Wednesday, July 13, 2022

The Open

PGA ·158 players ·Final

Pos	Player	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4	Total
—	Cameron Smith	-20	67	64	73	64	268.0
—	Cameron Young	-19	64	69	71	65	269.0
—	Rory McIlroy	-18	66	68	66	70	270.0
—	Tommy Fleetwood	-14	72	69	66	67	274.0
—	Viktor Hovland	-14	68	66	66	74	274.0
—	Brian Harman	-13	73	68	68	66	275.0
—	Dustin Johnson	-13	68	67	71	69	275.0
—	Bryson DeChambeau	-12	69	74	67	66	276.0
—	Jordan Spieth	-12	71	69	68	68	276.0
—	Patrick Cantlay	-12	70	67	71	68	276.0
—	Abraham Ancer	-11	71	68	73	65	277.0
—	Sadom Kaewkanjana	-11	71	67	74	65	277.0
—	Dean Burmester	-11	71	73	67	66	277.0
—	Tyrrell Hatton	-11	70	66	73	68	277.0
—	Anthony Quayle	-10	74	69	68	67	278.0
—	Xander Schauffele	-10	69	70	72	67	278.0
—	Lucas Herbert	-10	70	68	73	67	278.0
—	Francesco Molinari	-10	73	71	66	68	278.0
—	Adam Scott	-10	72	65	70	71	278.0
—	Si Woo Kim	-10	69	69	67	73	278.0
—	Billy Horschel	-9	73	69	70	67	279.0
—	Min Woo Lee	-9	69	69	73	68	279.0
—	Trey Mullinax	-9	71	73	66	69	279.0
—	Kevin Kisner	-9	74	70	65	70	279.0
—	Shane Lowry	-9	72	68	69	70	279.0
—	Matt Fitzpatrick	-9	72	66	69	72	279.0
—	Scottie Scheffler	-9	68	68	69	74	279.0
—	Tony Finau	-8	73	71	70	66	280.0
—	Corey Conners	-8	71	71	71	67	280.0
—	Harold Varner III	-8	73	67	72	68	280.0
—	Will Zalatoris	-8	73	67	71	69	280.0
—	Dylan Frittelli	-8	70	71	69	70	280.0
—	Thomas Pieters	-8	75	67	67	71	280.0
—	Robert MacIntyre	-7	70	74	69	68	281.0
—	Thomas Detry	-7	70	69	74	68	281.0
—	Lee Westwood	-7	68	71	73	69	281.0
—	Talor Gooch	-7	68	69	75	69	281.0
—	Victor Perez	-7	71	69	71	70	281.0
—	Jon Rahm	-7	73	67	71	70	281.0
—	Sahith Theegala	-7	69	68	74	70	281.0
—	Aaron Wise	-7	72	67	71	71	281.0
—	Sam Burns	-6	72	69	77	64	282.0
—	Jason Kokrak	-6	72	70	72	68	282.0
—	Adrian Meronk	-6	75	68	70	69	282.0
—	Thriston Lawrence	-6	69	71	73	69	282.0
—	Chris Kirk	-6	75	68	69	70	282.0
—	Garrick Higgo	-5	72	69	76	66	283.0
—	Jordan Smith	-5	73	71	72	67	283.0
—	Patrick Reed	-5	72	68	76	67	283.0
—	Yuto Katsuragawa	-5	71	68	75	69	283.0
—	Filippo Celli	-5	74	67	71	71	283.0
—	Tom Kim	-5	69	71	72	71	283.0
—	Joaquín Niemann	-4	69	74	73	68	284.0
—	Robert Dinwiddie	-4	67	77	71	69	284.0
—	Lars Van Meijel	-4	74	70	71	69	284.0
—	Danny Willett	-4	69	73	73	69	284.0
—	Paul Casey	-4	71	72	71	70	284.0
—	Jason Scrivener	-4	72	71	71	70	284.0
—	Justin Thomas	-4	72	70	72	70	284.0
—	Brad Kennedy	-4	68	72	72	72	284.0
—	Nicolai Højgaard	-4	73	67	71	73	284.0
—	Cameron Tringale	-3	71	71	74	69	285.0
—	Sebastián Muñoz	-3	73	71	71	70	285.0
—	John Parry	-3	69	74	70	72	285.0
—	David Carey	-3	72	67	73	73	285.0
—	Ian Poulter	-3	69	72	70	74	285.0
—	Russell Henley	-3	70	72	68	75	285.0
—	Hideki Matsuyama	-2	71	72	76	67	286.0
—	Sergio García	-2	75	66	72	73	286.0
—	Richard Mansell	-2	73	71	68	74	286.0
—	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	-2	73	71	68	74	286.0
—	David Law	-1	72	69	77	69	287.0
—	Kurt Kitayama	-1	68	73	73	73	287.0
—	Justin De Los Santos	E	71	73	70	74	288.0
—	Marcus Armitage	E	71	72	71	74	288.0
—	Erik van Rooyen	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Justin Rose	E	—	—	—	—	—
—	Wyndham Clark	+1	71	73	76	69	289.0
—	Adri Arnaus	+1	74	70	73	72	289.0
—	Aaron Jarvis	+1	75	69	72	73	289.0
—	Zander Lombard	+1	77	68	—	—	145.0
—	Keith Mitchell	+1	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Jamie Donaldson	+1	76	69	—	—	145.0
—	Henrik Stenson	+1	75	70	—	—	145.0
