Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Mexico Open

PGA ·144 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Jon Rahm	-17	64	66	68	69	267.0
—	Brandon Wu	-16	69	70	66	63	268.0
—	Tony Finau	-16	71	68	66	63	268.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-16	64	70	66	68	268.0
—	Davis Riley	-15	69	65	67	68	269.0
—	Aaron Wise	-14	65	75	66	64	270.0
—	David Lipsky	-14	69	68	69	64	270.0
—	Alex Smalley	-14	66	66	70	68	270.0
—	Cameron Champ	-14	67	66	67	70	270.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-13	66	69	66	70	271.0
—	Martin Trainer	-12	72	65	71	64	272.0
—	Nate Lashley	-12	69	68	64	71	272.0
—	Grayson Murray	-11	73	67	66	67	273.0
—	Chez Reavie	-11	67	71	67	68	273.0
—	Lanto Griffin	-10	71	69	69	65	274.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	-10	68	68	72	66	274.0
—	Peter Malnati	-10	68	68	72	66	274.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-10	68	69	70	67	274.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	-10	64	70	71	69	274.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	-10	69	71	64	70	274.0
—	Adam Long	-10	67	66	71	70	274.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	-10	67	69	67	71	274.0
—	Andrew Novak	-10	66	67	70	71	274.0
—	Gary Woodland	-9	67	72	69	67	275.0
—	Michael Gligic	-9	67	70	71	67	275.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-9	65	73	69	68	275.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-9	64	69	73	69	275.0
—	Aaron Rai	-9	65	69	69	72	275.0
—	Ryan Blaum	-8	66	70	70	70	276.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-8	66	69	71	70	276.0
—	C.T. Pan	-8	66	70	69	71	276.0
—	Hank Lebioda	-8	67	67	69	73	276.0
—	Graeme McDowell	-7	70	70	69	68	277.0
—	Greyson Sigg	-7	66	73	70	68	277.0
—	Scott Piercy	-7	70	68	71	68	277.0
—	Brice Garnett	-7	70	67	72	68	277.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-7	70	68	70	69	277.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-7	72	65	71	69	277.0
—	Doug Ghim	-7	72	65	71	69	277.0
—	Charles Howell III	-7	66	69	70	72	277.0
—	Wesley Bryan	-7	68	69	67	73	277.0
—	Ben Kohles	-6	70	69	72	67	278.0
—	Kevin Na	-6	70	67	73	68	278.0
—	John Huh	-6	67	70	73	68	278.0
—	Robert Garrigus	-6	68	72	69	69	278.0
—	Brian Stuard	-6	71	68	70	69	278.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-6	71	69	68	70	278.0
—	Alvaro Ortiz	-6	68	69	70	71	278.0
—	Brandon Hagy	-6	66	67	71	74	278.0
—	Patrick Reed	-6	67	66	70	75	278.0
—	Tommy Gainey	-5	69	71	72	67	279.0
—	David Skinns	-5	69	69	74	67	279.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-5	68	71	71	69	279.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-5	70	69	71	69	279.0
—	Lee Hodges	-5	68	72	69	70	279.0
—	Sung Kang	-5	68	72	69	70	279.0
—	Turk Pettit	-5	72	67	70	70	279.0
—	Scott Brown	-5	65	69	73	72	279.0
—	Matt Jones	-4	71	69	70	70	280.0
—	Bill Haas	-4	70	70	65	75	280.0
—	Callum Tarren	-3	73	67	72	69	281.0
—	Hayden Buckley	-3	66	73	69	73	281.0
—	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	-3	70	66	71	74	281.0
—	Justin Lower	-2	70	70	69	73	282.0
—	Brendon Todd	-2	64	74	71	73	282.0
—	Pat Perez	-1	67	71	73	72	283.0
—	Max McGreevy	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	Scott Stallings	-1	72	69	—	—	141.0
—	D.J. Trahan	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	-1	71	70	—	—	141.0
—	Nick Taylor	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Paul Barjon	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	J.T. Poston	-1	70	71	—	—	141.0
—	Peter Uihlein	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Sangmoon Bae	-1	69	72	—	—	141.0
—	Ben Griffin	-1	67	74	—	—	141.0
—	Austin Smotherman	E	74	66	76	68	284.0
—	D.A. Points	E	69	71	74	70	284.0
—	Wyndham Clark	E	68	72	72	72	284.0
—	Matt Wallace	E	70	66	75	73	284.0
—	Kevin Streelman	E	71	68	70	75	284.0
—	Chris Kirk	E	75	67	—	—	142.0
—	Curtis Thompson	E	75	67	—	—	142.0
—	Ben Martin	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Ryan Armour	E	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Andrew Putnam	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Taylor Moore	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Kevin Tway	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Dylan Wu	E	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Jeffrey Kang	E	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Greg Chalmers	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Michael Thompson	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Adam Schenk	E	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	E	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	Bryson Nimmer	+1	64	74	74	73	285.0
