Wednesday, June 8, 2022

RBC Canadian Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Rory McIlroy	-19	66	68	65	62	261.0
—	Tony Finau	-17	66	71	62	64	263.0
—	Justin Thomas	-15	69	69	63	64	265.0
—	Justin Rose	-14	69	70	67	60	266.0
—	Sam Burns	-14	67	69	65	65	266.0
—	Corey Conners	-12	71	69	66	62	268.0
—	Chris Kirk	-10	69	69	66	66	270.0
—	Keith Mitchell	-10	67	67	70	66	270.0
—	Wyndham Clark	-10	63	70	68	69	270.0
—	Danny Lee	-9	68	69	69	65	271.0
—	Shane Lowry	-9	67	69	69	66	271.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-9	64	70	70	67	271.0
—	Kelly Kraft	-8	69	69	70	64	272.0
—	Aaron Rai	-8	69	70	67	66	272.0
—	Brendon Todd	-8	69	69	68	66	272.0
—	Harold Varner III	-8	65	72	68	67	272.0
—	Austin Cook	-8	71	64	68	69	272.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	-7	67	69	72	65	273.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-7	69	67	71	66	273.0
—	Doug Ghim	-7	65	71	68	69	273.0
—	Adam Svensson	-6	72	68	67	67	274.0
—	Scott Piercy	-6	70	70	66	68	274.0
—	Adam Long	-6	70	67	67	70	274.0
—	Alex Smalley	-6	67	67	67	73	274.0
—	John Huh	-5	69	69	72	65	275.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-5	69	70	65	71	275.0
—	Jim Knous	-5	67	67	69	72	275.0
—	Jonas Blixt	-4	67	74	70	65	276.0
—	Danny Willett	-4	71	68	72	65	276.0
—	Hank Lebioda	-4	69	70	71	66	276.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	-4	66	75	68	67	276.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	-4	70	70	67	69	276.0
—	Chase Seiffert	-4	69	70	67	70	276.0
—	Nick Taylor	-4	70	68	67	71	276.0
—	Vince Whaley	-3	72	69	67	69	277.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-3	69	70	69	69	277.0
—	Justin Lower	-3	70	68	70	69	277.0
—	S.Y. Noh	-3	69	70	68	70	277.0
—	Ryan Moore	-3	69	69	69	70	277.0
—	Charley Hoffman	-3	68	68	71	70	277.0
—	Nick Hardy	-3	68	73	65	71	277.0
—	Ryan Armour	-3	72	66	68	71	277.0
—	Matt Wallace	-3	70	66	70	71	277.0
—	Mark Hubbard	-2	67	73	72	66	278.0
—	Austin Smotherman	-2	72	68	70	68	278.0
—	Carlos Ortiz	-1	67	73	69	70	279.0
—	Paul Barjon	-1	72	67	70	70	279.0
—	Vaughn Taylor	E	68	70	75	67	280.0
—	Lee Hodges	E	66	70	77	67	280.0
—	Aaron Cockerill	E	70	68	73	69	280.0
—	Brandt Snedeker	E	68	70	72	70	280.0
—	Cameron Smith	E	76	65	68	71	280.0
—	Michael Gligic	E	46	—	—	—	46.0
—	Jhonattan Vegas	+1	71	70	72	68	281.0
—	Brett Drewitt	+1	71	70	69	71	281.0
—	Robert Streb	+1	69	70	71	71	281.0
—	Ben Martin	+1	71	66	73	71	281.0
—	Sahith Theegala	+1	71	70	67	73	281.0
—	Bo Van Pelt	+1	71	69	65	76	281.0
—	J.J. Henry	+2	69	71	71	71	282.0
—	Cameron Percy	+2	71	68	71	72	282.0
—	Tyler Duncan	+2	76	66	—	—	142.0
—	David Lingmerth	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Seth Reeves	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	Mike Weir	+2	72	70	—	—	142.0
—	David Lipsky	+2	71	71	—	—	142.0
—	Rory Sabbatini	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Roger Sloan	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Stuart Macdonald	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+2	70	72	—	—	142.0
—	Bill Haas	+2	69	73	—	—	142.0
—	Kramer Hickok	+3	68	73	71	71	283.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	+3	74	67	70	72	283.0
—	Scott Gutschewski	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Martin Laird	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Joshua Creel	+3	74	69	—	—	143.0
—	Camilo Villegas	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Sangmoon Bae	+3	72	71	—	—	143.0
—	Jonathan Byrd	+3	69	74	—	—	143.0
—	Ben Crane	+4	72	67	74	71	284.0
—	Cameron Champ	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Sam Ryder	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	J.T. Poston	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	J.J. Spaun	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	David Hearn	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Braden Thornberry	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Rasmus Højgaard	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Yi Cao	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Ben Kohles	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Henrik Norlander	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Luke Donald	+4	68	76	—	—	144.0
—	Brandon Hagy	+5	73	68	74	70	285.0
—	Rafa Cabrera Bello	+5	71	70	72	72	285.0
—	David Skinns	+5	71	69	73	72	285.0
—	Andrew Novak	+5	72	68	73	72	285.0
—	Sean O'Hair	+5	70	71	70	74	285.0
