Wednesday, June 15, 2022

U.S. Open

PGA ·156 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-6	68	70	68	68	274.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-5	70	67	71	67	275.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-5	69	70	67	69	275.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-3	70	70	72	65	277.0
—	Collin Morikawa	-2	69	66	77	66	278.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-2	67	69	73	69	278.0
—	Denny McCarthy	-1	73	70	68	68	279.0
—	Keegan Bradley	-1	70	69	69	71	279.0
—	Adam Hadwin	-1	66	72	70	71	279.0
—	Gary Woodland	E	69	73	69	69	280.0
—	Joel Dahmen	E	67	68	74	71	280.0
—	Séamus Power	+1	71	70	70	70	281.0
—	Jon Rahm	+1	69	67	71	74	281.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	+2	72	70	74	66	282.0
—	Adam Scott	+2	69	73	72	68	282.0
—	Marc Leishman	+2	70	71	73	68	282.0
—	Xander Schauffele	+2	70	69	75	68	282.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	+2	72	71	70	69	282.0
—	Cameron Tringale	+2	71	71	71	69	282.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	+2	74	69	69	70	282.0
—	Hayden Buckley	+2	68	68	75	71	282.0
—	Nick Hardy	+2	69	68	73	72	282.0
—	Tom Kim	+3	72	68	73	70	283.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	72	69	73	70	284.0
—	Adam Schenk	+4	70	70	73	71	284.0
—	Dustin Johnson	+4	68	73	71	72	284.0
—	Kalle Samooja	+4	77	67	—	—	144.0
—	Sergio García	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Jim Furyk	+4	74	70	—	—	144.0
—	Billy Horschel	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Kevin Kisner	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Stewart Cink	+4	73	71	—	—	144.0
—	Sungjae Im	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Shane Lowry	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Cameron Young	+4	72	72	—	—	144.0
—	Corey Conners	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Erik Barnes	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Matt McCarty	+4	71	73	—	—	144.0
—	Mito Pereira	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Webb Simpson	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Wyndham Clark	+4	70	74	—	—	144.0
—	Jason Kokrak	+4	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	James Piot	+4	69	75	—	—	144.0
—	Thomas Pieters	+5	72	68	73	72	285.0
—	Min Woo Lee	+5	73	70	69	73	285.0
—	Aaron Wise	+5	68	68	75	74	285.0
—	Sam Burns	+5	71	67	71	76	285.0
—	Si Woo Kim	+5	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Branden Grace	+5	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Kevin Na	+5	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Talor Gooch	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Ryan Fox	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Satoshi Kodaira	+5	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Brian Stuard	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Tom Hoge	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Tony Finau	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Nick Taylor	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Chan Kim	+5	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Taylor Montgomery	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Luke List	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Harold Varner III	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Ben Silverman	+5	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Daniel Berger	+5	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Callum Tarren	+6	67	72	78	69	286.0
—	MJ Daffue	+6	67	72	78	69	286.0
—	Todd Sinnott	+6	71	71	74	70	286.0
—	Andrew Putnam	+6	72	68	74	72	286.0
—	Davis Riley	+6	72	67	73	74	286.0
—	Patrick Rodgers	+6	69	68	75	74	286.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	+6	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Michael Thorbjornsen	+6	77	69	—	—	146.0
—	Russell Henley	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Roger Sloan	+6	76	70	—	—	146.0
—	Troy Merritt	+6	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Davis Shore	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Scott Stallings	+6	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Sam Horsfield	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Alex Noren	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Francesco Molinari	+6	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Cameron Smith	+6	72	74	—	—	146.0
—	K.H. Lee	+7	71	72	73	71	287.0
—	Joseph Bramlett	+7	71	72	72	72	287.0
—	Justin Rose	+7	68	73	74	72	287.0
—	Jordan Spieth	+7	72	70	71	74	287.0
—	Justin Thomas	+7	69	72	72	74	287.0
—	Matt NeSmith	+7	68	69	74	76	287.0
