Wednesday, June 1, 2022

the Memorial Tournament pres. by Workday

PGA ·120 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Billy Horschel	-13	70	68	65	72	275.0
—	Aaron Wise	-9	70	69	69	71	279.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-7	72	69	69	71	281.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-7	71	69	70	71	281.0
—	Max Homa	-6	69	74	70	69	282.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-6	68	73	71	70	282.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-6	68	75	68	71	282.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-6	68	69	73	72	282.0
—	Daniel Berger	-6	70	72	67	73	282.0
—	Jon Rahm	-4	72	70	73	69	284.0
—	Sungjae Im	-4	70	70	75	69	284.0
—	Brendan Steele	-4	69	76	68	71	284.0
—	Corey Conners	-3	69	73	74	69	285.0
—	Mito Pereira	-3	73	72	70	70	285.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-3	72	71	71	71	285.0
—	Davis Riley	-3	67	71	72	75	285.0
—	Cameron Smith	-3	67	69	72	77	285.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-2	75	71	70	70	286.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-2	70	73	73	70	286.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-2	70	69	76	71	286.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-2	76	68	70	72	286.0
—	Brian Harman	-2	73	70	71	72	286.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-2	70	74	69	73	286.0
—	Charles Howell III	-2	71	72	70	73	286.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-2	70	69	73	74	286.0
—	Pat Perez	-1	72	72	73	70	287.0
—	Aaron Rai	-1	74	72	69	72	287.0
—	Adam Schenk	-1	74	72	69	72	287.0
—	Luke List	-1	67	71	72	77	287.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-1	71	68	70	78	287.0
—	Jason Day	E	71	74	68	75	288.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Emiliano Grillo	+1	71	73	70	75	289.0
—	Joel Dahmen	+1	69	73	71	76	289.0
—	Beau Hossler	+1	72	70	71	76	289.0
—	Shane Lowry	+1	69	72	72	76	289.0
—	Abraham Ancer	+1	69	72	71	77	289.0
—	J.T. Poston	+2	78	68	74	70	290.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+2	68	76	73	73	290.0
—	Martin Laird	+2	72	73	71	74	290.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+2	67	73	76	74	290.0
—	David Lipsky	+2	71	70	73	76	290.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+2	69	75	69	77	290.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+2	69	72	70	79	290.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+2	69	69	71	81	290.0
—	Adam Svensson	+3	72	71	76	72	291.0
—	Matt Kuchar	+3	70	75	72	74	291.0
—	Sepp Straka	+3	71	70	74	76	291.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Charley Hoffman	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Anirban Lahiri	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Sam Ryder	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Danny Lee	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Robert Streb	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Luke Donald	+3	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	William McGirt	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	David Lingmerth	+4	74	72	73	73	292.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+4	70	76	70	76	292.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+4	73	70	71	78	292.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Alex Noren	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Matthew Wolff	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+4	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+4	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	Chad Ramey	+4	76	—	—	—	76.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+5	74	72	76	71	293.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+5	71	73	78	71	293.0
—	Kevin Streelman	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+5	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Matt Jones	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Nate Lashley	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Marc Leishman	+5	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Gary Woodland	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Tom Hoge	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Cameron Champ	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Cam Davis	+6	71	75	78	70	294.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+6	73	72	78	71	294.0
—	C.T. Pan	+6	76	68	76	74	294.0
—	Patrick Reed	+6	76	70	73	75	294.0
—	Chris Kirk	+6	75	68	76	75	294.0
—	Troy Merritt	+6	73	72	69	80	294.0
—	K.H. Lee	+6	67	70	75	82	294.0
—	Peter Malnati	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Justin Lower	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Jason Dufner	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Lucas Glover	+7	75	70	77	73	295.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	+7	72	74	72	77	295.0
—	Doug Ghim	+7	77	68	72	78	295.0
—	Cameron Young	+7	67	71	73	84	295.0
—	Curtis Luck	+7	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Adam Long	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Hudson Swafford	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Bo Hoag	+7	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Alex Smalley	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+7	72	79	—	—	151.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+8	75	71	76	74	296.0
—	Rickie Fowler	+8	70	74	75	77	296.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	+8	71	72	75	78	296.0
—	Danny Willett	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Scott Stallings	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Taylor Moore	+8	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Stewart Cink	+8	71	81	—	—	152.0
—	John Pak	+9	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+9	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	James Piot	+9	75	78	—	—	153.0
—	Harris English	+10	77	77	—	—	154.0
—	Adam Scott	+11	70	76	73	80	299.0
—	Chan Kim	+11	73	73	70	83	299.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+11	77	78	—	—	155.0
—	Brandon Wu	+12	71	69	80	80	300.0
—	Ryan Brehm	+12	79	77	—	—	156.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+12	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Russell Knox	+13	81	76	—	—	157.0
—	Jediah Morgan	+13	76	81	—	—	157.0
—	Nick Watney	+14	81	77	—	—	158.0
—	Ryan Moore	+15	74	72	78	79	303.0
—	Ryan Palmer	+16	81	79	—	—	160.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	James Piot	66.58	3%	0%	76.50	—
2	Adam Svensson	67.12	6%	0%	72.75	—
3	Kramer Hickok	67.32	5%	0%	74.00	—
4	Taylor Moore	67.47	5%	0%	76.00	—
5	Brandt Snedeker	67.52	4%	0%	73.75	—
6	Anirban Lahiri	67.53	10%	1%	73.50	—
7	Sam Ryder	67.54	6%	0%	73.50	—
8	Luke Donald	67.56	6%	0%	73.50	—
9	Séamus Power	67.63	12%	1%	74.00	—
10	Francesco Molinari	67.72	9%	2%	71.75	—
11	Adam Schenk	67.81	6%	0%	71.75	—
12	Jhonattan Vegas	67.83	12%	1%	72.50	—
13	Justin Lower	67.90	5%	0%	75.00	—
14	Pat Perez	67.90	10%	1%	71.75	—
15	Nate Lashley	68.02	15%	1%	74.50	—
16	Patrick Cantlay	68.31	36%	2%	70.25	—
17	Scott Stallings	68.45	9%	1%	76.00	—
18	Jon Rahm	68.46	57%	2%	71.00	—
19	Min Woo Lee	68.50	5%	0%	74.50	—
20	Nick Watney	68.50	5%	0%	79.00	—
21	Chad Ramey	68.63	6%	0%	38.00	—
22	Collin Morikawa	68.66	33%	5%	74.00	—
23	Alex Smalley	68.66	8%	0%	75.50	—
24	David Lipsky	68.70	9%	1%	72.50	—
25	Aaron Rai	68.74	7%	0%	71.75	—
26	Ryan Brehm	68.78	5%	0%	78.00	—
27	Cameron Young	68.81	22%	6%	73.75	—
28	Will Zalatoris	68.81	26%	2%	70.50	—
29	Mito Pereira	68.86	23%	2%	71.25	—
30	Danny Lee	68.89	4%	0%	73.50	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.