Wednesday, April 13, 2022

RBC Heritage

PGA ·132 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jordan Spieth	-13	69	68	68	66	275.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-13	66	67	70	68	271.0
—	Cam Davis	-12	69	73	67	63	272.0
—	J.T. Poston	-12	68	72	68	64	272.0
—	Cameron Young	-12	63	73	70	66	272.0
—	Sepp Straka	-12	66	71	67	68	272.0
—	Matt Kuchar	-12	68	69	67	68	272.0
—	Shane Lowry	-12	66	72	65	69	272.0
—	Harold Varner III	-12	67	72	63	70	272.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-11	71	70	64	68	273.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	-11	69	67	67	70	273.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-9	68	73	69	65	275.0
—	Adam Long	-9	69	73	67	66	275.0
—	Scott Piercy	-9	67	72	69	67	275.0
—	Troy Merritt	-9	69	70	68	68	275.0
—	Matt NeSmith	-9	70	68	69	68	275.0
—	Corey Conners	-9	66	72	68	69	275.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-9	65	72	69	69	275.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-9	69	67	70	69	275.0
—	Joel Dahmen	-9	69	67	69	70	275.0
—	Daniel Berger	-8	71	70	68	67	276.0
—	Graeme McDowell	-8	66	76	66	68	276.0
—	Sungjae Im	-8	70	70	67	69	276.0
—	Billy Horschel	-8	69	69	67	71	276.0
—	Aaron Wise	-8	68	68	68	72	276.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-7	67	72	71	67	277.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-7	70	70	69	68	277.0
—	Brendon Todd	-7	72	68	68	69	277.0
—	Patton Kizzire	-7	67	71	70	69	277.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-7	69	69	70	69	277.0
—	Kevin Na	-7	70	69	68	70	277.0
—	Maverick McNealy	-7	71	70	65	71	277.0
—	Adam Svensson	-7	66	73	67	71	277.0
—	Mito Pereira	-7	66	71	69	71	277.0
—	Justin Thomas	-6	70	71	70	67	278.0
—	Brian Harman	-6	72	70	68	68	278.0
—	Doug Ghim	-6	70	72	67	69	278.0
—	Branden Grace	-6	71	70	68	69	278.0
—	Jason Kokrak	-6	70	68	70	70	278.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-6	68	73	66	71	278.0
—	Hudson Swafford	-6	69	69	66	74	278.0
—	C.T. Pan	-5	70	70	71	68	279.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-5	69	70	71	69	279.0
—	Peter Malnati	-5	69	73	65	72	279.0
—	Alex Noren	-5	70	70	67	72	279.0
—	Ian Poulter	-5	71	68	67	73	279.0
—	Robert Streb	-5	68	67	71	73	279.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-4	69	73	74	64	280.0
—	Doc Redman	-4	69	71	70	70	280.0
—	Lucas Glover	-4	68	71	68	73	280.0
—	Brian Gay	-3	67	75	68	71	281.0
—	Pat Perez	-3	68	73	69	71	281.0
—	Danny Willett	-3	70	72	67	72	281.0
—	Henrik Stenson	-2	71	71	72	68	282.0
—	Charl Schwartzel	-2	68	72	71	71	282.0
—	Luke Donald	-1	70	69	76	68	283.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-1	67	75	70	71	283.0
—	Jim Herman	-1	69	71	70	73	283.0
—	Matthias Schwab	E	67	74	71	72	284.0
—	Camilo Villegas	E	71	67	74	72	284.0
—	Webb Simpson	E	69	73	69	73	284.0
—	Roger Sloan	E	68	71	72	73	284.0
—	Bill Haas	E	67	74	68	75	284.0
—	Ben Martin	E	71	70	68	75	284.0
—	Chad Ramey	E	67	70	71	76	284.0
—	Zach Johnson	E	64	—	—	—	64.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+1	69	73	69	74	285.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+1	70	71	68	76	285.0
—	Scott Brown	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Cameron Smith	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Richy Werenski	+1	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Chris Kirk	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Morgan Hoffmann	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Sam Ryder	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Sung Kang	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Hank Lebioda	+1	70	73	—	—	143.0
—	Harry Higgs	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	James Hahn	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Russell Henley	+1	68	75	—	—	143.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Russell Knox	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	William McGirt	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Chesson Hadley	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Michael Thompson	+2	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Alex Smalley	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Tway	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Stewart Cink	+3	67	75	71	74	287.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Davis Love III	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+3	75	35	—	—	110.0
—	Brian Stuard	+4	73	69	75	71	288.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	K.H. Lee	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+4	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Nick Taylor	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Danny Lee	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	James Piot	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+4	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Brice Garnett	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Tom Hoge	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Morgan Deneen	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+5	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+6	68	74	78	70	290.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+6	71	70	70	79	290.0
—	Bryson Nimmer	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Charles Howell III	+6	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+6	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Nate Lashley	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Luke List	+7	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Scott Stallings	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Nick Watney	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+8	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Adam Schenk	+8	72	78	—	—	150.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+9	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Jim Furyk	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Martin Trainer	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Michael Gligic	+9	71	80	—	—	151.0
—	Beau Hossler	+12	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Chez Reavie	+13	76	79	—	—	155.0
—	Davis Riley	+13	75	80	—	—	155.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+19	79	82	—	—	161.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Stephan Jaeger	66.53	3%	0%	75.50	—
2	James Hahn	66.96	5%	1%	71.50	—
3	Mito Pereira	67.46	12%	1%	69.25	—
4	Hank Lebioda	67.48	3%	0%	71.50	—
5	Alex Smalley	68.10	8%	0%	72.00	—
6	Kramer Hickok	68.10	7%	1%	74.00	—
7	Matthias Schwab	68.15	12%	1%	71.00	—
8	Justin Thomas	68.21	38%	4%	69.50	—
9	Ian Poulter	68.34	12%	1%	69.75	—
10	Branden Grace	68.35	4%	0%	69.50	—
11	Henrik Stenson	68.47	5%	0%	70.50	—
12	Joseph Bramlett	68.50	6%	1%	70.00	—
13	Jim Herman	68.51	4%	1%	70.75	—
14	Ryan Brehm	68.55	6%	0%	80.50	—
15	Tyrrell Hatton	68.60	20%	3%	69.25	—
16	Garrick Higgo	68.63	6%	0%	75.50	—
17	Adam Svensson	68.65	8%	1%	69.25	—
18	Charles Howell III	68.71	16%	3%	74.00	—
19	Daniel Berger	68.72	32%	6%	69.00	—
20	Chris Kirk	68.73	15%	1%	71.50	—
21	Webb Simpson	68.78	15%	3%	71.00	—
22	Joaquín Niemann	68.78	22%	2%	68.75	—
23	Camilo Villegas	68.79	4%	0%	71.00	—
24	Matt Fitzpatrick	68.81	26%	3%	72.50	—
25	Sahith Theegala	68.82	12%	1%	72.50	—
26	Maverick McNealy	68.83	20%	2%	69.25	—
27	Matt Kuchar	68.83	13%	2%	68.00	—
28	Stewart Cink	68.85	7%	1%	71.75	—
29	Bill Haas	68.86	7%	0%	71.00	—
30	Davis Riley	68.88	10%	0%	77.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.