—	Greyson Sigg	+5	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Parker McLachlin	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Martin Trainer	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	A.J. Ewart	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Brice Garnett	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Dean Burmester	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Trevor Werbylo	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Jared du Toit	+5	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Wesley Bryan	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Trey Mullinax	+6	70	71	74	71	286.0
—	Jim Herman	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Callum Tarren	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Wesley Heffernan	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Matthias Schwab	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Joseph Deraney	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Jeffrey Kang	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Myles Creighton	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	John Merrick	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	Ricky Barnes	+6	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Tommy Gainey	+6	70	76	—	—	146.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+6	73	32	—	—	105.0
—	Mark Hensby	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Sung Kang	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Curtis Thompson	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Jason Dufner	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	D.A. Points	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Stephan Jaeger	+7	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Greg Chalmers	+7	77	—	—	—	77.0
—	Dawie van der Walt	+8	73	68	78	69	288.0
—	John Huston	+8	76	72	—	—	148.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Brian Stuard	+8	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+8	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Max McGreevy	+8	71	77	—	—	148.0
—	John Rollins	+8	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Jason Bohn	+8	69	79	—	—	148.0
—	Peter Malnati	+9	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Richard S. Johnson	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Dylan Wu	+9	71	78	—	—	149.0
—	Kevin Stadler	+9	79	—	—	—	79.0
—	Brian Davis	+10	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Brendan Leonard	+10	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Bo Hoag	+10	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Max Sekulic	+10	75	75	—	—	150.0
—	Patrick Flavin	+11	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Johnny Travale	+12	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Robert Garrigus	+12	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Scott Brown	+12	75	77	—	—	152.0
—	Callum Conner Davison	+13	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Nick Watney	+14	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Brad Adamonis	+14	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Matt Every	+15	82	73	—	—	155.0
—	Albin Choi	+15	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	George McNeill	+15	78	77	—	—	155.0
—	Harry Higgs	+15	75	80	—	—	155.0
—	Johnson Wagner	+16	78	78	—	—	156.0
—	Jonathan Kaye	+16	77	79	—	—	156.0
—	Ted Purdy	+16	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	William Buhl	+27	81	86	—	—	167.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Charley Hoffman	64.45	3%	0%	69.25	—
2	Kevin Stadler	65.32	2%	0%	39.50	—
3	Adam Svensson	66.14	5%	0%	68.50	—
4	S.Y. Noh	66.45	4%	0%	69.25	—
5	Seth Reeves	66.49	3%	0%	71.00	—
6	John Huh	66.51	6%	0%	68.75	—
7	Bo Hoag	66.58	3%	0%	75.00	—
8	Paul Barjon	66.71	3%	0%	69.75	—
9	Jason Dufner	66.82	4%	0%	73.50	—
10	Hayden Buckley	67.02	4%	0%	71.00	—
11	Greyson Sigg	67.05	5%	0%	72.50	—
12	Bill Haas	67.05	7%	1%	71.00	—
13	Dawie van der Walt	67.07	3%	0%	72.00	—
14	Kelly Kraft	67.08	4%	0%	68.00	—
15	Lee Hodges	67.15	5%	0%	70.00	—
16	Dylan Wu	67.21	3%	0%	74.50	—
17	Jim Herman	67.25	4%	0%	73.00	—
18	Hank Lebioda	67.30	4%	0%	69.00	—
19	Brandt Snedeker	67.38	4%	0%	70.00	—
20	Kramer Hickok	67.48	5%	0%	70.75	—
21	Matthias Schwab	67.50	11%	1%	73.00	—
22	Sam Ryder	67.54	6%	0%	72.00	—
23	Scott Piercy	67.55	6%	0%	68.50	—
24	Tyrrell Hatton	67.58	22%	2%	74.00	—
25	Luke Donald	67.61	6%	0%	72.00	—
26	Tyler Duncan	67.62	6%	0%	71.00	—
27	Matt Wallace	67.63	3%	0%	69.25	—
28	Nick Taylor	67.69	6%	0%	69.00	—
29	Andrew Novak	67.70	5%	0%	71.25	—
30	Brett Drewitt	67.70	3%	0%	70.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.