—	Adri Arnaus	+7	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Maxwell Moldovan	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Jonas Blixt	+7	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Ryan Gerard	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	+7	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Andrew Novak	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Victor Perez	+7	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Bo Hoag	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Lanto Griffin	+7	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Viktor Hovland	+7	70	77	—	—	147.0
—	Chris Gotterup	+8	73	69	75	71	288.0
—	Travis Vick	+8	70	69	76	73	288.0
—	Richard Bland	+8	70	72	72	74	288.0
—	Brian Harman	+8	68	69	75	76	288.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+8	77	71	—	—	148.0
—	Patton Kizzire	+8	74	74	—	—	148.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+8	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Shaun Norris	+8	70	78	—	—	148.0
—	Max Homa	+9	69	73	75	72	289.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	+9	71	70	76	72	289.0
—	Andrew Beckler	+9	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Sepp Straka	+9	77	72	—	—	149.0
—	Brady Calkins	+9	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	William Mouw	+9	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Chase Seiffert	+9	74	75	—	—	149.0
—	Kevin Chappell	+9	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Sam Bennett	+10	70	73	74	73	290.0
—	Patrick Reed	+10	70	71	75	74	290.0
—	Sam Stevens	+10	71	72	72	75	290.0
—	David Lingmerth	+10	67	72	74	77	290.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	+10	78	72	—	—	150.0
—	Yannik Paul	+10	77	73	—	—	150.0
—	Daijiro Izumida	+10	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Sebastian Söderberg	+11	71	70	78	72	291.0
—	Beau Hossler	+11	69	67	78	77	291.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+11	78	73	—	—	151.0
—	Richard Mansell	+11	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Danny Lee	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Charlie Reiter	+11	76	75	—	—	151.0
—	Thorbjørn Olesen	+11	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Laird Shepherd	+11	75	76	—	—	151.0
—	Harry Hall	+11	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+12	73	67	75	77	292.0
—	Fred Biondi	+12	79	73	—	—	152.0
—	Nick Dunlap	+12	78	74	—	—	152.0
—	Tomoyasu Sugiyama	+12	74	78	—	—	152.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	+13	72	71	76	74	293.0
—	Wil Besseling	+13	71	71	77	74	293.0
—	Chris Naegel	+13	73	69	77	74	293.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	+13	71	71	76	75	293.0
—	Ben Lorenz	+13	77	76	—	—	153.0
—	Fran Quinn	+13	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Jinichiro Kozuma	+13	76	77	—	—	153.0
—	Lucas Herbert	+13	74	79	—	—	153.0
—	Jesse Mueller	+14	80	74	—	—	154.0
—	Isaiah Salinda	+14	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Brandon Matthews	+16	71	69	79	77	296.0
—	Jediah Morgan	+16	82	74	—	—	156.0
—	Luke Gannon	+16	76	80	—	—	156.0
—	Harris English	+17	73	69	78	77	297.0
—	Austin Greaser	+17	72	70	76	79	297.0
—	Caleb Manuel	+17	83	74	—	—	157.0
—	Marcel Schneider	+17	78	79	—	—	157.0
—	Grayson Murray	+18	75	67	76	80	298.0
—	Sean Crocker	+18	83	75	—	—	158.0
—	Sean Jacklin	+18	78	80	—	—	158.0
—	Stewart Hagestad	+19	73	70	79	77	299.0
—	Keith Greene	+24	83	81	—	—	164.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	Roger Sloan	66.64	3%	0%	73.00	—
2	Jonas Blixt	66.70	4%	0%	73.50	—
3	Joseph Bramlett	67.26	4%	0%	71.75	—
4	Andrew Novak	67.36	5%	0%	73.50	—
5	Sam Horsfield	67.51	3%	0%	73.00	—
6	Jinichiro Kozuma	67.51	3%	0%	76.50	—
7	Jesse Mueller	67.58	2%	0%	77.00	—
8	Nick Taylor	67.70	6%	0%	72.50	—
9	Séamus Power	67.76	10%	1%	70.25	—
10	Chase Seiffert	67.77	7%	0%	74.50	—
11	Adam Schenk	67.80	7%	0%	71.00	—
12	Callum Tarren	67.82	6%	0%	71.50	—
13	Denny McCarthy	67.86	11%	1%	69.75	—
14	Patton Kizzire	67.99	6%	0%	74.00	—
15	Cameron Tringale	68.12	6%	0%	70.50	—
16	Harold Varner III	68.14	12%	1%	72.50	—
17	Talor Gooch	68.32	10%	2%	72.50	—
18	Nick Hardy	68.45	4%	0%	70.50	—
19	Scott Stallings	68.47	9%	1%	73.00	—
20	Kevin Chappell	68.56	6%	0%	74.50	—
21	Satoshi Kodaira	68.61	4%	0%	72.50	—
22	Mito Pereira	68.62	22%	1%	72.00	—
23	Luke List	68.67	5%	0%	72.50	—
24	Tom Kim	68.79	5%	0%	70.75	—
25	Matt NeSmith	68.80	12%	2%	71.75	—
26	Aaron Wise	68.82	13%	3%	71.25	—
27	Viktor Hovland	68.84	27%	2%	73.50	—
28	Sepp Straka	68.86	14%	1%	74.50	—
29	Isaiah Salinda	68.90	2%	0%	77.00	—
30	Bryson DeChambeau	68.92	12%	1%	73.25	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.