—	Justin Harding	+1	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Ben Campbell	+1	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Takumi Kanaya	+1	74	71	—	—	145.0
—	Max Homa	+1	73	72	—	—	145.0
—	Collin Morikawa	+1	72	73	—	—	145.0
—	Louis Oosthuizen	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Webb Simpson	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Brandon Wu	+1	71	74	—	—	145.0
—	Ernie Els	+1	70	75	—	—	145.0
—	Scott Vincent	+1	69	76	—	—	145.0
—	Laurie Canter	+2	72	70	74	74	290.0
—	Barclay Brown	+2	68	70	77	75	290.0
—	Richard Bland	+2	78	68	—	—	146.0
—	Emiliano Grillo	+2	78	68	—	—	146.0
—	Alexander Björk	+2	75	71	—	—	146.0
—	Matthew Griffin	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Chan Kim	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	Matthew Jordan	+2	74	72	—	—	146.0
—	J.T. Poston	+2	73	73	—	—	146.0
—	Ryan Fox	+2	71	75	—	—	146.0
—	K.H. Lee	+2	69	77	—	—	146.0
—	Keegan Bradley	+3	76	71	—	—	147.0
—	Aaron Rai	+3	75	72	—	—	147.0
—	Shaun Norris	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	John Catlin	+3	74	73	—	—	147.0
—	Guido Migliozzi	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	John Daly	+3	73	74	—	—	147.0
—	Keita Nakajima	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Zach Johnson	+3	72	75	—	—	147.0
—	Matt Ford	+3	71	76	—	—	147.0
—	Padraig Harrington	+3	69	78	—	—	147.0
—	Sam Bairstow	+4	72	72	79	69	292.0
—	Sungjae Im	+4	71	73	74	74	292.0
—	Mingyu Cho	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Ashley Chesters	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Rikuya Hoshino	+4	75	73	—	—	148.0
—	Séamus Power	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Brooks Koepka	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Mackenzie Hughes	+4	73	75	—	—	148.0
—	Bernd Wiesberger	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Kevin Na	+4	72	76	—	—	148.0
—	Stewart Cink	+5	78	71	—	—	149.0
—	Luke List	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Sihwan Kim	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Marco Penge	+5	76	73	—	—	149.0
—	Mito Pereira	+5	75	74	—	—	149.0
—	Haotong Li	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Kazuki Higa	+5	73	76	—	—	149.0
—	Fabrizio Zanotti	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Phil Mickelson	+5	72	77	—	—	149.0
—	Marc Leishman	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Harris English	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Oliver Farr	+6	76	74	—	—	150.0
—	Aldrich Potgieter	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Gary Woodland	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Tom Hoge	+6	74	76	—	—	150.0
—	Minkyu Kim	+6	73	77	—	—	150.0
—	Dimi Papadatos	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Stephen Dodd	+7	77	74	—	—	151.0
—	Jorge Fernández Valdés	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Paul Lawrie	+7	74	77	—	—	151.0
—	Ronan Mullarney	+7	73	78	—	—	151.0
—	Jamie Rutherford	+8	73	70	78	75	296.0
—	Shugo Imahira	+8	80	72	—	—	152.0
—	Sam Horsfield	+8	76	76	—	—	152.0
—	Sepp Straka	+9	81	72	—	—	153.0
—	Tiger Woods	+9	78	75	—	—	153.0
—	Darren Clarke	+10	79	75	—	—	154.0
—	Jack Floydd	+10	75	79	—	—	154.0
—	Alex Wrigley	+11	82	73	—	—	155.0
—	Jediah Morgan	+11	79	76	—	—	155.0
—	David Duval	+12	82	74	—	—	156.0
—	Pablo Larrazábal	+12	75	81	—	—	156.0
—	Mark Calcavecchia	+21	83	82	—	—	165.0

