Wednesday, May 25, 2022

Charles Schwab Challenge

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Sam Burns	-10	71	68	67	65	274.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-9	66	65	68	72	275.0
—	Brendon Todd	-8	68	68	65	71	272.0
—	Tony Finau	-7	71	68	67	67	273.0
—	Davis Riley	-7	67	67	70	69	273.0
—	Scott Stallings	-7	67	64	70	72	273.0
—	Kevin Na	-5	67	71	68	69	275.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-5	69	66	70	70	275.0
—	Mito Pereira	-5	70	66	68	71	275.0
—	Cam Davis	-5	66	68	69	72	275.0
—	Patrick Reed	-5	66	66	71	72	275.0
—	Matt Jones	-4	70	66	71	69	276.0
—	Pat Perez	-4	67	66	72	71	276.0
—	John Huh	-4	69	66	68	73	276.0
—	Tyler Duncan	-3	71	67	72	67	277.0
—	Sungjae Im	-3	70	70	67	70	277.0
—	Russell Knox	-3	68	68	70	71	277.0
—	Andrew Putnam	-3	73	65	67	72	277.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-3	68	68	69	72	277.0
—	Chris Kirk	-3	66	67	70	74	277.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-2	69	65	73	71	278.0
—	Beau Hossler	-2	66	65	73	74	278.0
—	Danny Lee	-1	73	64	77	65	279.0
—	Max Homa	-1	69	69	73	68	279.0
—	Daniel Berger	-1	71	70	69	69	279.0
—	Zach Johnson	-1	70	71	67	71	279.0
—	Chez Reavie	E	68	72	71	69	280.0
—	Bill Haas	E	68	71	71	70	280.0
—	Talor Gooch	E	72	69	67	72	280.0
—	Webb Simpson	E	66	69	73	72	280.0
—	Alex Smalley	E	72	66	69	73	280.0
—	Denny McCarthy	E	68	68	71	73	280.0
—	Chad Ramey	E	70	66	69	75	280.0
—	Harold Varner III	E	66	68	68	78	280.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+1	71	70	74	66	281.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+1	70	69	73	69	281.0
—	Adam Long	+1	68	71	73	69	281.0
—	Lee Hodges	+1	69	71	68	73	281.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+1	67	70	70	74	281.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+2	70	71	70	71	282.0
—	Michael Thompson	+2	73	67	71	71	282.0
—	Ian Poulter	+2	70	69	71	72	282.0
—	Luke Donald	+2	69	69	71	73	282.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+2	69	69	71	73	282.0
—	Lucas Glover	+2	70	67	70	75	282.0
—	Adam Svensson	+2	69	68	69	76	282.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+2	71	65	70	76	282.0
—	Adam Schenk	+2	75	67	—	—	142.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+2	74	68	—	—	142.0
—	Stewart Cink	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Maverick McNealy	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	K.H. Lee	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Sam Ryder	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+2	67	75	—	—	142.0
—	David Lipsky	+3	71	68	73	71	283.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+3	71	70	70	72	283.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+3	70	70	70	73	283.0
—	Nick Taylor	+3	66	71	72	74	283.0
—	Brian Harman	+3	77	66	—	—	143.0
—	Jason Dufner	+3	76	67	—	—	143.0
—	Brian Stuard	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+3	73	70	—	—	143.0
—	Peter Malnati	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Justin Rose	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Will Zalatoris	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Billy Horschel	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Justin Thomas	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Vince Whaley	+3	71	72	—	—	143.0
—	Mark Hubbard	+4	71	70	72	71	284.0
—	Martin Trainer	+4	68	70	74	72	284.0
—	C.T. Pan	+4	69	69	74	72	284.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+4	71	69	71	73	284.0
—	Max McGreevy	+4	68	66	74	76	284.0
—	Tom Hoge	+4	75	69	—	—	144.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Nate Lashley	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Gary Woodland	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+5	69	71	72	73	285.0
—	Troy Merritt	+5	73	66	72	74	285.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+5	69	71	70	75	285.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+5	71	69	70	75	285.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+5	69	70	71	75	285.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+5	70	69	67	79	285.0
—	J.T. Poston	+5	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Richard Bland	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Robert Streb	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Scott Piercy	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Doc Redman	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+6	71	70	70	75	286.0
—	Austin Smotherman	+6	67	71	70	78	286.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+6	69	68	71	78	286.0
—	Garrick Higgo	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+7	68	70	71	78	287.0
—	Nick Watney	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Taylor Moore	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Kevin Tway	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Erik Compton	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+8	69	71	76	72	288.0
—	Brandon Wu	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	John Pak	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Aaron Rai	+9	71	68	76	74	289.0
—	Tyler Strafaci	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	James Hahn	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	James Piot	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+9	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Paul Barjon	+11	80	71	—	—	151.0
—	Doug Ghim	+11	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+11	78	34	—	—	112.0
—	Harry Higgs	+15	69	71	75	80	295.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	John Huh	66.42	4%	0%	69.00	—
2	Paul Barjon	66.72	3%	0%	75.50	—
3	Adam Svensson	66.86	6%	0%	70.50	—
4	Luke Donald	67.06	6%	0%	70.50	—
5	Hayden Buckley	67.15	4%	0%	74.00	—
6	Trey Mullinax	67.19	6%	0%	74.50	—
7	Greyson Sigg	67.21	6%	0%	72.50	—
8	Richard Bland	67.27	5%	0%	72.50	—
9	Lee Hodges	67.46	4%	0%	70.25	—
10	Max McGreevy	67.66	4%	0%	71.00	—
11	Tommy Fleetwood	67.88	24%	2%	70.25	—
12	Taylor Moore	67.90	5%	0%	73.50	—
13	Matthias Schwab	67.98	13%	1%	71.25	—
14	Martin Trainer	68.04	5%	0%	71.00	—
15	J.J. Spaun	68.23	9%	1%	37.33	—
16	Stewart Cink	68.35	8%	1%	71.00	—
17	David Lipsky	68.39	11%	1%	70.75	—
18	Stephan Jaeger	68.40	8%	0%	71.50	—
19	Kurt Kitayama	68.45	6%	0%	70.50	—
20	Aaron Rai	68.47	9%	1%	72.25	—
21	Justin Thomas	68.51	36%	2%	71.50	—
22	Collin Morikawa	68.66	35%	5%	70.50	—
23	Nate Lashley	68.66	10%	2%	72.00	—
24	Justin Rose	68.72	17%	2%	71.50	—
25	Jordan Spieth	68.81	25%	2%	68.75	—
26	Daniel Berger	68.81	21%	2%	69.75	—
27	Mito Pereira	68.88	13%	2%	68.75	—
28	Brandon Wu	68.92	10%	2%	74.00	—
29	Austin Smotherman	68.93	9%	1%	71.50	—
30	Jason Kokrak	68.93	17%	2%	72.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.