—	Matt Every	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Mark Hensby	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Bo Hoag	+1	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Patrick Flavin	+1	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Crane	+1	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Jared Wolfe	+1	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Chase Seiffert	+1	67	76	—	—	143.0
—	Aaron Baddeley	+2	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Arjun Atwal	+2	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	David Lingmerth	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Roberto Díaz	+2	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Armando Favela	+2	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+2	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+3	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Jim Knous	+3	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Jason Dufner	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+3	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	James Hahn	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Adam Svensson	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Austin Cook	+3	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	S.Y. Noh	+3	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Brett Drewitt	+4	68	70	76	74	288.0
—	Jonas Blixt	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Luke Donald	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Robert Streb	+4	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+4	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Russell Knox	+4	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Chad Ramey	+4	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	+4	75	—	—	—	75.0
—	Joshua Creel	+5	68	70	77	74	289.0
—	Dawie van der Walt	+5	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Fabián Gómez	+5	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Richy Werenski	+5	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Vince Whaley	+6	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Roger Sloan	+6	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Seth Reeves	+7	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Jose Antonio Safa	+7	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	José Cristóbal Islas	+8	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Richard S. Johnson	+9	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Danny Lee	+9	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Johnson Wagner	+11	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	David Hearn	+11	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+11	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Ben Willman	+12	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Isidro Benitez	+12	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Santiago de la Fuente	+13	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Derek Ernst	+14	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Manuel Inman	+18	77	83	—	—	160.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Camilo Villegas	66.11	5%	0%	72.00	—
2	Kelly Kraft	66.19	3%	0%	68.50	—
3	Graeme McDowell	66.33	6%	1%	69.25	—
4	Curtis Thompson	66.39	3%	0%	71.00	—
5	Michael Gligic	66.44	4%	0%	68.75	—
6	Peter Uihlein	66.54	4%	0%	70.50	—
7	Seth Reeves	66.61	3%	0%	74.50	—
8	James Hahn	66.88	4%	0%	72.50	—
9	Dawie van der Walt	66.90	2%	0%	73.50	—
10	David Skinns	67.00	3%	0%	69.75	—
11	Matt Every	67.00	2%	0%	71.50	—
12	Richy Werenski	67.07	4%	0%	73.50	—
13	Hank Lebioda	67.07	3%	0%	69.00	—
14	Emiliano Grillo	67.17	4%	0%	69.25	—
15	Stephan Jaeger	67.26	3%	0%	68.50	—
16	Trey Mullinax	67.28	4%	0%	68.75	—
17	Anirban Lahiri	67.32	7%	0%	68.50	—
18	Peter Malnati	67.35	6%	0%	68.50	—
19	Scott Piercy	67.42	5%	1%	69.25	—
20	Sung Kang	67.42	4%	0%	69.75	—
21	Doug Ghim	67.45	7%	0%	69.25	—
22	Jared Wolfe	67.45	4%	0%	71.50	—
23	Patrick Rodgers	67.47	4%	0%	67.75	—
24	Brice Garnett	67.49	6%	0%	69.25	—
25	Austin Cook	67.52	3%	0%	72.50	—
26	Tyler Duncan	67.55	6%	0%	73.00	—
27	Jonathan Byrd	67.57	6%	0%	68.50	—
28	Nate Lashley	67.62	7%	0%	68.00	—
29	Chez Reavie	67.64	5%	1%	68.25	—
30	Austin Smotherman	67.64	5%	0%	71.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.