0
—	Cameron Smith	-5	68	74	68	73	283.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-4	73	70	74	67	284.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-3	71	72	75	67	285.0
—	Corey Conners	-3	70	73	72	70	285.0
—	Justin Thomas	-1	76	67	72	72	287.0
—	Sungjae Im	-1	67	74	71	75	287.0
—	Cameron Champ	E	72	75	71	70	288.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	E	72	69	73	74	288.0
—	Paul Casey	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Dustin Johnson	+1	69	73	75	72	289.0
—	Danny Willett	+1	69	74	73	73	289.0
—	Kevin Na	+2	71	71	79	69	290.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+2	73	75	72	70	290.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+2	71	73	76	70	290.0
—	Harry Higgs	+2	71	75	73	71	290.0
—	Lee Westwood	+2	72	74	73	71	290.0
—	Talor Gooch	+2	72	74	73	71	290.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	+2	72	69	77	72	290.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+2	75	72	70	73	290.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+2	70	76	71	73	290.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	+3	73	73	76	69	291.0
—	Harold Varner III	+3	71	71	80	69	291.0
—	Sergio García	+3	72	74	74	71	291.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+3	74	70	75	72	291.0
—	Jon Rahm	+4	74	72	77	69	292.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	74	74	74	70	292.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+4	72	76	71	73	292.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	+4	76	—	—	—	76.0
—	Russell Henley	+5	73	74	76	70	293.0
—	Sepp Straka	+5	74	72	76	71	293.0
—	Lucas Glover	+5	72	76	72	73	293.0
—	Marc Leishman	+5	73	75	71	74	293.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+5	77	69	73	74	293.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	K.H. Lee	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Brian Harman	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Zach Johnson	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Patrick Reed	+6	74	73	73	74	294.0
—	Tony Finau	+6	71	75	74	74	294.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+6	69	74	77	74	294.0
—	Webb Simpson	+6	71	74	73	76	294.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+6	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Mike Weir	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Bubba Watson	+7	73	73	78	71	295.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+7	70	75	79	71	295.0
—	Tom Hoge	+7	73	74	75	73	295.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+7	76	70	73	76	295.0
—	Stewart Cink	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Austin Greaser	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Billy Horschel	+8	74	73	79	70	296.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+8	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Luke List	+8	77	75	—	—	152.0
—	Bernhard Langer	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Justin Rose	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Gary Woodland	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+8	73	79	—	—	152.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	+9	73	71	77	76	297.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+9	75	70	75	77	297.0
—	Cameron Young	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Fred Couples	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Aaron Jarvis	+11	81	74	—	—	155.0
—	James Piot	+11	81	74	—	—	155.0
—	Larry Mize	+11	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+11	72	83	—	—	155.0
—	Cam Davis	+12	75	73	79	73	300.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+12	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Tiger Woods	+13	71	74	78	78	301.0
—	Adam Scott	+14	74	74	80	74	302.0
—	Max Homa	+14	74	73	77	78	302.0
—	Sandy Lyle	+14	82	76	—	—	158.0
—	Vijay Singh	+14	78	80	—	—	158.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+15	73	75	77	78	303.0
—	Daniel Berger	+15	71	75	77	80	303.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+15	81	78	—	—	159.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+15	79	80	—	—	159.0
—	Stewart Hagestad	+16	79	81	—	—	160.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+17	72	74	79	80	305.0
—	José María Olazábal	+17	77	84	—	—	161.0
—	Laird Shepherd	+22	81	85	—	—	166.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Harry Higgs	66.74	3%	0%	72.50	—
2	Lee Westwood	67.58	5%	0%	72.50	—
3	Cameron Champ	67.61	4%	0%	72.00	—
4	Danny Willett	67.61	8%	0%	72.25	—
5	Tommy Fleetwood	67.71	12%	1%	72.50	—
6	Garrick Higgo	67.75	6%	0%	77.50	—
7	Bubba Watson	67.89	11%	1%	73.75	—
8	J.J. Spaun	67.99	10%	2%	72.75	—
9	K.H. Lee	68.02	10%	0%	74.50	—
10	Charl Schwartzel	68.03	4%	0%	72.00	—
11	Tony Finau	68.07	8%	1%	73.50	—
12	Zach Johnson	68.13	8%	1%	74.50	—
13	Robert MacIntyre	68.32	18%	1%	72.75	—
14	Shane Lowry	68.41	29%	2%	70.75	—
15	Ryan Palmer	68.46	8%	1%	75.00	—
16	Stewart Cink	68.48	6%	1%	75.50	—
17	Francesco Molinari	68.49	6%	0%	76.00	—
18	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	68.52	12%	1%	74.25	—
19	Matt Fitzpatrick	68.60	18%	2%	72.50	—
20	Webb Simpson	68.63	12%	2%	73.50	—
21	Dustin Johnson	68.63	12%	2%	72.25	—
22	Tyrrell Hatton	68.66	13%	2%	76.25	—
23	Paul Casey	68.67	12%	1%	—	—
24	Patrick Reed	68.70	9%	1%	73.50	—
25	Jordan Spieth	68.71	13%	1%	75.00	—
26	Patrick Cantlay	68.75	29%	2%	73.75	—
27	Corey Conners	68.75	13%	1%	71.25	—
28	Lucas Glover	68.78	12%	1%	73.25	—
29	Justin Rose	68.78	11%	2%	76.00	—
30	Sergio García	68.78	16%	2%	72.75	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.