Statlab projections

Score regressor — MAE 3.32 strokes/round (naive 4.42; lift +1.10)

Rank	Player	Pred /rd	P(top-10)	P(win)	Actual /rd	Actual pos
1	John Daly	67.42	2%	0%	73.50	—
2	Si Woo Kim	67.51	8%	1%	69.50	—
3	Sungjae Im	67.66	11%	1%	73.00	—
4	Sahith Theegala	68.17	12%	2%	70.25	—
5	Will Zalatoris	68.32	20%	2%	70.00	—
6	Séamus Power	68.41	12%	1%	74.00	—
7	Hideki Matsuyama	68.46	10%	0%	71.50	—
8	Wyndham Clark	68.47	10%	1%	72.25	—
9	Adri Arnaus	68.49	5%	0%	72.25	—
10	Zach Johnson	68.50	4%	0%	73.50	—
11	Sepp Straka	68.59	8%	0%	76.50	—
12	Mito Pereira	68.61	12%	1%	74.50	—
13	Luke List	68.72	7%	0%	74.50	—
14	Keita Nakajima	68.72	6%	0%	73.50	—
15	Jordan Spieth	68.78	44%	3%	69.00	—
16	Collin Morikawa	68.81	23%	3%	72.50	—
17	Cameron Young	68.83	12%	1%	67.25	—
18	Adam Scott	68.83	13%	1%	69.50	—
19	Jon Rahm	68.84	33%	5%	70.25	—
20	Webb Simpson	68.86	10%	2%	72.50	—
21	Louis Oosthuizen	68.86	7%	0%	72.50	—
22	Shane Lowry	68.93	26%	3%	69.75	—
23	Trey Mullinax	68.94	6%	0%	69.75	—
24	Tommy Fleetwood	68.95	24%	2%	68.50	—
25	Sergio García	68.99	13%	2%	71.50	—
26	Dylan Frittelli	68.99	12%	1%	70.00	—
27	K.H. Lee	69.00	12%	2%	73.00	—
28	Tom Hoge	69.05	6%	0%	75.00	—
29	Justin Rose	69.08	12%	1%	—	—
30	J.T. Poston	69.11	14%	1%	73.00	—

Per-player gradient-boosted regressor trained on 25960 player-tournament rows from 2020-2025. Features: rolling form (last 10 starts) + course history at this tournament. Sort ascending; lower projected = better expected finish.